Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2016 Author Share Posted January 7, 2016 it is a months means, classic blocking sig imhoForgive him, he's been away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 To many cabanna boys and umbrella drinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Forgive him, he's been away100dcm deviations over the Arctic and Greenland imply ridging imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 That's a trough in the Davis straits lol. Who's drunk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 It's sort of weak east based ridging, but that is a Nino look with lack of cold in Canada relatively speaking. You can have troughing and AN heights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Definitely an active weenie look on the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Definitely an active weenie look on the ensembles.crazy EPS run, that block is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Friday night is looking slightly colder out here. Glazed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Something tells me this is going to be fun GINX FEB 2M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Excuse my lack of knowledge but wouldn't it be better if we where sub 540? Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Those are heights...not thicknesses. I'm not sure why the maps highlight 540dm as if it's a critical thickness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Umm RY have you seen the Arctic cold coming those SSTs will not impact any temps, unless it's north of the Cape Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Its a marginal airmass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 It's -10C Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Ok James. Let me know how much you get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 1065 high in Greenland on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 6z GFS is just offshore, I will Ray Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 The overall theme last 3 days has been to retro GOAK trough, thus helping more +PNA and also better ridging into Greenland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 The overall theme last 3 days has been to retro GOAK trough, thus helping more +PNA and also better ridging into Greenland. Wow, who would have thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 1065 high in Greenland on the GFS Scooter: "Well, that 1065 isn't mb from high pressure...it's the count of weenies that have plunged" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 This week has felt like winter and when it's dry, it's not much fun. Let's roll with the stj already! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 This week has felt like winter and when it's dry, it's not much fun. Let's roll with the stj already! We need a good, torrential rain to wash my car. Hell knows I'm not gonna do it. No time. Life as a fashion mogul is too demanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Scooter: "Well, that 1065 isn't mb from high pressure...it's the count of weenies that have plunged" Hey I went for a good Feb too. Still holding out. My only difference, is that Jan will have a more -AO than I thought. Whether or not that maintains into Feb is a bit of a question mark, but hopefully a good sign. I think 50mb strat is showing signs of another warming possible in NPAC again. Only downfall is if IO fires up. Right now, I don't think it's a huge player. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Hey I went for a good Feb too. Still holding out. My only difference, is that Jan will have a more -AO than I thought. Whether or not that maintains into Feb is a bit of a question mark, but hopefully a good sign. I think 50mb strat is showing signs of another warming possible in NPAC again. Only downfall is if IO fires up. Right now, I don't think it's a huge player. I'm only kidding. In reality, the pattern changing as done nothing to undermine your prior assertions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 If nothing else, at least we have a more wintry appeal next Wednesday through Friday with the colder temperatures and northern stream energy producing at least some type of light snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Hey I went for a good Feb too. Still holding out. My only difference, is that Jan will have a more -AO than I thought. Whether or not that maintains into Feb is a bit of a question mark, but hopefully a good sign. I think 50mb strat is showing signs of another warming possible in NPAC again. Only downfall is if IO fires up. Right now, I don't think it's a huge player. What I remember from Don S, is that when we get such a low AO, usually a 4-6 week period of blocking ensues. My optimism about next Wed is based on the steep fall of the AO and the NAO...I think that means we trend better deeper slower. BTW, I always see the return of Zeus as a winter/snow bellweather. I pair that up with a decrease in Forky posts, which always happens when we turn towards colder and snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 If nothing else, at least we have a more wintry appeal next Wednesday through Friday with the colder temperatures and northern stream energy producing at least some type of light snowfall. With a total of 0.5" of sleet so far this winter, a pattern with frequent clippers is fine by me. Increase the frequency of those and maybe one ends up bombing out and giving us more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 What I remember from Don S, is that when we get such a low AO, usually a 4-6 week period of blocking ensues. My optimism about next Wed is based on the steep fall of the AO and the NAO...I think that means we trend better deeper slower. BTW, I always see the return of Zeus as a winter/snow bellweather. I pair that up with a decrease in Forky posts, which always happens when we turn towards colder and snowier. The Zeus/Forky posting frequency should have an index for the changing of a weather pattern in the winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Superstorm 93 did a very interesting writeup in the NYC Longrange thread. Talks about similarities to 09-10 set up...pulls in Uli, and the AO drop, the retrographing GOA trough. Very interesting. Perhaps a jan-Feb 2010 pattern but a bit further north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Superstorm 93 did a very interesting writeup in the NYC Longrange thread. Talks about similarities to 09-10 set up...pulls in Uli, and the AO drop, the retrographing GOA trough. Very interesting. Perhaps a jan-Feb 2010 pattern but a bit further north? He isn't the only one to make that analogy. Another pro met from the DC area did... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 4-6 weeks sounds about right because I do not foresee a huge March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 4-6 weeks sounds about right because I do not foresee a huge March.It looks like you made a pretty good call so far for late January and possibly February, the way things are progressing right now. And yea, just going off climo for strong and "super" Ninos, March normally sucks as far as cold and snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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