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January 2016 Disco/Obs: A New Year, A New Pattern


Rjay

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When do the Euro weeklies come out tonight?

If one ventures outside tonight, that person would think that today's EPS and GEFS runs which crapped the bed after 1/20 was way out to lunch. Feels so brutal out there.

They relax the pattern and bring back the GOA week 4...but that's way out there...hopefully we get some snow next week

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Nothing is set in stone at all...especially for next week. It's a decent look all we would need is to time a sw right or a clipper...something models will never pick up this far out

I said this in NE I think Chris brought it up too. Sometime something sneaks up underneath the vortex and doesn't show up until it's 5 days out.

We may get an 8 day window.

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EPS day 1-7 above normal temps....7-14 below normal...14-21....little above normal....21-28 above normal.

Just saw the 46 day ensembles.

They are better than the weeklies.

The pull back that were on the ensembles at 12z that started on the 20, are fine in the means thru the 29th

So that means this week 3 is colder than last week's week 4 .

The pullback this time is Jan 29 thru the 7 .. so it's pushed back a week

Then Feb 7 thru 12 and 12 thru 17 look vg.

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