ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Yes. You said it isn't out of the envelope of possibilities. And I asked if you honestly thought that would happen......IOW, gut instinct. And I also said I was skeptical. The two aren't mutually exclusive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Inv troughs do happen. With the PV diving down like that...it's not like flat out 100% no. However, I agree it's not likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 And I also said I was skeptical. The two aren't mutually exclusive. Ok. My bad, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Inv troughs do happen. With the PV diving down like that...it's not like flat out 100% no. However, I agree it's not likely. Yea, they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Inv troughs do happen. With the PV diving down like that...it's not like flat out 100% no. However, I agree it's not likely. We probably get at least two inv trough events per winter...they usually are not large events (often 1-3 type systems), but they happen. More rarely, we'll get a larger inv trough event (like Feb 2013 and MLK 2014) I would never predict one though this far out (4-5 days). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 What is that supposed to mean? Sarcasm? My amazing wit knowing how you'd respond to the thought of an invterty storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 We probably get at least two inv trough events per winter...they usually are not large events (often 1-3 type systems), but they happen. More rarely, we'll get a larger inv trough event (like Feb 2013 and MLK 2014) I would never predict one though this far out (4-5 days). pretty sure no one predicted one but I will say I have been "watching' for the possibility for a couple of days. Precursors are there, like yesterday . Is it rare yes, but I said yesterday the coast would fare better Monday than Saturday. Just a gut instinct of mine. I was happy to see the Euro agreed last night, might change in 2 hours but at least for one run prior to the run I had an idea, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 My amazing wit knowing how you'd respond to the thought of an invterty storm. Man, I'm asleep at the wheel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Man, I'm asleep at the wheel. You spent so much energy on Saturday; you need to recoup for the Monday possibility. FWIW, I'm holding out hope for a couple inches up this way still for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 Saturday may end up sunny now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Was a great Norlun that hit CT in Jan 11..picked up about 10 inches from it. It was amazing!! Hit mostly Western areas with the intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 https://twitter.com/judah47/status/687381690776424448 What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Definitely signs that flow becomes more Pacific dominated. Bad news is that we may not have the cold. On the flip side, it may be more active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 Definitely signs that flow becomes more Pacific dominated. Bad news is that we may not have the cold. On the flip side, it may be more active. More rainers would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 More rainers would be nice Hopefully. Roads are salty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 Hopefully. Roads are salty. All those posts yesterday and earlier about promising pattern..snowy looks etc..instead this weekend now rains to Maine..and we lose the cold and entertain more chances of rain moving forward. All that crap I took about forecasting a ratter backed up with my reasoning. And here we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 All those posts yesterday and earlier about promising pattern..snowy looks etc..instead this weekend now rains to Maine..and we lose the cold and entertain more chances of rain moving forward. All that crap I took about forecasting a ratter backed up with my reasoning. And here we are. Spiking the ball pre Jan 15? You get crap because you pull stuff out of your behind and use hyperbole. Just like last winter was the "take what we can get, nickel and dime winter." Your first paragraph explains it all. Nobody said that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 Spiking the ball pre Jan 15? You get crap because you pull stuff out of your behind and use hyperbole. Just like last winter was the "take what we can get, nickel and dime winter." Your first paragraph explains it all. Nobody said that. At least it's snowing this morning. You just posted we lose the cold yet get more active. Unless I misunderstand..that translates to RAIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 At least it's snowing this morning. You just posted we lose the cold yet get more active. Unless I misunderstand..that translates to RAIN You misunderstood. Cold as in like BN. We don't need -10 departures, but of course we don't want +10. Maybe it's rain...maybe it's snowy, but mild. I don't know. There is still a decent ridge out in NW Canada, but PAC jet crashes into CA too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 What are the odds that the subtropical storm Alex which is forecast to move to close to 50/50, becomes the pattern changer blocking that we need to produce here in new England? What effect will this have is my question, I guess, nobody is talking about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Well ot but I looked up from my coffee and we snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Definitely signs that flow becomes more Pacific dominated. Bad news is that we may not have the cold. On the flip side, it may be more active. Eps continues to get warmer in the 11-15 day range more pac flow , HM said we go back to typical Nino climo the end of January. Might get ugly if that happens, but on the other hand it never really started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 No he didn't. He said normal temps end of Jan and early Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 No he didn't. He said normal temps end of Jan and early Feb Yeah, more typical Nino. Maybe normal to a bit AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I don't give a crap about temps. You need storms which we sort of have been lacking. At least that looks to try and happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I don't give a crap about temps. You need storms which we sort of have been lacking. At least that looks to try and happen. Very excited about the upcoming pattern myself. Debbies gonna Debra what cha gonna do? I am sure Champy who posts every two years will come in here and chastise me but I don't care. All we ask for is chances in late Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I don't give a crap about temps. You need storms which we sort of have been lacking. At least that looks to try and happen. Yeah bring the storms...maybe it does rain, but this one synoptic storm every 7-10 days (that have been trending to crap the bed) is boring from that end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 No he didn't. He said normal temps end of Jan and early Feb@antmasiello 8m8 minutes ago@wxmvpete and this simply means, I don't favor an east coast low or anything like that. Enough lingering cold possibly for wintry start here @wxmvpete 7m7 minutes ago @antmasiello Does make that next weekend window intriguing but how long the cold sticks around in the east in this pattern is tough to tell @antmasiello 6m6 minutes ago @wxmvpete I'm not optimistic for anything substantial here and I'm leaning against the GFS suite. @wxmvpete 5m5 minutes ago @antmasiello Think I'm in your camp too. Just haven't seen anything in the 11-15 day window to support good cold in the east @antmasiello 4m4 minutes ago @wxmvpete it's only going to get worse later in month into at least the first third of Feb as Pac and PV ramp up @antmasiello 3m3 minutes ago @wxmvpete I'm banking on a mid Feb PNA flip as waves retrograde some and possibly more NAO help arrives. Quote You sure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 They said no "good cold". Doesn't necessarily mean we can't snow. Esp up here in NE. Active pattern is what we want. Worry about temps second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 @antmasiello 8m8 minutes ago @wxmvpete and this simply means, I don't favor an east coast low or anything like that. Enough lingering cold possibly for wintry start here @wxmvpete 7m7 minutes ago @antmasiello Does make that next weekend window intriguing but how long the cold sticks around in the east in this pattern is tough to tell @antmasiello 6m6 minutes ago @wxmvpete I'm not optimistic for anything substantial here and I'm leaning against the GFS suite. @wxmvpete 5m5 minutes ago @antmasiello Think I'm in your camp too. Just haven't seen anything in the 11-15 day window to support good cold in the east @antmasiello 4m4 minutes ago @wxmvpete it's only going to get worse later in month into at least the first third of Feb as Pac and PV ramp up @antmasiello 3m3 minutes ago @wxmvpete I'm banking on a mid Feb PNA flip as waves retrograde some and possibly more NAO help arrives. Quote You sure? Yup Anthony Masiello @antmasiello 2h 2 hours ago @antmasiello what this means is what I've already outlined (for those asking).A return of traditional T anomaly for CONUS Late Jan-early Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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