mappy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 How many more fails until I have to give a eulogy for him too? its just getting good now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 ahh yeah I missed that part somehow. skimming bad posters... Sensitive after yday.. the usual crew who always predicts no snow for DC no matter what was mocking people for seeing a pattern. Last season in early February (around the Super Bowl storm), plenty of posters were telling everybody else-- in the discussion thread, not banter-- to give it up, stop chasing, stop looking at the models. It's not going to snow no matter what. I agree with you-- I was annoyed by all that last season too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Person 1: Is it he of whom we have been foretold? The one who can bend the winds to his will? Person 2: No, it's just a snow weenie. Person 1: (sighs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Ravens94 gets new weenie of the year. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'm too lazy to look, did Ravens really call a coastal 6 days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'm too lazy to look, did Ravens really call a coastal 6 days ago? That person calls a coastal with every modeled storm, so, probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 That person calls a coastal with every modeled storm, so, probably. touche Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'm too lazy to look, did Ravens really call a coastal 6 days ago? He's so bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'm too lazy to look, did Ravens really call a coastal 6 days ago? Long range thread chock full of pbp's and all sorts of stuff so good luck finding it. Lunchtime banter is hilarious though. Been chuckling on this end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 That person calls a coastal with every modeled storm, so, probably. yeah that was my take too. anyway I think most have been on the coastal train since it was a viable thing but they also didn't ignore the primary killing the airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Dont forget Sheriff of Nottingham! But omg, Galaxy Quest was fantastic. I'll forgive him for Love Actually. Yes, this ^^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I do not call a coastal with every System. and to end this right now Everyone here 5-7 days ago was saying this was going to cut west of the apps and we would have 50s-60s. I was the only one that said it was going to be a coastal. Just yesterday people were saying it was going to go east and miss. ITS NOT MISSING. Models Love to move things east then move them west last minute. it has happened with Multiple storms over the past few years. Many of many of the MILLER A storms we have hit were forecasted to go east in the mid range to late short range only to have a player bring them back NW or W. many of the lakes storms last year were shown to go east only to correct hundreds of miles west. Some systems like the one Saturday had a reason to go east. There was Nothing to stop the energy from digging and swinging wide. ANOTHER THING i not ONCE said this would be a "blizzard "Massive snow storm" "Massive ice storm" NONE OF THAT. i said northern MD had a chance at some snow and there still is a VERY LOW chance and i am talking near the PA line south of there i said NO CHANCE. Western MD-PA have a greater shot and north of there its a all out snowstorm. JUST because it isn't a snowstorm here don't mean i am wrong. I have Proved this would be a coastal storm and that's exactly whats going to happen. Just a touch to warm. Touch being ill stay in the 30s with northern MD while southern-eastern area's touch the 40s. By no means is this a 60 degree coastal rainstorm. Models will probably waffle with the storm now But its not going to miss. Best chance of snow and ice is far western MD and if a cold trend starts west of 81 is game. LWX max snow has this map pretty much aligned to what i am saying. Everything i have said about snow potential has never said massive snowstorm for anyone. Most will get rain but some will get some mix or snow. Anyone throwing a stick at the Later storm is Crazy with how model performance has been all year. Faster and stronger vort will make a huge difference also the location it enters the west coast and the lat it sits in the South. Over 48 hours huge shifts can still happen and groundhog day is just one of the many examples. You want to harp or talk about me make sure you get the FACTS straight. I was also ONE of the last people here to think Sunday has a chance and the only reason i believe it does is i believe it will be faster and better phased then the models are putting out right now. Models are not perfect and i don't use every solution. i go with Gut and the trends at 500mb. Trend map rarely has failed me. End of story Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Sometimes I come back in from the field at work and check the banter thread first to gauge the mood of the 12z runs. I guess Ravens94 is everyone's new #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 well goddamn. that was a rant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 1. Im not seeing snow from the Friday night/Saturday morning coastal 2. Sunday/monday threat is going out to sea 3. weenies going to weenie, hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I do not call a coastal with every System. and to end this right now Everyone here 5-7 days ago was saying this was going to cut west of the apps and we would have 50s-60s. I was the only one that said it was going to be a coastal. Just yesterday people were saying it was going to go east and miss. ITS NOT MISSING. Models Love to move things east then move them west last minute. it has happened with Multiple storms over the past few years. Many of many of the MILLER A storms we have hit were forecasted to go east in the mid range to late short range only to have a player bring them back NW or W. many of the lakes storms last year were shown to go east only to correct hundreds of miles west. Some systems like the one Saturday had a reason to go east. There was Nothing to stop the energy from digging and swinging wide. ANOTHER THING i not ONCE said this would be a "blizzard "Massive snow storm" "Massive ice storm" NONE OF THAT. i said northern MD had a chance at some snow and there still is a VERY LOW chance and i am talking near the PA line south of there i said NO CHANCE. Western MD-PA have a greater shot and north of there its a all out snowstorm. JUST because it isn't a snowstorm here don't mean i am wrong. I have Proved this would be a coastal storm and that's exactly whats going to happen. Just a touch to warm. Touch being ill stay in the 30s with northern MD while southern-eastern area's touch the 40s. By no means is this a 60 degree coastal rainstorm. Models will probably waffle with the storm now But its not going to miss. Best chance of snow and ice is far western MD and if a cold trend starts west of 81 is game. LWX max snow has this map pretty much aligned to what i am saying. Everything i have said about snow potential has never said massive snowstorm for anyone. Most will get rain but some will get some mix or snow. Anyone throwing a stick at the Later storm is Crazy with how model performance has been all year. Faster and stronger vort will make a huge difference also the location it enters the west coast and the lat it sits in the South. Over 48 hours huge shifts can still happen and groundhog day is just one of the many examples. You want to harp or talk about me make sure you get the FACTS straight. I was also ONE of the last people here to think Sunday has a chance and the only reason i believe it does is i believe it will be faster and better phased then the models are putting out right now. Models are not perfect and i don't use every solution. i go with Gut and the trends at 500mb. Trend map rarely has failed me. End of story Don't take it the wrong way. They are just having fun with you. I don't think it's that far fetched either provided there is actually a storm. That's where my skepticism lies. Will there be a storm close enough to matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 1. Im not seeing snow from the Friday night/Saturday morning coastal 2. Sunday/monday threat is going out to sea 3. weenies going to weenie, hard. Well, that's better than the alternative. #viagrawinning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Post of the winter hahahaha Woo! The model that just s*** itself inside 5 days now shows our real threat...on day 8!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Well, that's better than the alternative. #viagrawinning cue RR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 He's so bad. So bad yet there's a coastal storm coming in 2 days hm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Quick question: what affect will Hurricane Alex have on the NAO? I would guess it forces ridging up into Greenland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I do not call a coastal with every System. and to end this right now Everyone here 5-7 days ago was saying this was going to cut west of the apps and we would have 50s-60s. I was the only one that said it was going to be a coastal. Just yesterday people were saying it was going to go east and miss. ITS NOT MISSING. Models Love to move things east then move them west last minute. it has happened with Multiple storms over the past few years. Many of many of the MILLER A storms we have hit were forecasted to go east in the mid range to late short range only to have a player bring them back NW or W. many of the lakes storms last year were shown to go east only to correct hundreds of miles west. Some systems like the one Saturday had a reason to go east. There was Nothing to stop the energy from digging and swinging wide. ANOTHER THING i not ONCE said this would be a "blizzard "Massive snow storm" "Massive ice storm" NONE OF THAT. i said northern MD had a chance at some snow and there still is a VERY LOW chance and i am talking near the PA line south of there i said NO CHANCE. Western MD-PA have a greater shot and north of there its a all out snowstorm. JUST because it isn't a snowstorm here don't mean i am wrong. I have Proved this would be a coastal storm and that's exactly whats going to happen. Just a touch to warm. Touch being ill stay in the 30s with northern MD while southern-eastern area's touch the 40s. By no means is this a 60 degree coastal rainstorm. Models will probably waffle with the storm now But its not going to miss. Best chance of snow and ice is far western MD and if a cold trend starts west of 81 is game. LWX max snow has this map pretty much aligned to what i am saying. Everything i have said about snow potential has never said massive snowstorm for anyone. Most will get rain but some will get some mix or snow. Anyone throwing a stick at the Later storm is Crazy with how model performance has been all year. Faster and stronger vort will make a huge difference also the location it enters the west coast and the lat it sits in the South. Over 48 hours huge shifts can still happen and groundhog day is just one of the many examples. You want to harp or talk about me make sure you get the FACTS straight. I was also ONE of the last people here to think Sunday has a chance and the only reason i believe it does is i believe it will be faster and better phased then the models are putting out right now. Models are not perfect and i don't use every solution. i go with Gut and the trends at 500mb. Trend map rarely has failed me. End of story Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I am just relieved that we no longer are stuck on "JI" for the Mid Atlantic Despair Index. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I called coastal too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 cue RR I thought it after I wrote it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 So bad yet there's a coastal storm coming in 2 days hm do you want a cookie for making a "bold" call 6-days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I called coastal too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Hey, I called sun for today back in 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 there's probably a high correlation between a positive model run and the time since last post in the medium range thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Seriously though, who needs Netflix or Reality TV? I can get a glass of scotch on the rocks and come here and enjoy my entire night. Best part, it is unpredictable of what will be said next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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