SnoSki14 Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 64..how high will we go Enjoy, those gusty low 30s tomorrow won't feel so great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2112wxgrl Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Thunder in Wantage, NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Nice thunderstorm here in SW Suffolk earlier with very heavy downpours and 3 close lightning flashes. Had moderate coastal flooding with the morning high tide closing several streets near the Great South Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Better T-Storm and squall line than I had all of last summer! Topped out at 62, winds gusts over 40 and numerous lightning strikes nearby. Not bad for January in NJ! Now just need that 10"+ snow event in next couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 10, 2016 Author Share Posted January 10, 2016 Nice thunderstorm here in SW Suffolk earlier with very heavy downpours and 3 close lightning flashes. Had moderate coastal flooding with the morning high tide closing several streets near the Great South Bay. You move?My buddy in Lindenhurst had water surrounding his home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 You move? My buddy is Lindenhurst had water surrounding his home. Yeah, I officially joined the SW Suffolk County crew. Several streets around here had flooding along the creeks and canals leading to the Great South Bay. A few of the lowest areas had water creeping up near the edge of the lawns along the street. Stopped a about 1 foot short of coming up on the lowest parts of 27a near the local marinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Yeah, I officially joined the SW Suffolk County crew. Several streets around here had flooding along the creeks and canals leading to the Great South Bay. A few of the lowest areas had water creeping up near the edge of the lawns along the street. Stopped a about 1 foot short of coming up on the lowest parts of 27a near the local marinas. So you decided to punish yourself with south shore winters. Yikes. I purposefully moved to commack to avoid that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uniblab Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Hail in Staten Island...Crazy ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Enjoy, those gusty low 30s tomorrow won't feel so great. Meh it sure feels good to have +25 degrees in January 56 now feels like a mid May evening...exhilarating really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Three photos of the rainbows from late this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 Three photos of the rainbows from late this afternoon. Great photos Don. The bottom photo looks like a mid-July post t-storm skyline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 71 mph wind gust reported at Captree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 1/3 through January Departures through 1/10 - These should be erased by 1/21 NYC: +3.6 EWR: +3.7 LGA: +4.4 JFK: +3.3 TTN: +3.4 PHL: +4.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 71 mph wind gust reported at Captree.Wow. Saw that cell on radar. Amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Here's a short timelapse I shot of the line that moved through earlier. It pretty much broke up by the time it got to us, but it looks like points just north (Morristown area) got some storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Park down to 43 before 10 pm. Undercutting the original +20 departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 1/3 through January Departures through 1/10 - These should be erased by 1/21 NYC: +3.6 EWR: +3.7 LGA: +4.4 JFK: +3.3 TTN: +3.4 PHL: +4.3 Not sure they will be totally erased...most of the upcoming days are like 34/25 which is only -2, and NYC gets into the 40s Tuesday with the clipper heading well north following a midnight high tomorrow. If next weekend's significant storm cuts, that's another day in the 50s. So the departures will go down but may not be totally reversed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Not sure they will be totally erased...most of the upcoming days are like 34/25 which is only -2, and NYC gets into the 40s Tuesday with the clipper heading well north following a midnight high tomorrow. If next weekend's significant storm cuts, that's another day in the 50s. So the departures will go down but may not be totally reversed.The midnight high tomorrow will probably be in the high 30's, so not a big departure on the high. I agree with your overall assessment though, we will likely need the last 10 days to be BN to completely erase it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Not sure they will be totally erased...most of the upcoming days are like 34/25 which is only -2, and NYC gets into the 40s Tuesday with the clipper heading well north following a midnight high tomorrow. If next weekend's significant storm cuts, that's another day in the 50s. So the departures will go down but may not be totally reversed. I said pretty much the same thing earlier and was run out of town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/medr_mean.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Park down to 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Looks like the low will be 41, as well as tomorrow's high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Mixture of above and below normal temperature days set to continue. But the big story isn't the exact departure, it's that the current average temperature for the first 10 days of January is 14.6 degrees lower in NYC than December. So far it's a drop from 50.8 to 36.2 and it's the largest December to January drop since 1984-1985. NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 1/11/2016 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 MON 11| TUE 12| WED 13| THU 14| FRI 15| SAT 16| SUN 17| MON 18 CLIMO X/N 39| 24 41| 22 33| 20 31| 30 44| 38 46| 41 45| 32 38 24 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Park down to 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Mixture of above and below normal temperature days set to continue. But the big story isn't the exact departure, it's that the current average temperature for the first 10 days of January is 14.6 degrees lower in NYC than December. So far it's a drop from 50.8 to 36.2 and it's the largest December to January drop since 1984-1985. NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 1/11/2016 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 MON 11| TUE 12| WED 13| THU 14| FRI 15| SAT 16| SUN 17| MON 18 CLIMO X/N 39| 24 41| 22 33| 20 31| 30 44| 38 46| 41 45| 32 38 24 38 What does the x/n mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 What does the x/n mean Forecast high and low for each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 i continue to not be a fan of the look on the ensembles. i want to see a stronger band of negative anomalies south of the block. compare to 58 and 2010. the current models cut off the negative height anomalies around DC and they aren't that negative. we are going to have a pac air problem regardless of everyone doing cartwheelsbump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Forecast high and low for each day.Then what does tmp mean? On the next line that you didn't paste? I thought that was the temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Then what does tmp mean? On the next line that you didn't paste? I thought that was the temperature. Temperature at a specific point in time e.g., 12z. Some useful links: GFS: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/mavcard.php MEX: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/mexcard.php (GFS extended) NAM: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/namcard.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Despite the more favorable blocking pattern, the very strong El Nino and raging STJ are still lowering pressures over the SW US . This results in the more amplified storms pumping the ridge over the Northeast just enough for a warmer storm track than people want to see. That's how this past weekends storm and the one around the 16th come further NW than the long range models showed. The model skill really struggles with such a fast flow pattern in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.