SnowGoose69 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 HP is moving east quicker, primary low getting stronger each run. Seasonal trend ridgey east. All adds up to chance of a pure cutter increasing. Which may be good for a storm a couple days later? Not really. A cutter wouldnt push the baroclinic zone or trof enough towards the coast if it went straight into Canada. By far a stronger secondary by the first storm helps the possible 2nd event a few days after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 IMBY, even wxbell which counts sleet, only has 0.5" on GFS. A few flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Real question will be, what end up being the right model! Gfs version or euros! They are both warm and north now so it doesn't matter for your backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Real question will be, what end up being the right model! Gfs version or euros! It's bizarre to see the NAM POSSIBLy be right at that range I'm pretty sure I've never seen that happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 They are both warm and north now so it doesn't matter for your backyard. Not caring too much about my area anyway, though last year, not once did I turn to plain rain during those iffy events. Ended up being freezing rain or snowy sleet bank to snow.. made for many beautiful photos. 27 years and last winter first I ever seen so many events where things ended up becoming ice coated!. Quite impressive I must say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Not the end of the worldthat map is a joke. this is more realistic: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Was talking to my met friend and both agreed, how this year and last,though not the same totally, this upcoming 2016 kinda reminds me of how we were December into January..warm not really any snow,then bam cold snow.. will this repeat? Who knows! I'm all for miracles One thing I'm highly confident of is we won't have a snowless December there will be at least a trace at Central Park Tuesday unless this thing just totally implodes on us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 that map is a joke. this is more realistic: 10 to 12 I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 25, 2015 Author Share Posted December 25, 2015 Lol, nobody look at the GEM if you wanna enjoy your Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Canadian is west and alot stronger @ 78.. lol Game over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 that map is a joke. this is more realistic: Lol a red tagger using clown maps to fit his agenda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 25, 2015 Author Share Posted December 25, 2015 Candian just caved to the euro AND then some! No Bueno with these trends today, GEM went from bullish totals, to complete miss for everyone in these sub Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Chicago also gets skunked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 25, 2015 Author Share Posted December 25, 2015 Far northern NY through VT/NH and Maine gets slammed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 This threat is trending warmer even for sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 25, 2015 Author Share Posted December 25, 2015 We've seen this happen before, don't everybody jump the bridge on xmas, still 4 days... I'll remain optimistic until I see a full 24 hours worth of model consensus to this solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 0z GEM @ 102 had a 1003 on the Ohio/Indiana border, 12z @ 90 has a 996 sitting on the IL/IA/MO border lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 25, 2015 Author Share Posted December 25, 2015 0z GEM @ 102 had a 1003 on the Ohio/Indiana border, 12z @ 90 has a 996 sitting on the IL/IA/MO border lol.. I still don't buy this being that strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 I still don't buy this being that strong Any reason why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Dr. No will remove lingering doubts about trends today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christopher Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 If you guys forgot we still in El nino and December. Still 4 days away from the event. Enjoy your green Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Not too surprising seeing this trending much warmer. It was probably wishful thinking to believe that we could get a frozen event in this blowtorch pattern in December. Not impossible of course, but it would require perfect timing. We likely have to wait until January when the pattern changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Euro is further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Zero on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 EPS agrees with the operational Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 GFS has shown mixed precipitation as far as NYC for days, well before most on here even noticed. At the very least, this storm drops a coating in Central Park. That is quite the feat during a December that is warmer than the average October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 I had snow showers in October. And then again snow and sleet on a front line moving thru,I want to say at night in November. Lol talk about crazy weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 18z gfs is colder with the storm again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 The storm is still pretty warm overall. A couple of inches N&W before sleet and then a washout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 What's up with long island and south of NYC seeing accumulation lol that's funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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