AvantHiatus Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 If climate warming brings me extreme snow and cold, I will start leaving my car running in my driveway overnight. I'm happy for you, that is the kind of mindset we need....(sarc) Warmest December on record is not definitely not 1889. That needs quality control asap, otherwise that means arctic amplification has been ongoing since the 1900s. It's possible but I remain skeptical. The big giveaway is that you no longer see top 20 below normal summers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 I'm happy for you, that is the kind of mindset we need....(sarc) Warmest December on record is not definitely not 1889. That needs quality control asap, otherwise that means arctic amplification has been ongoing since the 1900s. It's possible but I remain skeptical. The big giveaway is that you no longer see top 20 below normal summers. Feel free to check. It's tied with 1984 at DC. On its own at Baltimore. #2 at Baltimore is 1931. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Gotta love that 500-mb closed 594-dm high off the NC coast on the 384 hour GFS! What an eyesore. In July, that would be Gawd-awful sweltering. In December...well, I just don't know what to call it that would be polite in mixed company! What is the record warmest December for DCA (IAD, and BWI), if anyone knows offhand? Double-digit positive anomaly? Apologies if someone put that down on a previous page in here. I do recall December 2011 was over +5 for the month, but don't know how close to the top that was. We can easily outdo that one at the rate things are going now, given the current indications. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Feel free to check. It's tied with 1984 at DC. On its own at Baltimore. #2 at Baltimore is 1931. In hindsight, 1889-2015 is a not very large window for weather data. It would be possible for single months to buckle the agw trend, depending on what metric you use. I believe AGW shows up most significantly locally in summer temps and high daily minimums. (Such as 60 degree low in December and 50, 90 degree days during the summer). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Thank you for posting that. Very strong PV in the Arctic, now compare that to December 2015. You will see how much the climate system has changed and the general move away from zonal to meridional thermal gradients. In addition, the tropics are many magnitudes warmer in recent times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Meanwhile, blizzard warnings for southern Alaska Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Meanwhile, blizzard warnings for southern Alaska We'll have heat advisories here in the next week! Actually, along similar lines, there have been a couple or so air quality alerts in recent days. In December! You don't see that often, I don't believe, which says something. Stagnant, warm, and dry...very reminiscent of late summer almost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 How did JFM 1890 look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 yoga pants are out in force today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 How did JFM 1890 look? 6.5" total in DC. 5 in March. 1.5 in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 6.5" total in DC. 5 in March. 1.5 in Feb. April's gonna be rockin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 13, 2015 Author Share Posted December 13, 2015 We will have more snow than the ravens will have wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Gotta love that 500-mb closed 594-dm high off the NC coast on the 384 hour GFS! What an eyesore. In July, that would be Gawd-awful sweltering. In December...well, I just don't know what to call it that would be polite in mixed company! What is the record warmest December for DCA (IAD, and BWI), if anyone knows offhand? Double-digit positive anomaly? Apologies if someone put that down on a previous page in here. I do recall December 2011 was over +5 for the month, but don't know how close to the top that was. We can easily outdo that one at the rate things are going now, given the current indications. For BWI: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/33026-our-regions-extreme-run/page-15#entry3790218 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Feel free to check. It's tied with 1984 at DC. On its own at Baltimore. #2 at Baltimore is 1931. I have 1889 as #3 at Baltimore in my spreadsheet... Top 5 I have are: 1931: 45.7 degrees 1923: 45.4 degrees 1889: 45.1 degrees 1984: 44.1 degrees 1881 & 1877: 43.8 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 I have 1889 as #3 at Baltimore in my spreadsheet... Top 5 I have are: 1931: 45.7 degrees 1923: 45.4 degrees 1889: 45.1 degrees 1984: 44.1 degrees 1881 & 1877: 43.8 degrees hmm yeah LWX has a different number than ACIS Was 45.6 at DC that month so makes you wonder if it would have been warmer in Balt... Maybe an error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 records are made to be broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 What, we can't even have Christmas anymore? F*cking Obama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 I wish there was a chance at 80. Pretty difficult this time of year tho. Low 70s will have to do. 0z GFS says lets do it. 80 is possible for Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 I lovin' this weather! But my flip flops and shorts are all packed up. I'm moving to a new place on Thursday and haven't been able to determine if the rain that day is going to be the annoying drizzle kind, or the soaking downpour kind. If it's a crapload of precip, I may reschedule the movers. Where can I pull up that info for the KTMN area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 If you gave me the national radar shot and the date, I would have been jumping for joy as a kid in southern MN. Instead, it is about 35 and rain there. Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2015 Author Share Posted December 14, 2015 Reading SNE always gets me back to realizing what is really important in life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 I lovin' this weather! But my flip flops and shorts are all packed up. I'm moving to a new place on Thursday and haven't been able to determine if the rain that day is going to be the annoying drizzle kind, or the soaking downpour kind. If it's a crapload of precip, I may reschedule the movers. Where can I pull up that info for the KTMN area? Hi love! Go here: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=nam&site=w54 put KTMN into the Site field to see the outputs from GFS and NAM. Will give you precip amounts. Hope you've been well! <3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Hi love! Go here: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=nam&site=w54 put KTMN into the Site field to see the outputs from GFS and NAM. Will give you precip amounts. Hope you've been well! <3 Hi Sweetness! I've been freakishly busy. Thus, my being M.I.A. around here. Packing up a house sucks! I'm sure you remember what it's like. If I recall correctly, you moved during crappy weather. Or was that was a Birthday Party? Thank you for the link. NAM is showing what appears to be drizzle. GFS, over an inch of precip on the 17th. Split the difference? Half inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Homemade chocolate chip cookies are a hardy and tasty breakfast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Hi Sweetness! I've been freakishly busy. Thus, my being M.I.A. around here. Packing up a house sucks! I'm sure you remember what it's like. If I recall correctly, you moved during crappy weather. Or was that was a Birthday Party? Thank you for the link. NAM is showing what appears to be drizzle. GFS, over an inch of precip on the 17th. Split the difference? Half inch? LOL i got married during a snowstorm, not crappy weather for me, but for others yes. how soon in advance do you need to cancel if it does rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Homemade chocolate chip cookies are a hardy and tasty breakfast! Did you cook them on the sidewalk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 70 isn't "hot." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Did you cook them on the sidewalk? Top of the dashboard of the truck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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