40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Does it get that NYD Storm to deliver? Jackpots from us to Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Wow, GEM CJs me again on NYE...very pronounced one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 The Euro has that has a rainer pretty far north. I asked earlier, but mets didn't answer if that had a chance of trending colder The 12Z NAM at 84 is similar to the 00Z Euro at 96 that right there tells me the Euro is probably dropping the ball on this system. I've felt for days that it's over amping and too slow ejecting this out of the southern plains given that trof that is crashing into the West Coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Wow, GEM CJs me again on NYE...very pronounced one congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 I'm actually skeptical of the euro a bit. It's been lagging behind with respects to the speed out of the sw. It may be right in the end but I'm not ready to latch onto it's snow amounts for CT just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 The 12Z NAM at 84 is similar to the 00Z Euro at 96 that right there tells me the Euro is probably dropping the ball on this system. I've felt for days that it's over amping and too slow ejecting this out of the southern plains given that trof that is crashing into the West Coast Yup...My thoughts, but better said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Out of curiosity, is the newer Euro similar to its current counterpart?yes pretty identical. Congrats NE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Bridge jumpers in GC unite. The qpf nightmare begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 25, 2015 Author Share Posted December 25, 2015 likely wont happen but wow! its great that winter is about to begin Bridge jumpers in GC unite. The qpf nightmare begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 The 12Z NAM at 84 is similar to the 00Z Euro at 96 that right there tells me the Euro is probably dropping the ball on this system. I've felt for days that it's over amping and too slow ejecting this out of the southern plains given that trof that is crashing into the West Coast Was surprised the Euro was so warm with that one as other guidance is colder. Might be more of an ice interior, cold rain coast deals..This is the NYE/NYD storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Bridge jumpers in GC unite. The qpf nightmare begins. Huh? That map gives your area more than twice mine. At least it's better than some of yesterday's maps, which had my place not even getting advisory snow - just a bit too mild for tomorrow night's event and 25-50 miles or so too far north for Tuesday's. 06z gfs had Tuesday's qpf over 0.5", which would be nice. Of course, last Feb/Mar that model would show increasing qpf for several days, then last day before the storm would chop it by 1/2 to 2/3. (Which, of course, would verify.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Bridge jumpers in GC unite. The qpf nightmare begins. Everyone from Kevin to Ray and SE doing naked snow angels while you and I clear driveways with brooms? I think we'll be just fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Huh? That map gives your area more than twice mine. At least it's better than some of yesterday's maps, which had my place not even getting advisory snow - just a bit too mild for tomorrow night's event and 25-50 miles or so too far north for Tuesday's. 06z gfs had Tuesday's qpf over 0.5", which would be nice. Of course, last Feb/Mar that model would show increasing qpf for several days, then last day before the storm would chop it by 1/2 to 2/3. (Which, of course, would verify.) Happy Holidays...your thought on southern ,NH? mix? or mostly snow.....ty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Huh? That map gives your area more than twice mine. At least it's better than some of yesterday's maps, which had my place not even getting advisory snow - just a bit too mild for tomorrow night's event and 25-50 miles or so too far north for Tuesday's. 06z gfs had Tuesday's qpf over 0.5", which would be nice. Of course, last Feb/Mar that model would show increasing qpf for several days, then last day before the storm would chop it by 1/2 to 2/3. (Which, of course, would verify.) lol the most skeptical posters of snowstorms are in NNE and WNE, where climo snowfall is highest. Always makes me chuckle but I'm right there with ya for the most part. We expect it to snow in Mass, that's a given . (sarcasm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 lol the most skeptical posters of snowstorms are in NNE and WNE, where climo snowfall is highest. Always makes me chuckle but I'm right there with ya for the most part. We expect it to snow in Mass, that's a given . (sarcasm). Nobody wants the grinch stealing there snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Huh? That map gives your area more than twice mine. At least it's better than some of yesterday's maps, which had my place not even getting advisory snow - just a bit too mild for tomorrow night's event and 25-50 miles or so too far north for Tuesday's. 06z gfs had Tuesday's qpf over 0.5", which would be nice. Of course, last Feb/Mar that model would show increasing qpf for several days, then last day before the storm would chop it by 1/2 to 2/3. (Which, of course, would verify.) His avatar isn't Eeyore for nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Gfs warmer than 0z....guess it was too cold last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 12z GFS slower this run further north and warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Too early to claim guidance victory but looks like I was wrong thinking euro was lagging behind. This is starting to tick back north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 GFS pretty much wiped out substantial snows south of the MA/CT border -- maybe an inch then over to a bit of icing and then rain. Big hit for CNE/NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Ya snow goose euro is off its rocker eh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 That's not a good look for anyone south of the pike really..... Maybe an inch or two of snow and over to rain...... Long ways to go but that's not a good run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 GFS pretty much wiped out substantial snows south of the MA/CT border -- maybe an inch then over to a bit of icing and then rain. Big hit for CNE/NNE. Not surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Nice hang back snows for nne. Ski resorts rejoice, winter has been saved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Ya snow goose euro is off its rocker eh Great analysis and contribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Too early to claim guidance victory but looks like I was wrong thinking euro was lagging behind. This is starting to tick back north. It was originally to slow ejecting it, but hump that rationale indefinitely at your own peril. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 3-6, 4-8"....worst case 2-5" for my area. Don't go nuts in the outer direction either because we will probably see some over trending.... that is a nice high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 The GFS still is much earlier bringing precip in than the Euro is the Euro was pretty bone dry at 102 hours the GFS at 90 is notably wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 GGEM is substantially north of its 00z solution as well. So definitely a tick back the other direction thus far at 12z after a notable colder tick most of yesterday. I'd advise that people continue to remember that since we have been tracking this since 7+ days out, we are still almost 4 days out right now which is an absolute eternity in model world for an event so dependent on timing such a this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 These slower solutions with the ULL ejecting out of the SW end up further north and the faster solutions end up further south in the timing with the HP moving over head so going forward have to see in future runs which way this goes and somewhere in between is plausible as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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