Mitchel Volk Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Been tracking this storm all week. Each run is stronger with the short wave from the west coast.and the ECMWF from last night even made it stronger. I have a feeling this might be the one, and we may even see a phase up. I had a chance of snow for Sunday in my official forecast fro DSNY since Monday. It will be interesting to see the upcoming models trends. At this time, I do feel that there is a chance for a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 On 1/13/2016 at 4:36 PM, Mitchel Volk said: Been tracking this storm all week. Each run is stronger with the short wave from the west coast.and the ECMWF from last night even made it stronger. I have a feeling this might be the one, and we may even see a phase up. I had a chance of snow for Sunday in my official forecast fro DSNY since Monday. It will be interesting to see the upcoming models trends. At this time, I do feel that there is a chance for a storm. Good stuff, Mitchel. Does Saturday's storm kind of create a pseudo 50/50 block and set the stage for this (potential) storm? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 It's not out of the realm of possibility that the late weekend storm could become a much bigger deal if the shortwave energy is able to consolidate more, the system in front of it gets out of the way faster, and some energy from the PV interacts with it. The Euro over the next couple of days will be telling, to see if it can intensify close enough to the coast. If these ingredients come together, it could be a MECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Still 28 at 2pm. Will the 30 at midnight be the cheap high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 On 1/13/2016 at 4:36 PM, Mitchel Volk said: Been tracking this storm all week. Each run is stronger with the short wave from the west coast.and the ECMWF from last night even made it stronger. I have a feeling this might be the one, and we may even see a phase up. I had a chance of snow for Sunday in my official forecast fro DSNY since Monday. It will be interesting to see the upcoming models trends. At this time, I do feel that there is a chance for a storm. Ecmwf wants nothing to do with Monday storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 On 1/13/2016 at 6:55 PM, Morris said: Still 28 at 2pm. Will the 30 at midnight be the cheap high? Either way 30 appears it'll be the high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 today will be the second day that the max was below freezing...with other cold air masses on track to hit us the 1952-53 winter will still hold that dubious record with only two such days for the season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Are we still on track for some light snow tonight? For those of us who have only seen 10 minutes of sleet and a few flakes yesterday this would be an ''event'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 On 1/13/2016 at 7:13 PM, nyblizz44 said: Are we still on track for some light snow tonight? For those of us who have only seen 10 minutes of sleet and a few flakes yesterday this would be an ''event'' I had a few flakes with at sleet. Lol, I think the air is going to be too dry. A bit of virga on deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 On 1/13/2016 at 7:13 PM, nyblizz44 said: Are we still on track for some light snow tonight? For those of us who have only seen 10 minutes of sleet and a few flakes yesterday this would be an ''event'' 18z NAM shows the snow showers from 4am to 8am. Similar to the Rgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 On 1/13/2016 at 8:00 PM, ag3 said: 18z NAM shows the snow showers from 4am to 8am. Similar to the Rgem. I'll take a few hours of pixie dust. I havent checked but what are 850s? -10-12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 How many traces does it take to get a coating? Or is it sort of like multiplying by 0, always ending up with 0? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 On 1/13/2016 at 8:18 PM, Stormlover74 said: How many traces does it take to get a coating? Or is it sort of like multiplying by 0, always ending up with 0? You had great teachers. The atmosphere is quite dry though, DP near 0 so if there's anything we probably get virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 On 1/13/2016 at 7:07 PM, uncle W said: today will be the second day that the max was below freezing...with other cold air masses on track to hit us the 1952-53 winter will still hold that dubious record with only two such days for the season... What is the record for the date of latest measurable snowfall in Central Park in a winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 On 1/13/2016 at 10:31 PM, tmagan said: What is the record for the date of latest measurable snowfall in Central Park in a winter? Maybe 1/29/73? http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-AA0BAE55-08F5-4E69-A974-0DE5B4780F8E.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Park down to 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 On 1/14/2016 at 12:17 AM, bluewave said: Maybe 1/29/73? http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-AA0BAE55-08F5-4E69-A974-0DE5B4780F8E.pdf yes that is right...second place goes to 1966 and 2000 with the 20th for their first measurable snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 On 1/14/2016 at 12:55 AM, Morris said: Park down to 24. Finally down to 23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 2nd time seeing flurries falling not a blockbuster but it is snowing ever so gently up here in the bronx.have some decent echoes approaching also.most folks might wake up with a nice coating this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 On 1/14/2016 at 10:11 AM, BxWeatherwatcher said: 2nd time seeing flurries falling not a blockbuster but it is snowing ever so gently up here in the bronx.have some decent echoes approaching also.most folks might wake up with a nice coating this morning. Nothing here in queens yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 On 1/14/2016 at 10:14 AM, seanick said: Nothing here in queens yet it should be there soon bud and those echos look juicy. just gotta wait till the air saturates a bit but a nice burst is def coming,with some more incoming show showers thru out the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 i have a coating already on all surfaces and still snowing lightly,looking at the whole picture the echos are still incoming from the west northwest so i might be in a sweet spot here in the north bronx.more might be developing coming off the mountains as well thru the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Coating on cars and other cold surfaces in Whitestone, Queens. Rgem rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Light (almost moderate) snow in Lake Grove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 On 1/14/2016 at 11:24 AM, ag3 said: Coating on cars and other cold surfaces in Whitestone, Queens. Rgem rules. ahh yes good ole snow!!!..a nice surprise for sure and it's not over yet,and the rgem was the only model to pick up this disturbance. i'm up here near yonkers and everything is covered in white including the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Dusted with some flurries continuing in southern Westchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Well I got a nice dusting here in Pelham, NY everybody missed this the most significant snow of this year so far lol. CMC was the only that had it and rgem of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 nice coating here in yonkers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 ooh ooh .8" with beautiful dendrites drifting lazily down through an almost sunny sky with patches of blue starting to show through So psyched! My season total is now over 1"!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 First legit snowfall of the season here. Just about a half inch. Everything covered for the first time this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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