JasonOH Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Here are the tornado probs. The enhanced was trimmed slightly south in Ohio and then extended northward in Indiana and Ohio up to I70 in IN and then along I74 and I72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Here are the tornado probs. The enhanced was trimmed slightly south in Ohio and then extended northward in Indiana and Ohio up to I70 in IN and then along I74 and I72. PDS watch should suit this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zestylabs Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 heading through northern IN right now..... very foggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 "oh, I'm dreaming... of a white Christmas" Sent from my SM-G900R7 I guess you can call that the white Christmas from hail? Yeah, I know that was lame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Just to put it out there... Also 15% hatched on tornado probs Interesting how the northwest extent of the Enhanced is basically a neat 90 degree angle straight east and south of Springfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 I guess you can call that the white Christmas from hail? Yeah, I know that was lame. Don't blame yourself. I'm the one who inferred it! Sent from my SM-G900R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 HRRR is fairly sig on the northern side... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 HRRR is fairly sig on the northern side... you chasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Interesting how the northwest extent of the Enhanced is basically a neat 90 degree angle straight east and south of Springfield. Springfield is barely included in it basically along 72 or once you get to Decatur along 36 and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 you chasingLooks like a high chance of doing so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Looks like a high chance of doing so. i feel like hi-res models have been pretty consistent with a nice string of discrete cells in that area 12 4km agrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Although the moderate risk area is certainly concerning, I don't think the northward threats should be minimized as Chicago Storm pointed out for us. Getting some patchy sunshine here ne of Indpls at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Torcon raised to an 8 for North AL, West TN, and North MS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Unwarned couplet near DeWitt, IL... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*IndyMeso* Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Although the moderate risk area is certainly concerning, I don't think the northward threats should be minimized as Chicago Storm pointed out for us. Getting some patchy sunshine here ne of Indpls at the moment. Yep, it's starting to come around now and again. Temp up to 61 and looks like a tornado watch has been issued to our southwest. Interested to see what will happen after this first round as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Tor watch just issued for south and east central IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Tor watch just issued for south and east central IL.Yep weather radio just went off its till 5pm CST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Moderate risk of EF-2+ tors in that IL watch that extends south through the MO bootheel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Unwarned couplet near DeWitt, IL... It's warned now for 70mph winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Dr. Forbes upped the TORCON to 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zestylabs Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 im chasing today.... in Carmel IN and were getting breaks in the clouds now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGM Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 high risk upgrade with 30% tor at 1630z? 4k nam has two lines of supercells at 0z now. it shows the primary line extends from indianapolis to memphis to jackson ms and the secondary line extending from milwaukee/chicago down to near little rock. secondary line looks like it will be in a prime env, and cells will be very discrete, so we probably can't rule out a violent tor or two in central il. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*IndyMeso* Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY946 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WARNING FOR...EASTERN CARTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI...* UNTIL 1015 AM CST* AT 946 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ATORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HUNTER...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VANBUREN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUTSHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREEDAMAGE IS LIKELY.* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...ELLSINORE AROUND 955 AM CST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 There's some clear skies nudging into south-central AR. Not a good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Weather Radio just went off new T'storm Warning for here till 1015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 looks like a couple MCVs will rotate through chicagoland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 I don't know if this helps much, but, listening to ATC on the scanner, heard a report of "winds are 170 at 50 knots" since we don't have winds blowing like that at the surface right now, I am assuming it was from an aircraft at higher altitudes, and I believe it was on the O'Hare Approach frequency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 HRRR is showing quite the LEWP for NW OH/SE MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 There's some clear skies nudging into south-central AR. Not a good sign This clearing extends up through west TN and KY. This will be an area of interest in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 I don't know if this helps much, but, listening to ATC on the scanner, heard a report of "winds are 170 at 50 knots" since we don't have winds blowing like that at the surface right now, I am assuming it was from an aircraft at higher altitudes, and I believe it was on the O'Hare Approach frequency. 170 is almost directly south. 50 knots is pretty common in the lower levels in this type of setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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