Cfa Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 I see temps over performing today. We're already at 46F, which was our forecasted high for today. Maybe we'll see some 50's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 NAM already busting too cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 No one here uses the NAM. If you did that's your 1 st mistake . The European forecast high at KNYC for today from 2 days ago was 43 ( can be found on page 6 ) . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 No one here uses the NAM. If you did that's your 1 st mistake . The European forecast high at KNYC for today from 2 days ago was 43 ( can be found on page 6 ) . Every single model had NYC going below freezing this morning on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 By the morning of the 11th. we will be at +4 for the month. All the precipitation over the next 16 days (3"+) seems to put little snow on the ground for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 By the morning of the 11th. we will be at +4 for the month. All the precipitation over the next 16 days (3"+) seems to put little snow on the ground for us. According to what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 I see temps over performing today. We're already at 46F, which was our forecasted high for today. Maybe we'll see some 50's. Only 44 here,I wouldn't worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 According to what? He never posts any maps or maps that are current or explains where he comes up with this stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 KNYC at 43 before 11 am. LGA and EWR at 45. JFK and ISP at 47. FOK at 49. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA According to the GFSx and the fact we are already +4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA According to the GFSx and the fact we are already +4. So according to one run of one model. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 KNYC at 43 before 11 am. LGA and EWR at 45. JFK and ISP at 47. FOK at 49. Lga may not go below 20 all month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Yep the call on here 100x is from the 2nd thru 6 th. It's BN. That's the period. That's the call. If you can't see what the next 3 days bring then I can't help you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Lack of snow cover to the north and west, warm SSTs, unfrozen ground all contributing to quickly rising temps in the NYC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Lga may not go below 20 all month You may want to check out official forcasts from time to time. better yet come back here Tuesday and let us know how that statement is working out for ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Up at Campgaw today where they finally hope to open on Thursday. Feels lovely outside. Warm sun temps around 42. They made some snow last two nights but not enough yet to open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 EPS mean has well below normal 850's from day 8.5-15 end of run with no interruption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 NAM has us down to 13 by midnight tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 NAM has us down to 13 by midnight tomorrow night. Not happening. No snow cover within hundreds of miles. Normally even if the city is snow free you only have to go 100 miles NW to find wall to wall snow cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Not happening. No snow cover within hundreds of miles. Normally even if the city is snow free you only have to go 100 miles NW to find wall to wall snow cover City doesn't cool on radiational cooling enhanced by snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 The first low below 20 in NYC forecast late on the 4th or early on the 5th is right in the middle of the pack since the winter of 09-10. First low below 20 in NYC since 09-10: January 4th-5th..15-16 January 6th........14-15 December 25th..13-14 January 22nd.....12-13 January 3rd........11-12 December 14th...10-11 December 18th...09-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 City doesn't cool on radiational cooling enhanced by snow. But, at night, snow on the ground readily gives off heat. This causes rapid cooling. Forecast the overnight temperature to be lower than you would predict if there was no snow cover. Reference: University of Illinois, Department of Atmospheric Sciences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 'Well Stanley, this is another nice pattern change you've gotten me into'! After 2BN days we get 8AN ones then 3 more BN then 2 that do not know which way they are going. Those last two better get out of town quick, seems more hot air on way for week 4. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2016010318&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=725 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 'Well Stanley, this is another nice pattern change you've gotten me into'! After 2BN days we get 8AN ones then 3 more BN then 2 that do not know which way they are going. Those last two better get out of town quick, seems more hot air on way for week 4. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2016010318&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=725 Because sure, we should go off the GFS OP instead of the EPS mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Someone please call the asylum , I'm officially worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 'Well Stanley, this is another nice pattern change you've gotten me into'! After 2BN days we get 8AN ones then 3 more BN then 2 that do not know which way they are going. Those last two better get out of town quick, seems more hot air on way for week 4. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2016010318&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=725 Hold up, you are basing your theory of an AN temp pattern off of the 18z GFS? Look, im no scientist or pretend to know everything about meteo, but u clearly need to consider a new hobby because your basis for this supposed 'torch' January is severely flawed. -epo/-nao/+pna/-ao likely will send your prediction up in flames, no pun intended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 NYC topped out at 44 today, not sure what the big deal is. It did rise quickly, but leveled off once to about noon or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Where's the front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Where's the front? Upstate. Should get here after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Where's the front? http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/analysis/surface/index.php?type=ne-fronts-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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