NYY_2 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 People really need to start backing up their assertions with images. Then the members gets to see who's full of crap and who's not. this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Hi. How is everyone this evening? As Richard Nixon said upon arriving in China, "It's good to be among friends." Hi Pam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Hi Tabitha Fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Sometimes low level moisture isn't picked up if it's close to the ground. Maybe a met can give a more technical answer. Yeah I understand. I'm on the train and just see what looks like normal rain. As soon as I'm off im sure I'll be able to tell its low level mist/drizzle. It was dry still in Manhattan when I left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 this It's up to Snowman. I already know what the models show. Am I saying it's going to happen the way the models show it? No. But currently they show some disruption of the strat vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Fyp whatever. This is the only site where you can get banned and come back as a different poster 3 months later and it's perfectly acceptable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 My guess is that the pattern flips mid January, based on what ive seen and read. Nothing epic, but certainly colder with chances for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 whatever. This is the only site where you can get banned and come back as a different poster 3 months later and it's perfectly acceptable.No one is forcing you to stay here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Right now, there's no guidance supporting a meaningful stratospheric warming event. Some relatively minor warming is forecast, but the magnitude falls well short of the kind of warming events that can displace or split the polar vortex. Sources: FU Berlin and CPC/NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 whatever. This is the only site where you can get banned and come back as a different poster 3 months later and it's perfectly acceptable. Yes I know somebody that did that several times....sn started with a 4 I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Right now, there's no guidance supporting a meaningful stratospheric warming event. Some relatively minor warming is forecast, but the magnitude falls well short of the kind of warming events that can displace or split the polar vortex. Sources: FU Berlin and CPC/NCEP This! Hopefully the weenies can stay a bay for a bit...or at the other site with there cold and snow dreams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 No one is forcing you to stay here. Personally, I'm happy here, it's a great site and I learn a lot. However, If one is banned, you would think that the ban is a lifetime one....otherwise just suspend the person. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Personally, I'm happy here, it's a great site and I learn a lot. However, If one is banned, you would think that the ban is a lifetime one....otherwise just suspend the person. He/she is already a daily post limit member...perhaps the staff wants to find out more info Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 He/she is already a daily post limit member...perhaps the staff wants to find out more info Fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Hi. How is everyone this evening? As Richard Nixon said upon arriving in China, "It's good to be among friends." Hey Pam welcome back! Smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Right now, there's no guidance supporting a meaningful stratospheric warming event. Some relatively minor warming is forecast, but the magnitude falls well short of the kind of warming events that can displace or split the polar vortex. Sources: FU Berlin and CPC/NCEP Don take a look at the Euro at 10mb . Is it subtle ? . The question is does this continue / or is it another false start . We have seen the EURO hint at this before only to back off , and again it does not yet knock it off the pole . We would need to see this progress far more than what this is showing to displace the vortex . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 whatever. This is the only site where you can get banned and come back as a different poster 3 months later and it's perfectly acceptable. Like that Fake Housewife from New Jersey, I feel like I've done my time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 whatever. This is the only site where you can get banned and come back as a different poster 3 months later and it's perfectly acceptable. Lol it's not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Don take a look at the Euro at 10mb . Is it subtle ? . The question is does this continue / or is it another false start . We have seen the EURO hint at this before only to back off , and again it does not yet knock it off the pole . We would need to see this progress far more than what this is showing to displace the vortex . I'd like to see it expand down toward 30 mb. Right now, this appears to be a minor event (10 mb temperatures warm toward normal) that is confined to the highest levels of the stratosphere (30 mb temperatures remain much colder than normal). It helps a little, but we need more to displace or even split the polar vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Lol it's notWhether it's pam or not as long as we all track weather and keep banter in banter all is good right ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Whether it's pam or not as long as we all track weather and keep banter in banter all is good right ? oh it's def Pam. And yea. Banter is where all of this belongs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 I'd like to see it expand down toward 30 mb. Right now, this appears to be a minor event (10 mb temperatures warm toward normal) that is confined to the highest levels of the stratosphere (30 mb temperatures remain much colder than normal). It helps a little, but we need more to displace or even split the polar vortex. I will not post anymore Euro images , I just went through days 1 thru 10 at 30mb and you are correct , it does not make it`s way down through day 10 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 I will not post anymore Euro images , I just went through days 1 thru 10 at 30mb and you are correct , it does not make it`s way down through day 10 . Hopefully, this event will be the first in a series of increasingly more impressive warming events that will lead to the displacement of the PV and development of sustained blocking by mid- or late-January as occurred during such El Niño winters as 1957-58 and 1965-66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Hopefully, this event will be the first in a series of increasingly more impressive warming events that will lead to the displacement of the PV and development of sustained blocking by mid- or late-January as occurred during such El Niño winters as 1957-58 and 1965-66. Thanks for clearing this all up....look forward to tracking the warm temps for the next several weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Bye Tabitha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 oh it's def Pam. And yea. Banter is where all of this belongs. Good riddance, again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 what did she do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Thanks for clearing this all up....look forward to tracking the warm temps for the next several weeks Hopefully, we won't have to track warmth for more than the next several weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 whatever. This is the only site where you can get banned and come back as a different poster 3 months later and it's perfectly acceptable. Quit your whining. Until you start paying us, you might have to wait a little while for stuff to get done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 what did she do Yeah I kinda liked Pam, that ascerbic wit and all....but I only come here in winter so I don't know what happened in the interim... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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