Stormlover74 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 it feels nice to be out in t shirt today but I'm beginning to regret my bet with dorky. I don't ever remember it this boring as far as weather. I was telling my wife I got more mood swings than her lately cause of this weather. I need snow to be happy.... Seriously. I dread all year around to finally get some snow and than we get this stupid El Niño that just won't produce. I was afraid of 97-98 winter but this is worse at least than northwest areas had snow/mixed. Maybe uncle could pull up some info on snow totals for let's say Poughkeepsie for 97-98 winter or Albany I'm sure they got at least close to average. I'm really sad right now including losing my bet looks like a sure thing thanks forky Yeah I think you need to find a much snowier climate...and yeah never bet against forky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 There's going to be a lot of meltdowns if this weather continues past mid January across all forums, New England in particular. The stuff Isotherm posted though in the main weather forum was very intriguing. If you're reading to jump off a cliff this winter, then I'd suggest taking a look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Having our annual holiday party at the house this afternoon. We've had colder days for our annual Memorial Day party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Golf courses are cashing in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 I'm contemplating if I should jump or not... Snowski could you link us Lolz enjoy ur weekend fellas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 it feels nice to be out in t shirt today but I'm beginning to regret my bet with dorky. I don't ever remember it this boring as far as weather. I was telling my wife I got more mood swings than her lately cause of this weather. I need snow to be happy.... Seriously. I dread all year around to finally get some snow and than we get this stupid El Niño that just won't produce. I was afraid of 97-98 winter but this is worse at least than northwest areas had snow/mixed. Maybe uncle could pull up some info on snow totals for let's say Poughkeepsie for 97-98 winter or Albany I'm sure they got at least close to average. I'm really sad right now including losing my bet looks like a sure thing thanks forky Not that I recall... We ended up below avg up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 What a nightmare for retailers who sell winter clothing. We went biking today- not even a sweatshirt needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Wow it was warm in DC today. National mall was packed. Even people out on blankets. Time for a holiday party, setting up beer pong outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Can anyone post a picture, or example of a phased storm? (Or while it's phasing) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Sitting outside in a t-shirt eating ice cream, in mid December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Well at least it doesn't look like constant mild and warm for the rest of December, We could even get in a little light snow according to the 18z GFS. I usually like these mild temps, but not during winter and the holidays. Just doesn't seem natural or in the spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Well at least it doesn't look like constant mild and warm for the rest of December, We could even get in a little light snow according to the 18z GFS. I usually like these mild temps, but not during winter and the holidays. Just doesn't seem natural or in the spirit. Long way to go. A decent cold shot around the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Plus December AO analogs that turned negative in February... year.......temp...snowfall......Dec.......Jan.........Feb........Mar....... ave..AO...2004-05...35.4....41.0"......+1.230...+0.356... -1.271... -1.348... -0.2581951-52...37.0....19.7"......+1.987...+0.368... -1.747... -1.859... -0.3131982-83...37.9....27.2"......+0.967...+1.359... -1.806... -0.567... -0.0122006-07...37.3....12.4"......+2.282...+2.034... -1.307...+1.182...+1.048... I think the ao will turn negative in late January and stay that way most of February...If that happens these are the analogs for el nino winters...It looks like 2006-07 is in the lead so far for the ao...the winter will continue to suck until then... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 be honest, you all were expecting a warm december but not the warmest ever. that must hurt True, strong El Nino.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Maybe the storm for next weekend wil work out if I keep cancelling this month. gfs was close to a phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Love this weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Maybe the storm for next weekend wil work out if I keep cancelling this month. gfs was close to a phase. I'm going to put my snow shovel at the bottom of the trunk of my car. That guarantees at least 18". Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Love this weather It's making me suicidal. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 True, strong El Nino.. Not even the other strongest Ninos were this mild. This December is the complete inverse of Feb 2015 and I'm really curious what the final departures will be. I doubt it'll be +11 against Feb -11 but a +8.5 to +9.5 is plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 be honest, you all were expecting a warm december but not the warmest ever. that must hurt If it's going to torch, might as well break some records Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Not even the other strongest Ninos were this mild. This December is the complete inverse of Feb 2015 and I'm really curious what the final departures will be. I doubt it'll be +11 against Feb -11 but a +8.5 to +9.5 is plausible. I was agreeing with forky. You left the second part out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Until we get rid of this pattern that includes so many cutters, though, there will still be mild/rainy periods. GFS long range doesn't show a switch away from that yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 60 day analog outlook still indicates the place to be for winter lovers is Seattle, where mean value line of all the members is below the normal temperature line exclusively with little total area above this line. This teleconnects with NYC's being above the normal nearly exclusively during the same time period. Specifically, don't expect any real cold till second week of January. This would have to be just brief, accidental cold however, since most members are above the line anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 it feels nice to be out in t shirt today but I'm beginning to regret my bet with dorky. I don't ever remember it this boring as far as weather. I was telling my wife I got more mood swings than her lately cause of this weather. I need snow to be happy.... Seriously. I dread all year around to finally get some snow and than we get this stupid El Niño that just won't produce. I was afraid of 97-98 winter but this is worse at least than northwest areas had snow/mixed. Maybe uncle could pull up some info on snow totals for let's say Poughkeepsie for 97-98 winter or Albany I'm sure they got at least close to average. I'm really sad right now including losing my bet looks like a sure thing thanks forky 97-98 was at least kinda wet and stormy, some here report a 5 incher in March but that did not happen in my neck of the woods( central NJ ) where we had a light dusting. I remember because they didn't bother to salt the streets and I slid my truck down a hill and broke an axle and I remember thinking I drove through the winter of 94 and the big one of 96 and yet I destroyed my truck in the warmest winter I ever remembered, in less than an inch of snow, which was gone by afternoon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Not even the other strongest Ninos were this mild. This December is the complete inverse of Feb 2015 and I'm really curious what the final departures will be. I doubt it'll be +11 against Feb -11 but a +8.5 to +9.5 is plausible. It is the mildest I can remember in 53 years. BUt I can tell you that in my experience in these parts, when December stays mild, you can put the down parka and the shovel away for the winter. Sometimes, like in 95, we get a decent storm in Feb, where some people got 11 inches but I'm sure it was less here. Of course with climate change you can never tell what might happen, and you could just as likely get a blizzard in March. But I kinda doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Love this weather Yes, it's fine, but my answer to people who love freakishly warm weather during colder months is that no one would be celebrating 30 degree temps in July; they would think the world is coming to an end....I think such warm temps are disconcerting, and I have seen several of them, with some freakish temps in January as well over the years...I remember maybe 2006 people walking around in shorts at the Philly zoo in Jan. The climate deniers say it has all happened before, but scientists point to those damning, stubborn facts and charts and you just know it ain't normal..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 It's warm enough outside at midnight for strippers on my festivus pole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Maybe the storm for next weekend wil work out if I keep cancelling this month. gfs was close to a phase. I think we are going to be disappointed this winter my friend, but we have all seen boring winters before. I am one of those people who only shows up here in winter, and don't shy from the fact that I really don't know a lot about what some of the posters here are talking about. We all share a passion for the weather, but as I've noted before, mine is not one based in the natural sciences, but the social. The impact of weather on people and society is my interest, and I have developed a side interest in snow weenies as well, not just because I am one, but because they enjoy something that the vast majority of adults disdain. I have taken note of people's opinions and most I talk to feel this weather is a blessing. They don't care if its freakish. Hope we'll have something more to discuss in the upcoming months, but my guess is it stays snowless or nearly so this winter. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 It's warm enough outside at midnight for strippers on my festivus pole How long will it take us to get there from central NJ? And will you have beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 How are the chances of thunderstorms looking for Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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