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Dec 23-24 storms OBS


jaxjagman

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  

411 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015  

 

MSC027-119-135-232230-  

/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-151223T2230Z/  

QUITMAN MS-COAHOMA MS-TALLAHATCHIE MS-  

411 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015  

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST FOR SOUTHERN  

QUITMAN...SOUTHEASTERN COAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN TALLAHATCHIE  

COUNTIES...  

 

AT 411 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS  

LOCATED NEAR VANCE...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHARLESTON...MOVING  

NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  

 

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.  

 

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  

 

SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  

 

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY  

BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES  

WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO  

HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE  

DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.  

 

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  

CROWDER AROUND 420 PM CST.  

 

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE  

DENTON...RIVERVIEW...BEAVER DAM...LONGSTREET...WAVERLY...BRAZIL AND  

STOVER.  

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  

 

TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY  

TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE  

TO A STORM SHELTER OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  

STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE  

HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND  

PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  

 

A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE  

IMMEDIATE TORNADO PRECAUTIONS. THIS IS AN EMERGENCY SITUATION

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EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  

417 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015  

 

MSC071-093-107-137-232245-  

/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-151223T2245Z/  

LAFAYETTE MS-MARSHALL MS-TATE MS-PANOLA MS-  

417 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015  

   

..TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR HOLLY SPRINGS  

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CST FOR  

NORTHWESTERN LAFAYETTE...MARSHALL...SOUTHEASTERN TATE AND  

NORTHEASTERN PANOLA COUNTIES...  

 

AT 416 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO WAS LOCATED  

NEAR MARIANNA...OR 8 MILES WEST OF WALL DOXEY STATE PARK...MOVING  

NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  

 

TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR HOLLY SPRINGS. TAKE COVER NOW. THIS IS A  

PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2047
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0426 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN...NRN AL

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

   VALID 232226Z - 232330Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE HOUR FOR
   MIDDLE TN AND PARTS OF NRN AL.

   DISCUSSION...AN UPSTREAM BROKEN LINE OF SUPERCELLS ACROSS WRN TN AND
   NRN MS WILL APPROACH MIDDLE TN AND NRN AL WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS.
   THESE STORMS HAVE RECENTLY EXHIBITED AN INCREASING TREND IN
   LOW-LEVEL ROTATION. MODEST MOISTENING FROM THE S WILL CONTINUE TO
   OCCUR AS THE MOIST AXIS SHIFTS EWD. THIS...ALONG WITH 0-1 KM SRH
   VALUES RANGING FROM 300-600 M2/S2 RECENTLY OBSERVED PER HTX AND OHX
   VWP DATA...SUGGESTS THE TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND
   EWD...REQUIRING ISSUANCE OF A NEW TORNADO WATCH BY 23Z.

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i was looking on my gr level 3 thru the tower doppler. the trailing storm looks like it wound down.

 

but here's a look at the one that just clocked holly springs on the tdwr,

 

tilt 2,

attachicon.giftmem_2230_1223_t2.png

 

tilt 1

 

attachicon.giftmem_2230_1223_t1.png

 

and sfc tilt (tilt 0)

 

attachicon.giftmem_2230_1223_t0.png

Thanks,i wasnt sure where you were talking about.That was a nasty cell

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 564
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   450 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
     NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
     MIDDLE TENNESSEE

   * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 450 PM
     UNTIL 1100 PM CST.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES
       POSSIBLE
     SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
     ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

   SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS IN A BROKEN BAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY
   NORTHEASTWARD FROM NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN TENNESSEE INTO
   NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE THROUGH LATE EVENING.
   TORNADOES...A COUPLE OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
   LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
   NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF MUSCLE SHOALS ALABAMA.
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

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i know this is pure speculation attm. but if this long-track tornado makes it past Selmer, is there anything really stopping it from making it all the way to Nashville besides its own energy?

Its showing signs of choking but at the same time i'm starting to see rotation east of Selmer

 

Edit:sorry,west of Selmer

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the cell survived, and has new warnings, heading for Nashville. damn. also though, looks like some more cells went solo near i-40 in west-central TN and also another one in northern MS near what I think is now I-22.

Jim, just wanted to thank you for adding commentary. I am a winter wx enthusiast, so I try not to clutter the severe threads. Anyway, thanks again for your expertise.
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Jim, just wanted to thank you for adding commentary. I am a winter wx enthusiast, so I try not to clutter the severe threads. Anyway, thanks again for your expertise.

no problem. i know I'm a bit out of my more native areas (central/northeast PA and the midwest) and i hope I wasn't intruding. i just thought this would be the region of focus tonight, so would be the place where talk of this outbreak would be focused.

 

that being said, yea the 00Z BNA sounding quincy put up definitely  isn't good for the  Music City.

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