No snow for you Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Just put a couple of pork tenderloins on the big green egg. Grilling in shorts and a short sleeve shirt. I love December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Just for thoughts -- Mighty Quinn.mp3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Mosquito bite?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 14, 2015 Author Share Posted December 14, 2015 Just put a couple of pork tenderloins on the big green egg. Grilling in shorts and a short sleeve shirt. I love December.Could have grilled them on the pavement , it was a scorcher today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Could have grilled them on the pavement , it was a scorcher today! Near 80 tomorrow in Columbia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Merry Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Quick cool down this weekend then right back up to this again. Mid range predictions show Christmas day at least in mid 60s, maybe higher. I looked back at the daily temps for Dec 2012 - one of the warmest Dec I can ever remember. You know, the first of the 3 torch months for that year? That Dec was 5.5 above for GSP. So far, we have that beat, and with what looks to be coming the rest of the month, we'll beat it easily. Additionally, there looks to be little relief during at least the first part of Jan. And I know everyone makes fun of the accuweather 45 day temps, but they have actually done a fairly good job of showing trends of late (for GSP at least) , and they show no hope at all through the first 3 weeks of Jan. Hopefully we'll get a flip for Feb to get a couple decent weeks, but I am feeling very doubtful for this winter. We're battling stink bugs, mosquitos, and flies all over again and the onion patches in my yard are going to have to mowed. I hope this is not what we will have to get used to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Merry Christmas Santa's gonna be sweatin' when he's ROCKIN' down the chimney, eh?!?!? 'Tis the season to be sweaty!!! Nothing says Christmas like mid-50s in central Quebec! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Out in la la land it looks like we maybe can get closer to normal after Christmas, decent cold front that day as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Only 8 days to go before our days begin to get longer and the sun angle starts to increase. Only 30 days to go before our daily average temps start to rise. It has been a rough winter but spring is in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Well we could always have our next meetup in Hawaii, some fine weather and cliff jumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 It's currently about 5am on December 14th and the temp is 66 degrees. That's about 12 degrees warmer than the avg high, and 30+ warmer than the avg low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 14, 2015 Author Share Posted December 14, 2015 The front is already starting to fall apart. The mountains will take most of the rest of the moisture!? .25 at best! What a raging El Niño ! First rain in 13 days, the heat will evaporate that out of the soil tomorrow ! Next week will really start to look like a niño pattern! Been hearing that since Oct! If we can't get snow, atleast it will be wet this winter, oh wait! SMDH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Only 8 days to go before our days begin to get longer and the sun angle starts to increase. Only 30 days to go before our daily average temps start to rise. It has been a rough winter but spring is in the air. Spring into warmth, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 I don't believe the analogs. This el nino is just too strong. the Pacific jet is roaring and will keep all cold air bottled up in Canada for the duration of the winter. We are done, folks. Maybe next year if we get a la nina? I'm looking at 80 degrees for Christmas day. It's never been that warm on Christmas in all my days in Atlanta. January may get "cool" for a bit, but that's all there is for 2015/2016 winter. The sad thing is, even moving north to Ohio/Kentucky wouldn't improve things much in this situation... Banter away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 I don't believe the analogs. This el nino is just too strong. the Pacific jet is roaring and will keep all cold air bottled up in Canada for the duration of the winter. We are done, folks. Maybe next year if we get a la nina? I'm looking at 80 degrees for Christmas day. It's never been that warm on Christmas in all my days in Atlanta. January may get "cool" for a bit, but that's all there is for 2015/2016 winter. The sad thing is, even moving north to Ohio/Kentucky wouldn't improve things much in this situation... Banter away! You could be absolutely right but on the other hand... I think cashing out now on the rest of the winter based on what it has done is just premature. Looking at the calendar, we have a just a few more days to squeeze in one or two events, don't you think? I will remain optimistic. Late Jan into Feb is our best chances here with climo backing me on this one, Super El Nino or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 It's a complete meltdown across all souther/eastern forums today, LOL....I for one am enjoying this pattern, dry/roasty isn't that bad, off to the pool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 It's a complete meltdown across all souther/eastern forums today, LOL....I for one am enjoying this pattern, dry/roasty isn't that bad, off to the pool. 2011/2012 Redux enjoy the low energy bills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 It's a complete meltdown across all souther/eastern forums today, LOL....I for one am enjoying this pattern, dry/roasty isn't that bad, off to the pool. AO & NAO are trending towards neutral at least for the end of the month...AO from +4.5 to +1, so that's a positive. We are really just grasping for straws (both on cold AND warmth for J-F) and we really need to just fast forward this month. Literally nothing will tell us any different until we get there unless the Euro weeklies surprise us. No one trusts seasonal composites or climate models, and short term models in an already foretasted warm December certainly won't tell you anything different. There is nothing to look at other than teleconnections and 10hpa strat charts for the next two weeks. I could have forecasted this meltdown...it's like when it rains for 15+ days straight...everyone gets depressed and has cabin fever. That's the SE forum right now. If you like 70's and 80's in mid to late December you're nuts, seasons aren't bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwlee7 Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 I rarely post but I am enjoying being at the golf course in shorts in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 AO & NAO are trending towards neutral at least for the end of the month...AO from +4.5 to +1, so that's a positive. We are really just grasping for straws (both on cold AND warmth for J-F) and we really need to just fast forward this month. Literally nothing will tell us any different until we get there unless the Euro weeklies surprise us. No one trusts seasonal composites or climate models, and short term models in an already foretasted warm December certainly won't tell you anything different. There is nothing to look at other than teleconnections and 10hpa strat charts for the next two weeks. I could have forecasted this meltdown...it's like when it rains for 15+ days straight...everyone gets depressed and has cabin fever. That's the SE forum right now. If you like 70's and 80's in mid to late December you're nuts, seasons aren't bad thing. This is nothing but a tap on the shoulder, not even a poke yet...it's fairly comfortable to say that we are weeks out. I am looking at the ensembles just to see how warm we can get. It's fairly impressive to say the least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 14, 2015 Author Share Posted December 14, 2015 I'm gonna miss packbackers posts in March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 I'm gonna miss packbackers posts in March We are witness to a one of the strong nino's of our generation. Although, short of taking a boat out to the tropical pacific and taking a bath in the warm water it doesn't really do anything for me. Here's to a neutral enso next winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 The discussion in the main Winter thread is quite disturbing. If we cycle back to square one with the PV strength, we could be talking even later than late Jan. for Winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 I'm going to Phoenix, Las Vegas, Flagstaff, the Grand Canyon, etc. the first week of January. Maybe we can keep this awful pattern going and I can see snow out there??? I see Flagstaff is under a WWA for 4-6" of snow today. Nice mild rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 The discussion in the main Winter thread is quite disturbing. If we cycle back to square one with the PV strength, we could be talking even later than late Jan. for Winter weather. Yep, need to go read it but we haven't even started the cycle. Model progs indicate that happening in the next 7-10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 The discussion in the main Winter thread is quite disturbing. If we cycle back to square one with the PV strength, we could be talking even later than late Jan. for Winter weather. We shall see, but Fab Feb/Marvelous March seems to be the new theme in the last few winters. 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 were good winters (here, anyways), but 2013-2014 didn't get going until January 28th and 2014-2015 didn't get going until mid-February. IMBY, we have not had an accumulating snowfall prior to January 17th (2013 storm) since 2011. It kind of sucks because the sun angle and warmer temperatures tend to scorch the snowpack after it ends and it doesn't stick around as long as in December or January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 We shall see, but Fab Feb/Marvelous March seems to be the new theme in the last few winters. 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 were good winters (here, anyways), but 2013-2014 didn't get going until January 28th and 2014-2015 didn't get going until mid-February. IMBY, we have not had an accumulating snowfall prior to January 17th (2013 storm) since 2011. It kind of sucks because the sun angle and warmer temperatures tend to scorch the snowpack after it ends and it doesn't stick around as long as in December or January. Don't worry the seasonal models will save us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 I don't believe the analogs. This el nino is just too strong. the Pacific jet is roaring and will keep all cold air bottled up in Canada for the duration of the winter. We are done, folks. Maybe next year if we get a la nina? I'm looking at 80 degrees for Christmas day. It's never been that warm on Christmas in all my days in Atlanta. January may get "cool" for a bit, but that's all there is for 2015/2016 winter. The sad thing is, even moving north to Ohio/Kentucky wouldn't improve things much in this situation... Banter away! head to the mountains my friend. They always get snow even in the worst of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Glamm will overcome the qbo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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