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January 2016 Pattern Disco


Damage In Tolland

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  On 1/3/2016 at 5:41 AM, Typhoon Tip said:

True, but usually, you're original dead-panned anti-thetic timing is a troll attempt.

 

If you had checked back a bit earlier, you would have seen my favorable comments re: the first system.  Why is someone labeled a troll for saying something contrary to one particular model suddenly showing a major coastal?  If weathafella had made the same comment, would you have labeled him a troll?

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  On 1/3/2016 at 6:06 AM, CT Rain said:

Better off taking a cursory glance of the important levels and if <0c just go 10:1 off qpf. I can honestly say I never even bother with those automated snow plots.

If I thought this may actually happen, then  I would.

 

I agree they are crude at best.

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  On 1/3/2016 at 6:07 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Usually the CT RV needs to get deformed to get huge amounts, otherwise they get downsloped.

True up by Springfield and Northampton but rarely a big issue down this way with the exception of a storm like 12/92.

Regardless the gfs is a pretty epic hit back this way. Pattern is primed for it... Let's hope it pans out.

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  On 1/3/2016 at 6:13 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Just the track and very high QPF.....I don't compare the upper air plots or anything.

92 was a giant cut off that rotted off ACY with screaming easterly flow. This is a pretty classic juiced up/progressive storm coming up the coast along baroclinic zone.

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Give it a few more runs before getting the panties all twisted. As is as in it is what it is and would be taken in a heartbeat. The accumulation maps honestly are a joke simply eye candy. Climo would dictate the usual locals getting screwed or jacked. Come back in a week and "if" the event is modelled as tonights run then the debate can begin.

What a great run...I'm taking a trip back if it has staying power. Everytime (as I mentioned) I leave winter goes balls-to-the-wall.    

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  On 1/3/2016 at 6:15 AM, Roosta said:

Give it a few more runs before getting the panties all twisted. As is as in it is what it is and would be taken in a heartbeat. The accumulation maps honestly are a joke simply eye candy. Climo would dictate the usual locals getting screwed or jacked. Come back in a week and "if" the event is modelled as tonights run then the debate can begin.

What a great run...I'm taking a trip back if it has staying power. Everytime (as I mentioned) I leave winter goes balls-to-the-wall.    

:weenie:

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