USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 If all the energy comes out, someone will receive a monster blizzard and I hope that it's SNE Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Scottsaidthemodels would be a mess this week due to so much southern stream. I would bet on a Fri and Saturday storm and a Monday Tuesday storm at this point, because precipitation has been signalled for nextweekend for a while. Btw gyxw discussion weird today as intro paragraph long range write up and zones are out of sync quite a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Oh man thanks DSNOW,that was 956 at the BM. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 What a bunch of weenies on the overnights.You would almost think there was a threat modeled inside of d6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2016 Author Share Posted January 3, 2016 Well I still think there's only 1 main system out of all this mess..Would be shame to come out of this cold 2 week period before it's back AN with no snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 You would almost think there was a threat modeled inside of d6. No kidding. I started skimming the thread this morning and thought there'd been some sort of dramatic change in the short/medium-range based on the way some were debating QPF, ratios and elevation. Definitely a ho-hum AFD from GYX, FWIW. Not sold on a full-fledge pattern change, and meh about any weekend threat at this point. I'll enjoy the couple days of deep winter temps and will check back later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 NAM closes off H5 over PA for trough tomorrow Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Water Vapor imagery depicts a more amplified Arctic jet stream Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 The only models anyone should be watching are the ensembles over the next 2-3 days, Your not going to get any consensus from op runs, Discussing track, Jackpots and start times this far out is pure weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 You would almost think there was a threat modeled inside of d6.you would almost think this is a wxforum where we discuss model outputs and have fun doing it, lighten up Francis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 The only models anyone should be watching are the ensembles over the next 2-3 days, Your not going to get any consensus from op runs, Discussing track, Jackpots and start times this far out is pure weenie I see no harm, does it really bother people, I mean cmon its not like there is anything going on, enjoy the dry fropo I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 you would almost think this is a wxforum where we discuss model outputs and have fun doing it, lighten up Francis Yea that's part of the fun of winter season on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 I see no harm, does it really bother people, I mean cmon its not like there is anything going on, enjoy the dry fropo I guess You don't find someone asking for a start time on a day 7 event that may or may not even happen a bit over the top? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 you would almost think this is a wxforum where we discuss model outputs and have fun doing it, lighten up Francis LOL You don't find someone asking for a start time on a day 7 event that may or may not even happen a bit over the top? I actually think someone did a couple pages back..... 28.5/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 The idea we expressed yesterday of 1 storm instead of 2 typically happening looks to be correct. Because of that it may end up like a Dec 1992 deal. It's not often you see 2 storms , 2 days apart. Why do you keep bringing up Dec 1992? These storms modeled (even in clown range) look nothing like Dec 1992...these are much faster moving and not monstrous cutoffs that rot for 36 hours south of us. The large scale pattern is totally different too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Yea that's part of the fun of winter season on herepurists get upset when people discuss fantasy runs,happens every winter. When they say it's ok we can I guess lol. I am.just having fun here right now, dont anyone get their panties in a bunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Sorry..either sv or wxbell is lying if you're getting anywhere in New England with 3+ qpf on the op euro. In fact, everyone is well under 2 for the storm in question. Of course because I chose to go to bed at 1:40am you all assume I'm not responding for a reason. I love you but you've morphed into King Fridge Weenie the past few years.relevance? Lol.I was getting rain on that run and it was the GFS, nice strawman, and the 3 inch totals was for both storms and confirmed by Accuwx pro. I have no idea why SV doesn't show that, and the areas in question did not sniff taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 You don't find someone asking for a start time on a day 7 event that may or may not even happen a bit over the top?well theres that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 relevance? Lol.I was getting rain on that run, nice strawman, and the 3 inch totals was for both storms and confirmed by Accuwx pro. I have no idea why SV doesn't show that, and the areas in question did not sniff taint. Ok I deleted that post because we were talking apples to oranges and I was talking euro and you gfs and gfs qpf matches. Just not the snow part per the model algorithm which is total weenie on wxbell. Doesn't matter at this point and we've had a nice signal for 1/11 ish for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 they sure do, now this includes round 1 but those areas west of the CT river dont even smell taint. Verbatim its an epic week. bump in Jerrys rump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2016 Author Share Posted January 3, 2016 Why do you keep bringing up Dec 1992? These storms modeled (even in clown range) look nothing like Dec 1992...these are much faster moving and not monstrous cutoffs that rot for 36 hours south of us. The large scale pattern is totally different too. Because of the atmospheric conditions. Not saying it's a replica..but it's the same kind of setup where you may rain to wet snow inland and rain coat with a big wound up coastal with wind.. There's just not much cold air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Ok I deleted that post because we were talking apples to oranges and I was talking euro and you gfs and gfs qpf matches. Just not the snow part per the model algorithm which is total weenie on wxbell. Doesn't matter at this point and we've had a nice signal for 1/11 ish for days.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 For the record Jerry, wxbell changed there algorithm, much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Because of the atmospheric conditions. Not saying it's a replica..but it's the same kind of setup where you may rain to wet snow inland and rain coast. There's just not much cold air It's totally different. Antecedent cold was good in 92, bad here. Btw it snowed heavily to the coast in 92 after a good deal of rain, Winds gusts over 50 for a long time in 92. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 you would almost think this is a wxforum where we discuss model outputs and have fun doing it, lighten up FrancisI was easier on you than some of the others. It seems every year we add an extra day to when we start following the op runs for specific threats. Apparently we're up to d7 or d8 now. I'm not telling you guys to stop...just pointing it out and agreeing with others that you're all uber weenies for discussing d7 op runs at 2am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 I was easier on you than some of the others. It seems every year we add an extra day to when we start following the op runs for specific threats. Apparently we're up to d7 or d8 now. I'm not telling you guys to stop...just pointing it out and agreeing with others that you're all uber weenies for discussing d7 op runs at 2am. yes we are, nothing better than 2 am porn. You should try it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 It's totally different. Antecedent cold was good in 92, bad here. Btw it snowed heavily to the coast in 92 after a good deal of rain, Winds gusts over 50 for a long time in 92. yep, screwed by the Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2016 Author Share Posted January 3, 2016 It's totally different. Antecedent cold was good in 92, bad here. Btw it snowed heavily to the coast in 92 after a good deal of rain, Winds gusts over 50 for a long time in 92. There's quite a few similarities. And also some differences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 There's quite a few similarities. And also some differences There are about 0 similarities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Gfs back under SNE at 150 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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