84 Hour NAM Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:06 AM, Bob Chill said: I haven't been drinking at all lately. But a historic storm requires a top shelf bottle of bourbon. If I start making off the rails posts at night later this week then you know I've already been to the store and half a bottle deep If this comes to pass, I will be three sheets by 2pm Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:05 AM, ravensrule said: Manchester is almost always money. That's right baby. Don't ever forget it. Beautiful woman here too. Can't go wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Draw a line from Lucketts>New Market>Westminster>Manchester>Red Lion and you have your max total area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:08 AM, HighStakes said: That's right baby. Don't ever forget it. Beautiful woman here too. Can't go wrong.Lol I have passed through there many times, I wouldn't push the beautiful women part . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 If the GFS actually happened... Winter storms would not be fun anymore.... because no storm could ever compare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:08 AM, snowfan said: Draw a line from Lucketts>New Market>Westminster>Manchester>Red Lion and you have your max total area. Red Lion, PA is another excellent spot, I forgot about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:08 AM, HighStakes said: That's right baby. Don't ever forget it. Beautiful woman here too. Can't go wrong. "Beautiful woman..." Is she shared amongst the locals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:08 AM, HighStakes said: That's right baby. Don't ever forget it. Beautiful woman here too. Can't go wrong. Lol What's her name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:10 AM, Fozz said: Red Lion, PA is another excellent spot, I forgot about that All of the southern York Co. towns get crushed in these big snows and you're hard pressed to find a better spot nearby for drifting if the wind picked up. My folks in Stewartstown got crushed in all of the big snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Just a heads up a heavy snow band coming down 70 headed towards the DC-BAL metro Left the ground covered http://www.chart.state.md.us/video/video.php?feed=90ffa4d300a100ab0050fa36c4235c0ahttp://www.marylandwx.com/radar/klwxstate_br.phphttp://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/va/sterling/lwx/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:10 AM, ravensrule said: Lol I have passed through there many times, I wouldn't push the beautiful women part . On 1/18/2016 at 5:10 AM, 84 Hour NAM said: "Beautiful woman..." Is she shared amongst the locals? On 1/18/2016 at 5:12 AM, nw baltimore wx said: Lol What's her name? Sorry guys. I got a little delusional after that GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I want all 21 ensemble members showing a 30" HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Everyone is ****ting themselves over the 0z gfs, while all I see is rain for my neck of the woods...hoping for a euro like solution.. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G890A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:36 AM, EastCoast NPZ said: I want all 21 ensemble members showing a 30" HECS. lol, it's insane at some of the comments. OMG, a smoothed ensemble mean doesn't show 30". Storm cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Let's be honest, if some f****r on this board was forecast to get 30" and ended up with just 20" they'd be bitching about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Is anyone staying up for the euro tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:42 AM, stormtracker said: lol, it's insane at some of the comments. OMG, a smoothed ensemble mean doesn't show 30". Storm cancel. Unfortunately, I think many are too invested now in a HECS.... or BECS at 4.5 days out. I wonder if we still get 8 - 12 inches of snow out of this what the mood in here will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:46 AM, snowfan said: Let's be honest, if some f****r on this board was forecast to get 30" and ended up with just 20" they'd be bitching about it. raises hand.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:47 AM, Bob Chill said: Is anyone staying up for the euro tonight?I forgot it comes out at 1a haven't caught a night run since Joaquin. Speaking of which... Knock on wood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:46 AM, snowfan said: Let's be honest, if some f****r on this board was forecast to get 30" and ended up with just 20" they'd be bitching about it. This On 1/18/2016 at 5:47 AM, Bob Chill said: Is anyone staying up for the euro tonight? On 1/18/2016 at 5:47 AM, EastCoast NPZ said: Unfortunately, I think many are too invested now in a HECS.... or BECS at 4.5 days out. I wonder if we still get 8 - 12 inches of snow out of this what the mood in here will be. Yup...I admit, I'm getting swept up in it and would love to see a foot plus. But I mean, nobody can realistic expect these amounts this far out. If this keeps up, it;s going to be super hard to tamp expectations when the inevitable come down to reality begins and we see "only" a foot or 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:42 AM, stormtracker said: lol, it's insane at some of the comments. OMG, a smoothed ensemble mean doesn't show 30". Storm cancel. our .3" on the year has made us jaded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:08 AM, HighStakes said: That's right baby. Don't ever forget it. Beautiful woman here too. Can't go wrong.Most of whom can be found for sale outside the Walmart, with no fixed address other than the El Carr on Rt. 30. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 How recently did the models show over a foot and it not produce nearly as modeled at Day 5? I fear we've done this to ourselves before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:58 AM, Chase said: How recently did the models show over a foot and it not produce nearly as modeled at Day 5? I fear we've done this to ourselves before. Never Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:49 AM, stormtracker said: This Yup...I admit, I'm getting swept up in it and would love to see a foot plus. But I mean, nobody can realistic expect these amounts this far out. If this keeps up, it;s going to be super hard to tamp expectations when the inevitable come down to reality begins and we see "only" a foot or 8". You mean we're expected to be realistic in here now too? Ahhh me-an.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:58 AM, Chase said: How recently did the models show over a foot and it not produce nearly as modeled at Day 5? I fear we've done this to ourselves before. Apples to apples...a big hit miller A locked in across all guidance at sub 5 day leads rarely implodes. The insane historic stuff being puked out tonight is unlikely but a solid hit is becoming very likely. Otoh- a miller b locked across guidance at this lead will most likely end up in hoards of weenies walking the streets kicking small animals and mumbling incoherent profane ramblings We haven't been here since 09-10. None of the 3 big dogs busted at 5 day leads for a reason. The second Feb storm was pretty tricky but worked out anyways but the first 2 were spotted pretty far out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Heavy snow NW side of the beltway. Several nice bands working through northern MD http://www.chart.state.md.us/video/video.php?feed=da002bea00aa0015004f3436c4235c0ahttp://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/va/sterling/lwx/NW SIDE beltway snow covered in bal http://www.chart.state.md.us/video/video.php?feed=1bff1ca000a6008e004be2369e235daa http://www.chart.state.md.us/video/video.php?feed=6501d35800f700d700437a45351f0214 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 On 1/18/2016 at 5:58 AM, mitchnick said: Most of whom can be found for sale outside the Walmart, with no fixed address other than the El Carr on Rt. 30. Lol The Walmart was strategically placed between Hampstead and Manchester so it could attract the best from both worlds. The El Carr however remains a mystery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I just realized that this will start showing up on the NAM at like 0z tonight (Tuesday). Not saying we should use the NAM, but remarking that we're not 150 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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