Late December miracle early next week!?

[moneypitmike]

I'm going with 4-8" here

 

Same for here----though thinking 7" is the more likely high end out this way.  Better toward Hubb up to you.

[ORH_wxman]

Hey, what's the start time for Pittsfield on the euro folks? There's an 80% chance of me chasing. Plenty of rooms at the Hilton Garden Inn and Fairfield Inn. Thanks.

I'd definitely go another hour northeast into a place like SW NH.

[dryslot]

Same for here----though thinking 7" is the more likely high end out this way.  Better toward Hubb up to you.

 

Yeah your in a good spot being further north of the pike, Somebody may see a loli to 10" probably back towards IZG up this way

[powderfreak]

There really is not a sharp ramp up beyond KLWM, though.....general 5-7" through SW ME....not much more until you get to around Bangor over to Jackman.

It's pretty much 4-8" from RT 2 northward through all of VT/NH/ME.

[mitchnick]

Meh. It's already 5.5 hrs from me and the thought of another hour doesn't sit too well. Surprised to hear about downsloping as it sits just over 1000'. And I thought all I needed to do was to get north of 40 and always snows! I'm gonna wait until tomorrow's runs before making a final decision. Thanks all for your thoughts.

[powderfreak]

Pittsfield MA could possibly pull off 4-5 if everything goes right but 10 seems a very low probability and 3 inches seems more reasonable given how far west they are.

Western Mass can thump just as hard as anyone else in this situation, northern Berks into the southern Greens definitely a 3-6/4-8" type look. Sometimes they can do really well with good QPF on a SW upslope flow into the hills out of the Hudson Valley.

[powderfreak]

Meh. It's already 5.5 hrs from me and the thought of another hour doesn't sit too well. Surprised to hear about downsloping as it sits just over 1000'. And I thought all I needed to do was to get north of 40 and always snows! I'm gonna wait until tomorrow's runs before making a final decision. Thanks all for your thoughts.

It's not that it downslopes but you'd want to be east of the crest to hold the cold. I bet the east slopes of the Greens down in SVT like Mt Snow/Wilmington at 1,700ft will do quite well.

[powderfreak]

You don't want to go to an area that tends to downslope . Head to ORH or NE of there

They downslope on easterly flow. This won't be. Their issue is low to mid-level warmth screaming in quickly before it slows hitting the cold dome from the summits eastward.

[Damage In Tolland]

They downslope on easterly flow. This won't be. Their issue is low to mid-level warmth screaming in quickly before it slows hitting the cold dome from the summits eastward.

Those relative downslope areas there downslope in every direction. They just get screwed different ways

[nzucker]

Gfs gives them 10". What about the euro?

You're really going to chase this crappy SW Flow event that is a disaster of mid-level warmth and will be 75% sleet/ice?

Is this just because it's XMAS break? If so, I get it. If not, why don't you save your snow chase for a better storm? Given the El Nino, I expect a real stemwinder. Even if it cuts, you could feel its effect chasing in Canada where there is deep snowpack and a wintry atmosphere.

I would think you'd be better off with a steonger storm later in the season when there is ample snow cover, but what do I know?

[ORH_wxman]

Those relative downslope areas there downslope in every direction. They just get screwed different ways

PSF area gets upslope on W flow. They will get those LES streamers.

[Ginx snewx]

You're really going to chase this crappy SW Flow event that is a disaster of mid-level warmth and will be 75% sleet/ice?

Is this just because it's XMAS break? If so, I get it. If not, why don't you save your snow chase for a better storm? Given the El Nino, I expect

I would love to be in Dendrites shoes. It's not all sleet for many either. Hunchie and MPM could score 8-10

[ORH_wxman]

I think it is a good decision to wait if you are chasing. See if it ticks colder.

[Stash]

I thought Pittsfield averages about as much snow as ORH and NE Mass...downsloping shouldn't screw them too much.  An easterly flow downslope issue makes more sense for them there, like the northern Hudson Valley.  

Those relative downslope areas there downslope in every direction. They just get screwed different ways

[mitchnick]

You're really going to chase this crappy SW Flow event that is a disaster of mid-level warmth and will be 75% sleet/ice?

Is this just because it's XMAS break? If so, I get it. If not, why don't you save your snow chase for a better storm? Given the El Nino, I expect a real stemwinde r. Even if it cuts, you could feel its effect chasing in Canada where there is ,7

Well, my wife and I took off next week so it's either north to chase or OC, MD then Williamsburg. Either way, I'm going somewhere.

[ROOSTA]

I'm getting out sometime Monday. Feeling kind of cool if not cold especially today. These bones have acclimated to warm and humid. Last three days at "home" have been mid 80's with the dews not dropping below 65F. Getting out Monday just about guarentees a good 3-6" in Greater Boston metro 36 hours of departure. 

[Ginx snewx]

Well, my wife and I took off next week so it's either north to chase or OC, MD then Williamsburg. Either way, I'm going somewhere.

make it a win, just head North to Maine. I mean you have a week. Bethel Maine is beautiful,good restaurants,casino on 26, North Conway outlets an hour away. Go for it

[alex]

If anyone is interested, my place at 1250' in Bartlett, on the Jackson side, is available for rent (2 bedroom/2 bathroom). Was booked for the holidays since I'm out West but we had a last minute cancellation.

 

https://www.airbnb.com/rooms/9634693

[powderfreak]

Those relative downslope areas there downslope in every direction. They just get screwed different ways

They do just fine in westerly flow events, better than MPM, just ask Mitch. They do get screwed different ways but it's not always from downslope.

[Ginx snewx]

If anyone is interested, my place at 1250' in Bartlett, on the Jackson side, is available for rent (2 bedroom/2 bathroom). Was booked for the holidays since I'm out West but we had a last minute cancellation.

https://www.airbnb.com/rooms/9634693

there ya go Mitch, on the cheap I assume

[CoastalWx]

From about KLWM points ne grabs a 5-spot, me to Hunchie gets 4", KBOS 3", Scooter to ORH is 2", Kev is 1" or less.

I'm hoping for 2-3 here as a preliminary guess. I'll probably do similar to Boston based on these events.

[alex]

there ya go Mitch, on the cheap I assume

225/night... But I'd give a discount to people on here of course.

[Ginx snewx]

225/night... But I'd give a discount to people on here of course.

nice

[Ginx snewx]

[Ginx snewx]

RPM ^^

[powderfreak]

RPM ^^

 

We'd hit it. 

[codfishsnowman]

At least most of us get our first measurable....the way we live now.....

[TalcottWx]

Not feeling too confident. I like warning snows berks n orh country and into NNE. Concerned about warming temps at or around 700mb as per euro. Obviously many start as snow but that just screams bad snow growth. Might hurt the WAA thump and lead to a good sleet smashing vs. snow. Colder low levels but somewhat toasty mid levels.

I don't see anything much to change my thinking here. Advisories along and south of the Pike. Warning snows possibly along the NH/MA border. I'd like 2-4" BOS. 3-5" here in Andover. Probably spot 6-7" somewhere in S NH. 

[TalcottWx]

This looks pretty damn good with what I see aloft.. 

[TalcottWx]

Boston probably right about 3"? Kevin will probably be close to that. There is going to be a sneaky spot somewhere in CT that probably thumps their way higher than BOS?