powderfreak Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 Man it is just absolutely pouring out. BTV and MPV both clicking away at 0.25"/hr. Snowing heavily at 6,000ft probably...intense bright banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 Man it is just absolutely pouring out. BTV and MPV both clicking away at 0.25"/hr. Snowing heavily at 6,000ft probably...intense bright banding. Rain and 34F on top of the rockpile now in NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 Man it is just absolutely pouring out. BTV and MPV both clicking away at 0.25"/hr. Snowing heavily at 6,000ft probably...intense bright banding. We are TOO LOW. PULL UP PULL UP. Wonder if the top 300 feet on Marcy are like buried in snow right now. EDIT: That's a now per the rockpile measurement. Damn it all to hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 We are TOO LOW. PULL UP PULL UP. Wonder if the top 300 feet on Marcy are like buried in snow right now. EDIT: That's a now per the rockpile measurement. Damn it all to hell. This system reminds me of the February 5-6, 2011 storm...quick mover, half inch to one inch of QPF, dynamic with thundersnow in that one, low pressure going from NE PA through SNE. Although this system has absolutely no cold air...at all. Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 Awesome, love picking up around an inch of precip in about 5 hours. Nice over-performer, if it was snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 .77" in the gauge and still coming down. Like Freak said, could of been a nice 10" inch event... if it wasn't 50F out Does suck to waste an nice solid synoptic .75-1.00" though on this crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 This system reminds me of the February 5-6, 2011 storm...quick mover, half inch to one inch of QPF, dynamic with thundersnow in that one, low pressure going from NE PA through SNE. Although this system has absolutely no cold air...at all. Haha. Yup, raining 100 mis north of Montreal in late December. Just unreal the lack of any appreciable cold air this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 This system reminds me of the February 5-6, 2011 storm...quick mover, half inch to one inch of QPF, dynamic with thundersnow in that one, low pressure going from NE PA through SNE. Although this system has absolutely no cold air...at all. Haha. That was a good storm. This is not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 That was a good storm. This is not. Nor will tomorrow night's be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 klw posted this in a thread last year....very cool site. Figured since we have a nice rainy xmas week we can reminisce of better times. Nice to know you can get big snows in the interior Many I haven't heard of because they didn't affect the CP and I have lived on the CP most of my life....although there are some that crossover obviously affecting the CP and interior. Lyndon State has a Interior NE snow storm ranking: http://meteorology.lyndonstate.edu/projects/snowstorm/ The last one listed is from 07 so I don't know if it is an active list anymore. when posted it covered 77-07. Methodology is here: http://meteorology.lyndonstate.edu/projects/snowstorm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 klw posted this in a thread last year....very cool site. Figured since we have a nice rainy xmas week we can reminisce of better times. Nice to know you can get big snows in the interior Many I haven't heard of because they didn't affect the CP and I have lived on the CP most of my life....although there are some that crossover obviously affecting the CP and interior. Wow this is phenomenal. Thanks man! They have composites for our best interior snowstorms and some good research. This is worth saving... composite of like 30 years worth of heavy interior snowstorms. This is pretty much what I would expect for a classic track of a heavy Vermont snowstorm, right over the Cape with mid-level lows over SNE and intense frontogensis in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 As if there was any doubt at all as to what the favorable surface low track is for interior New England snowstorms (a lot of folks in SNE probably consider us the deep interior though). Interior New England's heaviest snowstorm tracks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 As if there was any doubt at all as to what the favorable surface low track is for interior New England snowstorms (a lot of folks in SNE probably consider us the deep interior though). Interior New England's heaviest snowstorm tracks... Yep, no doubt and no surprise really on the best low track for the DEEP interior. Good thing James never comes into this subforum, he would not approve....lol. Well, many posters besides James wouldn't approve either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Yep, no doubt and no surprise really on the best low track for the DEEP interior. Good thing James never comes into this subforum, he would not approve....lol. Well, many posters besides James wouldn't approve either. ever wonder why NNE averages twice SNE,its not in the track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Yep, no doubt and no surprise really on the best low track for the DEEP interior. Good thing James never comes into this subforum, he would not approve....lol. Well, many posters besides James wouldn't approve either. Yeah just like that graphic shows, give me a bomb over BOS or PWM any day and its game on for NNE.Looking at that graphic of favorable tracks, it's also easy to see how the Benchmark is the SNE preferred track. They need the same thing just further SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Not sure what just happened but temps and dews jumped fairly sharply after being largely steady through the day. Did today's synoptic rain event end with a warm front or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Not sure what just happened but temps and dews jumped fairly sharply after being largely steady through the day. image.jpeg Did today's synoptic rain event end with a warm front or something? Early sign of whats to come over the next 2 days..............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 50F up at Gunstock right now...33F down here and socked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 23, 2015 Author Share Posted December 23, 2015 Not sure what just happened but temps and dews jumped fairly sharply after being largely steady through the day. image.jpeg Did today's synoptic rain event end with a warm front or something? I burped. Sorry but it was the spicy food at lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 50F up at Gunstock right now...33F down here and socked in. Has light frost this morn and salt on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Per BTV Disco: RECORD WARMTH IS EXPECTED ON CHRISTMAS EVE (THURSDAY DECEMBER24TH). BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR 12/24 AND THE ALL-TIMEDECEMBER HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS.BURLINGTON (KBTV)- 51 (1957), 67 (DEC 7TH 1998)MONTPELIER (KMPV)- 53 (1957), 67 (DEC 6TH 2001)ST. JOHNSBURY (SJBV1)- 54 (2004), 67 (DEC 7TH 1998)MASSENA (KMSS)- 56 (1957), 68 (DEC 6TH 2001)MT. MANSFIELD (MMNV1)- 47 (1957), 60 (DEC 10TH 1966)RECORD HIGH MINIMUMS FOR 12/24 MAY ALSO BE BROKEN:BURLINGTON (KBTV)- 40 (1931)MONTPELIER (KMPV)- 37 (1979)ST.JOHNSBURY (SJBV1)- 36 (2006)MASSENA (KMSS)- 36 (1979)MT.MANSFIELD (MMNV1)- 33 (2003) --------------------------------------------------- No doubt in my mind all of these records are going to fall. What's really shocking is that the all-time December high records could fall THREE WEEKS later than previous guidance. 67 is impressive for December 6th. 67 on the 24th in BTV is just downright silly. At least its so bad its actually nice. In all truth, if it is going to be terrible, I'd rather it be terrible like this. It is downright lovely outside in BTV right now. No. I'm kidding. F this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Going back to drones for a second, I decided to go ahead and bite the bullet. I ordered a DJI Phantom 3 Advanced. It will be here sometime around the New Year I am guessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Going back to drones for a second, I decided to go ahead and bite the bullet. I ordered a DJI Phantom 3 Advanced. It will be here sometime around the New Year I am guessing. awesome! if you've never flown before do yourself a favor and grab cheap micro quad at the local hobby shop to practice with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 No doubt in my mind all of these records are going to fall. What's really shocking is that the all-time December high records could fall THREE WEEKS later than previous guidance. 67 is impressive for December 6th. 67 on the 24th in BTV is just downright silly. At least its so bad its actually nice. In all truth, if it is going to be terrible, I'd rather it be terrible like this. It is downright lovely outside in BTV right now. No. I'm kidding. F this. I mean the modeling has been crazy with this. Outside of the model climate, outside of the climate reanalysis (even in an already warm regime of normals). So really it's not surprising that some off the charts records may fall too. Of course, somebody in our forecast area is going to end up saying "what torch?" I mean just look at today, we stayed jammed in and foggy all day (at least I assume so since I went to bed in fog and woke up to it too). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 Of course, somebody in our forecast area is going to end up saying "what torch?" *raises hand* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 *raises hand* I'm sorry to say, I've been seeking out the coldest, CADest pieces of guidance for my temperatures recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 23, 2015 Share Posted December 23, 2015 I mean the modeling has been crazy with this. Outside of the model climate, outside of the climate reanalysis (even in an already warm regime of normals). So really it's not surprising that some off the charts records may fall too. Of course, somebody in our forecast area is going to end up saying "what torch?" I mean just look at today, we stayed jammed in and foggy all day (at least I assume so since I went to bed in fog and woke up to it too). We had our 36 hours of under 1sm visibility fog earlier this month...no thanks, that was dreary as all hell. However the inversion photos were pretty sick haha. Did Gene fly the drone again today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted December 24, 2015 Share Posted December 24, 2015 Happy holidays from btv? NEXT STRONGER SYSTEM WILL IMPACT OUR REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDS...WITH OUR FIRST WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION THREAT. OVERALL MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH EJECTING POTENT SHORT WAVE ENERGY FROM WESTERN CONUS TROF ON TUESDAY INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH PRIMARY SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TRACKING TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. THE BIG DIFFERENCE THIS TIME AROUND WILL BE COLD 1040MB HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND ASSOCIATED NORTHERN STREAM JET. THIS WILL HELP TO DEVELOP A STRONG LOW LEVEL COLD AIR DAMMING SIGNATURE IN THE MEAN SEA LEVEL PRES FIELDS WHILE WARM AIR TRIES TO SURGE NORTH AND GETS PUSHED EASTWARD FROM THE CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. HAVE NOTED STRONG BAND OF 850 TO 700MB FORCING AND GOOD POSITION OF RIGHT REAR QUAD OF 250MB JET TO HELP PROMOTE DEEP LAYER LIFT ACROSS OUR REGION ON TUESDAY. INITIALLY THERMAL PROFILES SUPPORT ALL SNOW...BUT AS DEVELOPING SOUTHWEST 850MB JET OF 50 TO 60 KNOTS APPROACHES OUR THERMAL PROFILES SLOWLY APPROACH 0C FROM THE SURFACE THROUGH 700MB. SOUNDINGS SHOW A DEEP NEAR ISOTHERMAL LAYER AROUND 0C DEVELOPING OVER OUR CWA...RESULTING IN THE THREAT FOR MIXED PRECIP. WHICH UNFORTUNATELY LOOKS REASONABLE GIVEN PRIMARY SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS TRACKING TO OUR WEST...CLOSER TO THE STRONGER DYNAMICS WITH UPPER LEVEL TROF. POSITION AND TIMING OF SECONDARY COASTAL SYSTEM WILL BE CRITICAL ON HOW MUCH WARM AIR IS ADVECTED NORTH AND PLACEMENT OF QPF FIELDS. OUR CURRENT THINKING IS THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE PLENTY OF MOISTURE WITH QPF EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.75...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE MOUNTAINS. HOW MUCH FALLS AS SNOW...MIXED PRECIP...AND A COLD RAIN IS YET TO BE DETERMINED. STAY TUNED. OTHERWISE...SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDS INTO THURSDAY WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted December 24, 2015 Share Posted December 24, 2015 Wild night coming over Sheffield Heights last night. Usually due to blinding snow squalls, not so this year. Blinding rain and 48F. One of the guys I play hockey with delivers Propane, average Dec is 65 loads, tally so far this month, 28! Strangeness. I suppose the bright side is all the kids getting bikes from Santa this year won't have to wait 6 months to try them. Happy Holidays NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 24, 2015 Share Posted December 24, 2015 43.7F vis 1/8 light drizzle and in the clouds 11am. Will the warm air get in here? Been talking about it all week but only 5 hours of daylight left will be interesting to see what happens. Happy Holidays everyone in C/NNE SNE's too! Gene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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