Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 To be fair, I saw a webcam of the college football stadium before and it was all covered in an inch of snow and it was coming down heavily. It was posted in the MA subforum. Interesting. Must be a tight cutoff and some dry air to the North as they reside near Indian River Inlet (15 miles West) and have just a coating now with "snow showers" as he referred to them. Either way, yes, this was not supposed to clip us so BONUS :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Dumped on? My brother that lives just outside of SBY is only reporting flurries, dusting at best right now. Not challenging you, just be careful what terms you are using to describe the snowfall rates. "Dumped on" generally conjures visions of 1/4 mile or less visibilities, significant accums, etc. trust me bud,it's snowing hard down there right now.the radar is exploding also.might wanna check for yourself if you may,but my call for a "westward trend" is clearly visible lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Dumped on? My brother that lives just outside of SBY is only reporting flurries, dusting at best right now. Not challenging you, just be careful what terms you are using to describe the snowfall rates. "Dumped on" generally conjures visions of 1/4 mile or less visibilities, significant accums, etc. Latest obs is 32, snow, .5 mile visibility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 http://www.salisbury.edu/webcam/stadium/default.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z Gfs looks good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 http://www.salisbury.edu/webcam/stadium/default.html Yes, it's coming down nicely down there. HRRR shows up to 3" falling around Salisbury Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 trust me bud,it's snowing hard down there right now.the radar is exploding also.might wanna check for yourself if you may,but my call for a "westward trend" is clearly visible lol.. Yep, they are now reporting moderate snow. Good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yep, they are now reporting moderate snow. Good call. ty sir,and follow the trends my friend.this week is going to be a gd one for us winter lovers around these parts,i have that feeling!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 trust me bud,it's snowing hard down there right now.the radar is exploding also.might wanna check for yourself if you may,but my call for a "westward trend" is clearly visible lol.. I wonder what that radar development means for us up here. Snow is beginning to enter southern NJ now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z gfs doesn't close off 500mb low like previous runs giving us a less robust scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z gfs doesn't close off 500mb low like previous runs giving us a less robust scenario. The 18z will either drop the storm altogether or it will depict a HECS. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z gfs doesn't close off 500mb low like previous runs giving us a less robust scenario. I'm sure no one will complain with 4"-8"/6"-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z gfs doesn't close off 500mb low like previous runs giving us a less robust scenario. I'll get the cliff ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I'm sure no one will complain with 4"-8"/6"-10". I think that is one of the issues, some people are looking for a 20" snowstorm and with what the models showed last night that would certainly be possible.. Give me a solid 8-12" snowfall and I will be very happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 GFS shows storm? Ok. Great. forget 1 inch or a 100 at this point in time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 i think OTS is most likely. i doubt the pac jet allows a slow moving cutoffstill think this is true with the gfs coming in more progressive this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 still think this is true with the gfs coming in more progressive this runhow can I mute your face? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I think that is one of the issues, some people are looking for a 20" snowstorm and with what the models showed last night that would certainly be possible.. Give me a solid 8-12" snowfall and I will be very happy. More like 4-6 but with 20 more Gfs runs to go it's not the final solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 how can I mute your face? Lol he's correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 The 18z will either drop the storm altogether or it will depict a HECS. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk You can't expect the models to show a HECS every run from here on out. GFS has a tendency to "lose" a storm for a time before bringing it back later. Not saying it lost this storm, but there are many delicate matters at play here. At this point in time look at the ensembles along with the 500mb maps. The reason the 12z run was less robust was that the 500mb low opened up. However if you look at the western ridge it was improved from the 6z run which is a good thing. I'm not making any bold predictions at this point in time, just buckle up and enjoy the ride. Plenty of ups and downs are on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 still think this is true with the gfs coming in more progressive this run Hello. The blizzard of 1983 was in el nino. Did it develop in a similar pattern as now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 If you wanna feel better, go look at the 12z cmc. Just ludicrous. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 If you wanna feel better, go look at the 12z cmc. Just ludicrous. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Maps or didn't happen jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I wouldn't sleep on that wave at day 3-4 either, it's been dampening out less and less each run as it crosses the Ohio valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 You can't expect the models to show a HECS every run from here on out. GFS has a tendency to "lose" a storm for a time before bringing it back later. Not saying it lost this storm, but there are many delicate matters at play here. At this point in time look at the ensembles along with the 500mb maps. The reason the 12z run was less robust was that the 500mb low opened up. However if you look at the western ridge it was improved from the 6z run which is a good thing. I'm not making any bold predictions at this point in time, just buckle up and enjoy the ride. Plenty of ups and downs are on the way. I was mostly being snarky. I'm very interested in what happens, but I'm also trying to take a que sera sera attitude. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I wouldn't sleep on that wave at day 3-4 either, it's been dampening out less and less each run as it crosses the Ohio valley It was much weaker on the 00z ECMWF, but ideally I would want that lead vort as weak and progressive as possible so we don't have any more issues for this weekend. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 It was much weaker on the 00z ECMWF, but ideally I would want that lead vort as weak and progressive as possible so we don't have any more issues for this weekend. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Agreed, all we want with that wave is a fropa to reinforce the cold air prior to the storm. Nothing more, nothing less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Cmc is a huge hit for everyone. 12-15"+ Phl-Nyc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Cmc is a huge hit for everyone. 12-15"+ Phl-Nyc. I just don't buy this "slow moving" storm idea . The flow off the pacific is fast I don't see what would help this storm slow down like the GGEM and Euro are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Gfs backing off could be what eventually happens with this. Everyone needs to hang back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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