powderfreak Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 It's been light rain here at the house, but snow just started to mix in at ~7:30 A.M. Up at 1,500ft...it was raining at my house when I left this morning, and changed to snow near the X-C Center at 1,200ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 3, 2015 Author Share Posted December 3, 2015 Snowing lightly at the house in Peacham this morning but here at work in St. J it is still rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 36F and some -RA here. Not expecting much, maybe a few flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Snow levels dropping fast this morning, MWN dropped 7 degrees in one hour. Already changed over at Pittsburg too, but that was more or less expected as the cold air came in from the west first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 As I mentioned this morning, snow started mixing in rather heavily at the house at around 7:30 A.M., and what had been fairly light rain at observations time had picked up to a more moderate level. Leaving the house and heading west, snow had mixed out to just rain by the time I dropped from the pass down to Bolton Flats, and I never saw any additional snow mixing in on the trip through to Burlington. There was some decently heavy rain at times though, and the radar shows that plenty of precipitation is still building into the area: In line with what PF has shown from Stowe, the Bolton Valley Web Cam shows that the Bolton Valley Village is looking white up at 2,100: Thoughts from the BTV NWS forecast discussion: .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/... AS OF 500 AM EST THURSDAY...SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY ON NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AND BECOME ENHANCED AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. ONLY A DUSTING OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE VALLEYS...BUT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL HAVE TWO TO FOUR INCHES BY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS THE AREA. && .SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/... AS OF 500 AM EST THURSDAY...MOISTURE AND VORTICITY ADVECTION DROP OFF OVERNIGHT AND SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD BE ENDING BY ABOUT MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...THERE WILL STILL BE PLENTY OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA AND THIS WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT MINIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROF AND SHORTWAVE CROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SOME MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS. MORE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SHOULD REFLECT A BIT OF INFLUENCE OF LAKE ONTARIO. SNOW SHOWERS WILL END FRIDAY NIGHT AND WEATHER REMAINS DRY ON SATURDAY AS A LARGE RIDGE OF SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE BUILD OVER THE AREA. I wouldn’t be surprised to see more than the 2-4” the BTV NWS mentions up high based on the radar and that 6z NAM precipitation map that PF posted, but we’ll see how it plays out and what sort of contribution the trough and any moisture from the lakes has with respect to Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Pop goes the secondary, You can see the radar really starting to blossom to the west with snow levels dropping down in elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Pop goes the secondary, You can see the radar really starting to blossom to the west with snow levels dropping down in elevation You loop the radar and see how the echoes are really starting to be deformed. The mid levels are quickly getting their act together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 You loop the radar and see how the echoes are really starting to be deformed. The mid levels are quickly getting their act together. Would have been some fun here if it took place over or just east of Ack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Snow levels are dropping rapidly around here. It seems to be just a few hundred feet above me now. Mostly drizzle/snizzle though at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Some nice new winter products on the SPC mesoanalysis page. DGZ depth and RH fields, and max wet bulb temperature in the lowest 400 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Some nice new winter products on the SPC mesoanalysis page. DGZ depth and RH fields, and max wet bulb temperature in the lowest 400 mb. Ohhhh nice.....I love new toys to play with. Glad to have them this year. That's a perfect guarantee it will not snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Flakes getting bigger on the Lopstick Cabin webcam (First Conn Lake). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Right now its more than 1" and less than 2", haha. Been steady light snow of 3/4sm - 1.5sm visibility. Flake size varies from really small to big dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Based on CC, it looks like the freezing levels are holding stronger across western ME, while quickly collapsing across NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 In line with what PF has shown from Stowe, the Bolton Valley Web Cam shows that the Bolton Valley Village is looking white up at 2,100: I just looked at Bolton's site, and noticed it looks like they are counting their seasonal snowfall possibly back to October (as it says 8"). That's actually nice as before they used to not count until they were close to opening so their annual total would be missing early season snow. I started counting with the mid-November snow, and didn't add in the 5" from October, though I see Smuggs and Sugarbush did count the October snow. Jay Peak actually just started counting a couple days ago...giving the rest of us a little head start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Radar loop really shows the upper level energy diving through New England now. Fgen is increasing in response, and precip is really blossoming over our CWA now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Sunday River's reporting snow on their report, although at what elevation isn't specified(Doesn't look like it's snowing in their base area at ~1100' from their webcam though). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Looks like freezing levels are starting to collapse in those heavier echoes ESE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Looks like freezing levels are starting to collapse in those heavier echoes ESE Definitely moving more across NH than ME. But that's to be expected as the mid level lows organize over ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Very strange setup here. I can see snow all around me and the levels have dropped significantly - lower than my house across the valley, but I'm not even getting a flake or a drop. It's like there's a hole just around Jackson (Jackson Hole???) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Sunday River's reporting snow on their report, although at what elevation isn't specified(Doesn't look like it's snowing in their base area at ~1100' from their webcam though). The Loaf is showing snowflakes on their base cam now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Seeing a webcam about 10 miles down 201 from Jackman that is snowing as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 The Loaf is showing snowflakes on their base cam now. Sweet! Guessing snow levels at SR are ~1800-2000 ish from my estimate of where the end of the dusting on the trails is on the webcam. Not expecting any substantial difference in the skiing, but would love to still have white ground on Saturday so it feels like winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Sweet! Guessing snow levels at SR are ~1800-2000 ish from my estimate of where the end of the dusting on the trails is on the webcam. Not expecting any substantial difference in the skiing, but would love to still have white ground on Saturday so it feels like winter. I have about 2-4 in the grids by Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Finally snowing here (1250')! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Likely a little toooooo wet, but the I'll take it for 12hr precip. Certainly the overall flow supports this sort of gradient. If it were actually cold, this would be awesome. With the marginal snow growth temps and non-frozen ground, this feels like a 3-4" type snow today....mostly above 1500ft...which is all I care about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Seems to be clearing here, just as the snow line finally reached us. Just can't win! Maybe it will fill in a little as the low deepens? Likely a little toooooo wet, but the I'll take it for 12hr precip. Certainly the overall flow supports this sort of gradient. If it were actually cold, this would be awesome. With the marginal snow growth temps and non-frozen ground, this feels like a 3-4" type snow today....mostly above 1500ft...which is all I care about. 12.3.15 12hr precip.JPG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Sweet! Guessing snow levels at SR are ~1800-2000 ish from my estimate of where the end of the dusting on the trails is on the webcam. Not expecting any substantial difference in the skiing, but would love to still have white ground on Saturday so it feels like winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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