dryslot Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 a week of cold temps first would be better, but beggars can't be choosers I guess. 18F. Sure it would of, But we don't have a say.....lol, Looks to stay on the colder side going forward though with another arctic shot around the Jan 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Sure it would of, But we don't have a say.....lol, Looks to stay on the colder side going forward though with another arctic shot around the Jan 1-3 good. all the boys will be heading up north this weekend. I'll wait an extra week. Do you have the NOAA snowfall prediction link for ME? I always seem to forget the link. I had it in my phone, but lost it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Because its silly and doesn't happen Unfortunately, there are a lot of dumb mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 good. all the boys will be heading up north this weekend. I'll wait an extra week. Do you have the NOAA snowfall prediction link for ME? I always seem to forget the link. I had it in my phone, but lost it. After this storm, Up north should be in good shape with close to 20" in some of those areas, Here is the link http://www.weather.gov/gyx/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Fired off an obs thread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47489-december-28-30th-storm-obs-thread/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 A lot of the models blow up a band of heavier precip just east of us. Not too often models have more snow well east of Boston, but this might be a case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Pretty stiff NW wind earlier as well, Actually feels Arctic after all the warmth Sent from my iPhone Temps still in drop mode here. 25.2* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 A lot of the models blow up a band of heavier precip just east of us. Not too often models have more snow well east of Boston, but this might be a case. Congrats, James???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 I still would watch late tomorrow night ORH-east for colder air to come back and ice things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 I had decided yesterday that I wasn't going to worry about clearing my dirveway outside of the plowed area at the road. Decision holds, snowblower stays in the shed. I delayed buying the new snowblower Saturday to do some more research and price shopping. Now I'll have a wee bit more time. I still think we get 3" which I would usually blow but warm temps after should help out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 A lot of the models blow up a band of heavier precip just east of us. Not too often models have more snow well east of Boston, but this might be a case. I'm worried about the 06z-12z period having the best precip to our north. Something that wasn't really a worry even 24-36 hours ago after the warming trend had ceased. That would mean just an inch or two vs 3-5 north of the pike. I guess we will see how it shakes out soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 RGEM keeps ice almost entire event Never really warms interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 I'm worried about the 06z-12z period having the best precip to our north. Something that wasn't really a worry even 24-36 hours ago after the warming trend had ceased. That would mean just an inch or two vs 3-5 north of the pike. I guess we will see how it shakes out soon enough. Yeah fwiw the RPM was doing that yesterday too. The GFS originally had a nice thump, but that went north as well. I went and compared 00z and 6z, gfs and nothing stands out to me as to why the 6z run cut back big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Yeah fwiw the RPM was doing that yesterday too. The GFS originally had a nice thump, but that went north as well. I went and compared 00z and 6z, gfs and nothing stands out to me as to why the 6z run cut back big time. If it happens, it happens. I'm fine with it because I have to work, and the system is NBD, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 The NCAR WRF ensembles are very bullish on ZR potential. In fact, they have >0.75" of ice accretion in the foothills of the Berkshires. Here's the ensemble mean ZR accumulation and a forecasting sounding around Union, CT for 15z Tuesday. Given the anomalously warm mid level temperatures (500mb heights nearly 570dm) and a very well timed strong/cold/high high over Maine you have to think that this could be a pretty solid icing event in many areas. At least locally the GFS/NAM/Euro have all trended warmer overnight with little snow and a pretty quick transition to ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Just picked up 5" from round one. Warm ground doesn't seem to be effecting me...lol. Oh and it was 60F on Christmas Day. Myth=bed. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Puddles frozen on 93. Warm ground killing us. well obviously the ground isn't warm anymore....so it's a moot point. If the ground was still above freezing when it started snowing then it would melt snow. I'm just playing devils advocate, I know it doesn't have much of an impact....or any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 lol the Nam, Finally gets a clue somewhat, Really bumped up the qpf though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 well obviously the ground isn't warm anymore....so it's a moot point. If the ground was still above freezing when it started snowing then it would melt snow. I'm just playing devils advocate, I know it doesn't have much of an impact....or any. Exactly....the devil has no need for an advocate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 After this storm, Up north should be in good shape with close to 20" in some of those areas, Here is the link http://www.weather.gov/gyx/winter thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 The NCAR WRF ensembles are very bullish on ZR potential. In fact, they have >0.75" of ice accretion in the foothills of the Berkshires. Here's the ensemble mean ZR accumulation and a forecasting sounding around Union, CT for 15z Tuesday. Given the anomalously warm mid level temperatures (500mb heights nearly 570dm) and a very well timed strong/cold/high high over Maine you have to think that this could be a pretty solid icing event in many areas. At least locally the GFS/NAM/Euro have all trended warmer overnight with little snow and a pretty quick transition to ZR. That scenario would be a significant icing event for the Pioneer Valley. Buy extra gas for the generator type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 We meh Hope to get a little base on the trails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 The NCAR WRF ensembles are very bullish on ZR potential. In fact, they have >0.75" of ice accretion in the foothills of the Berkshires. Here's the ensemble mean ZR accumulation and a forecasting sounding around Union, CT for 15z Tuesday. Given the anomalously warm mid level temperatures (500mb heights nearly 570dm) and a very well timed strong/cold/high high over Maine you have to think that this could be a pretty solid icing event in many areas. At least locally the GFS/NAM/Euro have all trended warmer overnight with little snow and a pretty quick transition to ZR. Yup and we will take it!! Hopefully Eversource is going to have enough crews for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Man, what in the hell did NWS do to their site??? What a disaster..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Yup and we will take it!! Hopefully Eversource is going to have enough crews for this I don't think you have much to worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Man, what in the hell did NWS do to their site??? What a disaster..... It really blows now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Man, what in the hell did NWS do to their site??? What a disaster..... It's so bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Yup and we will take it!! Hopefully Eversource is going to have enough crews for this Hopefully your the only one without power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Hopefully your the only one without power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Having just gone outside, I have a theory of thermodynamics: if the air and ground are cold enough to freeze the piles of dogsh*t, they're cold enough to permit accumulation. 26.0/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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