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January 2016 Disco/Obs: A New Year, A New Pattern


Rjay

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In addition to that it probably it's probably the coldest flip from Dec to Jan in over 100 years.

More importantly there's more than 1 snowstorm in this pattern over the next 15 days in the MA/NE.

An active jet is taking shape and with all those high heights it's just a matter of time before 1 or 2 make a run.

It's not a 1 and done type of pattern.

We got 1 .

Fridays set up is meh but we have time to work on it.

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Measured several time and several locations late last night and avg was 24" in Monroe, NJ.

 

Did the park update the 7AM reading yet?  

 

Also - does anyone have list of LGA/JFK top snowfall (storms)  I cant find previous lists anywhere for those two

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So nice for you PB to be so humble... Ok so you're going to be the "I told you so" guy now. Do you want a medal too?

And several people indicted it could be like 82/83 which was a 10 day winter. I don't think it's over though.

I also don't have a problem saying I was wrong. Have fun gloating though.

I will refer you to last Sat morning when there were countless posters who were congratulating the 98 crew , likening this to 72/73 , high fiving the plus 5 Jan crew laughing at the notion that there was no pattern change and opining on how winter was over.

Did you think they would go unchallenged ?

The idea that is a 10 day winter is stupid and so are they. Chanches are they are the same idiots who opined on the above .

The idea of an AN temps with AN snow were fought for since Sept.

Verified .

Again the next warm up will be transient. As for Feb temps may end up on the AN side but so too will the snowfall .

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too bad he discounted the nam over and over

Yeh said follow the GEFS /UKIE/EPS which was 10 plus from Thurdasy.

Opined on this 8 days away.

Now I told Rjay I was going to leave you alone unless you said something stupid.

Now I will repost your plus 5 and BN snow for Jan and how this winter had ratter written all over it just 9 days ago.

Lol

Thanks.

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Dont like the teleconnections for this one.

Not sure what eventual result will be but we have a -ao and +pna. If that west coast ridge is real there will be a storm you can count on it. Question would be who is impacted. No blocking so it will be a relatively fast mover and if it got uber amped wouldn't necessarily be all frozen. We've seen a tendency for those pacific s/w to crash into the west coast and deamplify and push the ridge along. If this occurs we have no threat I agred

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The GFS is really close to something similar to the European. We don't have as much blocking as this past monster, but as we know, even a little blocking goes a long way. 

 

Preliminary thoughts would indicate a much more mild airmass, but this would probably be a true Miller A as opposed to a Miller C, thus we see precip going N/S with a cutoff from W/E. Interesting potential in a less than ideal pattern for even more snow less than a week after our HECS  

 

We'll see. 

 

cfbb7cdcc560563dd4a41c56f87c9da8.png

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