atownwxwatcher Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 If you mean better in terms of absurd positive departures then yes. If you're hoping for BN temps and snow then definitely not. At least not for 3/4 of January. Activity levels will continue to increase as evidenced by the coming week, but expect to keep increasing as the subtropical jet grows more intense. January tends to be quiet, storm wise, due to a lack of temp gradients but that won't be the case this season. Actually NOT what the GFS at 12 Z today was showing..it was actually showing colder temperatures moving back in and snow chances increasing right around the time that it is expected by most to occur.. Relax everything still going to plan.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 The above is directed towards the coastal plain but interior locations could be an entirely different story especially by mid Jan and beyond. This definitely feels like their year to shine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Last year? Precisely, I expected last year to be below normal, and it was significantly above normal. But still most of the storms were lame, which is better for my back in any case. I think we had one that approached 8 or 9 in these parts, due to lack of blocking the storms would exit too fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 If you mean better in terms of absurd positive departures then yes. If you're hoping for BN temps and snow then definitely not. At least not for 3/4 of January. Activity levels will continue to increase as evidenced by the coming week, but expect to keep increasing as the subtropical jet grows more intense. January tends to be quiet, storm wise, due to a lack of temp gradients but that won't be the case this season. did u see the GFS today? It shows great potential after this weeks heatwave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 The above is directed towards the coastal plain but interior locations could be an entirely different story especially by mid Jan and beyond. This definitely feels like their year to shine. What are you talking about Why would the coast be warm and the interior be cold ? What at 500 would do that ? Is this your opinion or is there is science and guidance behind this ? They are shining now huh it's plus 10 from DC to Maine and when this pattern changes the anamolies will decline across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 What are you talking about Why would the coast be warm and the interior be cold ? What at 500 would do that ? Is this your opinion or is there is science and guidance behind this ? They are shining now huh it's plus 10 from DC to Maine and when this pattern changes the anamolies will decline across the board. Yeah it doesn't make sense. Could be a rain vs snow situation but it's not like it will be 10-15 degrees warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 12z GFS 372hrs WE GOT THIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Yeah it doesn't make sense. Could be a rain vs snow situation but it's not like it will be 10-15 degrees warmer That's what I got from his post, I doubt he meant the coast would be significantly warmer than the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 12z GFS 372hrs WE GOT THIS It's nice to see GFS fantasy storms. Warms the cockles of my heart. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Yeah it doesn't make sense. Could be a rain vs snow situation but it's not like it will be 10-15 degrees warmer Yes rain vs. snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Yeah it doesn't make sense. Could be a rain vs snow situation but it's not like it will be 10-15 degrees warmerHe responded to a post of the PV split and the pattern looking better in Jan . He said there will be a temperature gradient . That's not how this works. The anomalies are shared in large part over the entire NE and rain vs snow are decided system by system and will not be more or less common in the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Yes rain vs. snow That's not what you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Yes rain vs. snow Once to January if the interior is snow then the coast is likely snow or close unless we're getting inland runners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 This winter is progressing as expected. Now seeing PV splits modeled in the lower strat. Need to get those into the upper strat. 1-2 weeks away from a return to Winter. Improved Scandinavian ridging and a flipped qbo in the higher strat should help continue these sswes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Once to January if the interior is snow then the coast is likely snow or close unless we're getting inland runners No Atlantic blocking would yield numerous cutters unless we see a pacific configuration similar to the last couple winters. Is the EPO expected to go negative? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 No Atlantic blocking would yield numerous cutters unless we see a pacific configuration similar to the last couple winters. Is the EPO expected to go negative?Do you actually want to learn how this all works? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 snowski is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 No Atlantic blocking would yield numerous cutters unless we see a pacific configuration similar to the last couple winters. Is the EPO expected to go negative? Blocking would yield cutters ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 snowski is rightBut is SnoSki? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Blocking would yield cutters ? i think you missed the word "no" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 i think you missed the word "no"That's rather evident Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 That's rather evident Thought that was his answer to SL post and then went on to opine. Regardless , the upcoming pattern is not a tight gradient pattern . That was the premise of his 1st post. The PNA goes POS and the STJ streaks into the SE. I would be more concerned over suppression than I would be cutters. Look at the guidance , see how dry the apps are. The AN s are right along the EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Thought that was his answer to SL post and then went on to opine. Regardless , the upcoming pattern is not a tight gradient pattern . That was the premise of his 1st post. The PNA goes POS and the STJ streaks into the SE. I would be more concerned over suppression than I would be cutters. Look at the guidance , see how dry the apps are. The AN s are right along the EC Only Sno knows for sure what he meant, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Posters defending snoski and mocking pb gfi. Classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Posters defending snoski and mocking pb gfi. Classic.If you say so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Posters defending snoski and mocking pb gfi. Classic. I don't get it. Everything PB is saying is true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 If we see the same thing next December we may be on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Put me down for that 30" interior PA GFS fantasy storm in early January to make things right after all this warmth lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 lol.. Lol weenies are gonna eat this up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Lol weenies are gonna eat this upMaybe it will calm people and get them to relax a bit??Yeah, I didn't think so either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.