MJO812 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Euro is frigid moving forward after the 11-12storm with a -NAO towards the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Paulie a static image forecast till the 14th ? you are better than that ,post the rest of the loop for use please this is 48 hrs later 48 hours later is a 180 from the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 48 hours later is a 180 from the Euro Isn't that a good look? 50 50 trough in gulf high to the north -nao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Isn't that a good look? 50 50 trough in gulf high to the north -nao Bob Chill's work today in the Mid-Atlantic http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47425-january-medlong-range-discussion/page-34#entry3828846 Mahk its a good look.... if you want ice storms? http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/techrpts/tr9802/tr9802.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 I still can't find any standard '5 day period' on the any of the ensembles from 12Z suites that shows us BN (2MT's) during that relatively short time frame of 120hr. After 34 consecutive AN days, what kind of pattern change would be so stingy? I realize the differences from +13.3 in Dec (a million year event which should be investigated further to determine if our 30yr. normals should be allowed to continue unchanged) but that is my point, we should be stomping on that positive departure, extinguishing it like a cigarette butt, not just getting closer to normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Park down to 26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Park down to 26. the rest of the airports down to 27, this will be a very cold night in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 the rest of the airports down to 27, this will be a very cold night in the city. First below normal day (negative departure) for NYC, EWR, LGA, JFK since Nov 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 First below normal day (negative departure) for NYC, EWR, LGA, JFK since Nov 30. tomorrow should be greater without a cheap midnight high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 tomorrow should be greater without a cheap midnight highAt the same time today will also have a cheap low, as the temperature before midnight will be lower than the low of this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 park down to 23 before 5 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 park down to 23 before 5 pm. The north to north east wind is ideal for the park to drop very low what link do you use for temp updates around the metro? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 I hope the Pv doesn't suppress everything next week Maybe we could put something together right after the PV lifts out around day 11 to 15. The EPS shows a potential STJ disturbance lifting NE from the Gulf right as the pattern begins to modify day 11-15. Could be a long shot at this point, but sometimes we can get at least some snow right after a PV lifts NE to the 50/50 position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Down to 22. Very cold night incoming. Gonna suprise a few folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Maybe we could put something together right after the PV lifts out around day 11 to 15. The EPS shows a STJ disturbance lifting NE from the Gulf right as the pattern begins to modify day 11-15. Could be a long shot at this point, but sometimes we can get at least some snow right after a PV lifts NE to the 50/50 position. Very good post perhaps we can get lucky, or at least score a light snowfall as the eps has a chance at a clipper next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 This kinda reminds me of early Jan in 2012, where we had a night that dipped to 13F. A brief interlude in the torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 PV remains much more intact and drops quite a bit further south on the 18z GFS OP, shunting the baroclinic zone further East and taking a weak low pressure with it several hundred miles offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 The GFS remains somewhat interesting for late Friday night, especially well North and West. Verbatim moderate precipitation with surface temps in the middle 30's. The rest of the profile looks marginally above freezing, but not by much, especially North of 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Very good post perhaps we can get lucky, or at least score a light snowfall as the eps has a chance at a clipper next week. Yeah, it would be nice if clipper finds a way to sneak in around the time the PV is moving through Southern Canada. Sometimes we can also get lucky when the PV lifts out and there is enough cold left for snow with the right track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 This kinda reminds me of early Jan in 2012, where we had a night that dipped to 13F. A brief interlude in the torch. and then a 10 day stretch of winter around 1/20 which dropped 4 inches of snow here and that was it, it was back to the inferno aftr that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Down to 22. Very cold night incoming. Gonna suprise a few folks. 13 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 and then a 10 day stretch of winter around 1/20 which dropped 4 inches of snow here and that was it, it was back to the inferno aftr that... Yup, around MLK Day. I think the day it snowed we stayed in the 20s. That was pretty much it after that. Then we spent like a week+ above freezing in late Jan, which is insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Yup, around MLK Day. I think the day it snowed we stayed in the 20s. That was pretty much it after that. Then we spent like a week+ above freezing in late Jan, which is insane. it was a cold storm, was only 18 or so here during most of it and we got lucky getting into a band of enhanced precip in S CT. I remember it lifting out quickly....I call it the 10 day winter. Same deal in 01-02 almost to the week and amount of snow in our only storm of the year. Just awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 it was a cold storm, was only 18 or so here during most of it and we got lucky getting into a band of enhanced precip in S CT. I remember it lifting out quickly....I call it the 10 day winter. Same deal in 01-02 almost to the week and amount of snow in our only storm of the year. Just awful. Ha, in Jan '02 it hit 81 in the Shenandoah Valley of VA. I remember, it was my senior year of HS. I was getting into my car after school and it was like, WTF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Ha, in Jan '02 it hit 81 in the Shenandoah Valley of VA. I remember, it was my senior year of HS. I was getting into my car after school and it was like, WTF... Take it to the M.A. thread, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Take it to the M.A. thread, thanks. Why is he talking about Virginia in a January pattern thread for NYC metro? I speak collectively for the posters of this forum and truly nobody cares about your boring hometown stories in warm/snowless VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Why is he talking about Virginia in a January pattern thread for NYC metro? I speak collectively for the posters of this forum and truly nobody cares about your boring hometown stories in warm/snowless VA Bro, we were talking about past patterns. Honestly, it's nobody's fault here that it's snowless around here thus far, so chill out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 KNYC: 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Story this morning for the next 15 days . MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE is here. Below normal Temps Jan 1 thru 6 as one day KNYC may not hit freezing. Warm up muted. Likely 3 days max , weaker and it's gone. The seasons first winter storm is possible around day 11 Followed by a arctic outbreak days 11 thru 15 . Happy new year. I mean Holy sht , How do you criticize that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 I mean Holy sht , How do you criticize that easy, no snow.... sorry man, but that's what folks care about in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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