OceanStWx Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Updated BOX map. Subtle differences Oh right, I made this a couple hours ago but got sidetracked. We have an event right now, so we can't have a Tuesday map up on the web yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 BOX definitely has warning criteria on the NH border, versus our more sleet tainted totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 BOX definitely has warning criteria on the NH border, versus our more sleet tainted totals. What you're showing in SW NH meshes well with what they're calling for in GC. Kind of a bummer, but it beats being in the 50's. Nice look for Sagadahoc. My family there wins bragging rights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 6z NAM was good entertainment as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 What you're showing in SW NH meshes well with what they're calling for in GC. Kind of a bummer, but it beats being in the 50's. Nice look for Sagadahoc. My family there wins bragging rights. Yeah not sure how that lolli got in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 The moose will be pleased Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 http://www.weather.gov/images/aly/winter/MaxSnowWeb.png ALY new winter potential maps, I like what they've done in the last couple years with their forecast maps and illustrations... Bottom line, potential for 5-6 max, or 2-3 min w/ .1-.25" of ice...I'll stick with my initial 3-6 then glaze for my area, then rain and warmth.. Looks like my birthday storm has lost luster for next week though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 http://www.weather.gov/images/aly/winter/MaxSnowWeb.png ALY new winter potential maps, I like what they've done in the last couple years with their forecast maps and illustrations... Bottom line, potential for 5-6 max, or 2-3 min w/ .1-.25" of ice...I'll stick with my initial 3-6 then glaze for my area, then rain and warmth.. Looks like my birthday storm has lost luster for next week though Those estimates seem high given the sleet potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 OUR PROLONGED PERIOD OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES MEANS THE GROUND IS NOT YET FROZEN IN MANYPLACES. THIS WILL MAKE IT TOUGH TO ACCUMULATE SNOW...IF IT DOESNOT FALL QUICKLY ENOUGH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Those estimates seem high given the sleet potential.Those are just max numbers..here is their best guess so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 GFS continues to be the most bullish which is sort of surprising as I would have expected it from the Euro. If anything, the GFS continues to tickle better each run. It does make sense to me as well. On the other hand, the EC is also stubborn with it's warm tongue it seems. It's still early too lock in on a solution where so many variables decide an outcome. A difference of 1-2F aloft for an hour or two may mean the difference of 2-3". The EC does make more sense to me in the lower levels. GFS too quick and too warm, especially inland I feel. They'll be a very weak secondary popping which should help lock in cold longer as winds stay more NE. Also have to watch overnight cold tuck south to perhaps ice things up again towards the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 OUR PROLONGED PERIOD OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES MEANS THE GROUND IS NOT YET FROZEN IN MANY PLACES. THIS WILL MAKE IT TOUGH TO ACCUMULATE SNOW...IF IT DOES NOT FALL QUICKLY ENOUGH. They have been pretty weak lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE NEWMEXICO CURRY COUNTY EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER.HIGH WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW HAVE LED TO EXTREMELY DANGEROUS ANDLIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS IN CURRY COUNTY. SNOW DRIFTS OF ATLEAST 8 FEET COMBINED WITH ZERO VISIBILITIES...WIND GUSTS INEXCESS OF 60 MPH AND NEGATIVE WIND CHILLS HAVE BEEN REPORTED. DONOT ATTEMPT TRAVEL AT THIS TIME. some pretty serious stuff going on there. pretty jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Those are just max numbers..here is their best guess so far I was more posting how impressed I am with their progress on winter graphics.. A couple years ago it was like a first grader drew it, now they have all that info...storm track, max/min, most likely, etc. But yea, I'm not expecting much more than a couple few inches at best. I think it's strange how warm 700 is compared to the 850 heights, something isn't right there Screenshot_2015-12-27-08-15-32.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 OUR PROLONGED PERIOD OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES MEANS THE GROUND IS NOT YET FROZEN IN MANY PLACES. THIS WILL MAKE IT TOUGH TO ACCUMULATE SNOW...IF IT DOES NOT FALL QUICKLY ENOUGH. I heard a local OCM say that too. Unfortunately those excuses continue to be like a bad drug habit for some mets to break. They keep going back to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 GFS continues to be the most bullish which is sort of surprising as I would have expected it from the Euro. If anything, the GFS continues to tickle better each run. It does make sense to me as well. On the other hand, the EC is also stubborn with it's warm tongue it seems. It's still early to lock in on a solution where so many variables decide an outcome. A difference of 1-2F aloft for an hour or two may mean the difference of 2-3". The EC does make more sense to me in the lower levels. GFS to quick and too warm, especially inland I feel. They'll be a very weak secondarr popping which should help lock in cold longer as winds stay more NE. Also have to watch overnight cold tuck south to perhaps ice things up again towards the coast.Yeah GFS and euro have been fairly stubborn for 3 runs in a row. Not too far apart but the slight difference is like 7" for BOS vs maybe 3-4". Still have another couple model suites to fine tune it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 I heard a local OCM say that too. Unfortunately those excuses continue to be like a bad drug habit for some mets to break. They keep going back to it. I think that's only valid if you're talking about anafrontal stuff where the ground is still warm for the rain that fell previously. Pavements temps will be well below freezing when the snow starts with that antecedent airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Those are just max numbers..here is their best guess so far I was more posting how impressed I am with their progress on winter graphics.. A couple years ago it was like a first grader drew it, now they have all that info...storm track, max/min, most likely, etc. But yea, I'm not expecting much more than a couple few inches at best. I think it's strange how warm 700 is compared to the 850 heights, something isn't right there Screenshot_2015-12-27-08-15-32.png Right, I agree its nice seeing the options they have available. They do a decent job on FB too. But yea, 4-6 Im thinking here before the switch. Being on the western side of the Greens in this event, that warm air can fly up the HV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Oh right, I made this a couple hours ago but got sidetracked. We have an event right now, so we can't have a Tuesday map up on the web yet. StormTotalSnow_SFC_chrisl.png Nice, I called 4-8" with some one getting a shot at 10", I had it back towards IZG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 The moose will be pleased So won't the snowmobilers and skiers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Most on air mets not impressed and calling for just a coating to an inch or two inside 128. I'm sticking with my first call of 3-5" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Nam looks pretty solid for the pike region for high end advisory to low end warning. Caveats still as 48-54 is still not very trustworthy on that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 So won't the snowmobilers and skiersIs it getting close to being rideable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Most on air mets not impressed and calling for just a coating to an inch or two inside 128. I'm sticking with my first call of 3-5" here. I am thinking the Boston Mets will bump up an inch or two by Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Is it getting close to being rideable? No, Not at all, But we need to start building a base, The are getting 6-8" up in those areas today and then about the same again on tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Had to cancel my trip to northern Aroostook. There was no riding. Today's snow should get them up and running somewhat. And the mid week storm should put them in business to stay lets hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Nam looks pretty solid for the pike region for high end advisory to low end warning. Caveats still as 48-54 is still not very trustworthy on that model. You thinking skunk s of I-90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 NAM is such a garbage model, Those totals over Northern Miane includes whats falling up there today but it looks to be real warm for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Most on air mets not impressed and calling for just a coating to an inch or two inside 128. I'm sticking with my first call of 3-5" here. Wonder where they're getting their info.? It's impossible for Boston not to see at least 3" from the thump in the beginning. Egregious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Ryan's station(issued by a non met who does weekend mornings) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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