WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 The D-Ian-T Storm. (Think T-N-T) DYN-A-MITE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 How soon after this storm would we warm up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 I'll be in Sarasota yeah me It doesn't snow in Bristow or Nokesville. Everyone knows that. DT for President in 2016!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 So the eps keeps dumping in the west . How are we gonna keep this thing from running inland ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 You Don't. Seriously, if taken verbatim (30 Dec 00 GFS), this would thump the ridgetops north and west of DCA, leaving about an inch at DCA. Less, if my flamethrower still works (WHERE did I put it???). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 You Don't. Seriously, if taken verbatim (30 Dec 00 GFS), this would thump the ridgetops north and west of DCA, leaving about an inch at DCA. Less, if my flamethrower still works (WHERE did I put it???). That's a big if. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 Fauquier schools closed already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 You Don't. Seriously, if taken verbatim (30 Dec 00 GFS), this would thump the ridgetops north and west of DCA, leaving about an inch at DCA. Less, if my flamethrower still works (WHERE did I put it???). You should always take a 300 hour model verbatim. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 it will be interesting to see what the EPS run 12z 30 Dec looks like in comparison to yesterdays and how the SE ridge is/or is not factored into the equation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 it will be interesting to see what the EPS run 12z 30 Dec looks like in comparison to yesterdays and how the SE ridge is/or is not factored into the equation. 0z decidedly backed off on the storm probs d10-15. H5 look is good d12-15. Front side of LW pattern shifts aren't typically good for us. We tend to do better later rather than sooner. Still a window of op with more questions than answers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 0z decidedly backed off on the storm probs d10-15. H5 look is good d12-15. Front side of LW pattern shifts aren't typically good for us. We tend to do better later rather than sooner. Still a window of op with more questions than answers. How do they look? Cutter tracks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 When is the radio show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 How do they look? Cutter tracks? No, just less storms in general. Could be more of a temp issue during the period. Mean precip d10-15 is .7+/- but mean snowfall is only an inch or less. It's pretty noisy and a long ways out so reading in too deep doesn't really help much. 12z could flip back and improve again. Hard to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 No, just less storms in general. Could be more of a temp issue during the period. Mean precip d10-15 is .7+/- but mean snowfall is only an inch or less. It's pretty noisy and a long ways out so reading in too deep doesn't really help much. 12z could flip back and improve again. Hard to say. I have always operated under what I read way back when .... models struggle in pattern changes. Don't know if that's still true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuck in cali Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 and you all know that about me ... I dont bark for no reason.. ECMWF-EPS_500mbHgtanom_naexp_f312.png hey man, nice use of the red font, but you can't know what's going to happen two weeks away right now. unless you are some type of wizard. an average monkey could say, "it's going to snow in one of those places in january" and be right so man, you are either a wizard or a monkey, or both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 ^^^^^ Say wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 If this storm happens, I vote that name should now be the "Monkey Wizard" storm...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 This is a classic case of 50/50 low vs a SE ridge. Usually the 50/50 low wins in NE and the SE ridge wins here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 hey man, nice use of the red font, but you can't know what's going to happen two weeks away right now. unless you are some type of wizard. an average monkey could say, "it's going to snow in one of those places in january" and be right so man, you are either a wizard or a monkey, or both DT wouldn't post something if he didn't see more than just that one weather model on that one day. I imagine that is where he sees the pattern going like other mets on the board. There is a lot of model waffles in the op runs now but the GEFS look pretty solid for a decent pattern down range. So he is not saying what will happen he is highlighting the significant potential. Just my 2 cents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 I'll let DT take credit when this fails Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 I'm liking this chuck in cali account...seems like trolling gold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 18z GFS gonna be close. SRN stream not digging as much. EDIT:SE ridge still damping out the shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 This thread is serious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 This thread is serious? I know right? Woofing at 300+ hrs...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 This thread is serious? I might start a Presidents Day thread... bound to have a storm that weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 This thread is serious? Unless you have anything better to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 I know right? Woofing at 300+ hrs...... There's a New England forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 If anyone else started it the thread would have been merged long ago at best. But we some DT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 can I be in charge of the July thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 This thread is serious? Unless you have anything better to track Practice makes perfect they say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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