wthrmn654 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Looking at the imagines he had that's what's printed on it. Top right corner. Data comes from there at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Looking at the imagines he had that's what's printed on it. Top right corner. Data comes from there at least It's definitely NCEP data. I'm just wondering whether there's a site that's posted the images, as it would offer a nice "short cut" so to speak. I could always create a custom file based on ENSO and the MJO and run it, as I've done in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 That's would be good idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 All threats appear DOA in the medium range.....onto the Jan 23 threat ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 It's definitely NCEP data. I'm just wondering whether there's a site that's posted the images, as it would offer a nice "short cut" so to speak. I could always create a custom file based on ENSO and the MJO and run it, as I've done in the past. Here you go Don http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.ncep.reanalysis.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Bet my powerball winnings GFS goes to a cutter 0z - Euro FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Maybe .25 QPF from 15th-16th? What a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Don, here is an alternative one: http://www.meteonetwork.it/models/mjo/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I am going to go ahead and call b.s. on the modeled SSWE and subsequent PV displacement based on the fact that the Euro is not showing it at all. I will also go ahead and say I no longer believe we will get Stratospheric help for Feb and March. For this reason, I think the PAC will overwhelm the CONUS before the end of January and give us a positive departure for February. Also no longer think we see a KU chance or two this Winter, since belief in that was based on the SSW occurring and subsequent blocking which would commonly set up in such circumstances. Doubt NYC sees more than 10 or so inches until Spring. and this is even being aggressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I am going to go ahead and call b.s. on the modeled SSWE and subsequent PV displacement based on the fact that the Euro is not showing it at all. I will also go ahead and say I no longer believe we will get Stratospheric help for Feb and March. For this reason, I think the PAC will overwhelm the CONUS before the end of January and give us a positive departure for February. Also no longer think we see a KU chance or two this Winter, since belief in that was based on the SSW occurring and subsequent blocking which would commonly set up in such circumstances. Doubt NYC sees more than 10 or so inches until Spring. and this is even being aggressive. Completely agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I am going to go ahead and call b.s. on the modeled SSWE and subsequent PV displacement based on the fact that the Euro is not showing it at all. I will also go ahead and say I no longer believe we will get Stratospheric help for Feb and March. For this reason, I think the PAC will overwhelm the CONUS before the end of January and give us a positive departure for February. Also no longer think we see a KU chance or two this Winter, since belief in that was based on the SSW occurring and subsequent blocking which would commonly set up in such circumstances. Doubt NYC sees more than 10 or so inches until Spring. and this is even being aggressive.So you're essentially cancelling winter? And it hasnt even reached the midway point of January? Seems suspect to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 lol at people cancelling winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I am going to go ahead and call b.s. on the modeled SSWE and subsequent PV displacement based on the fact that the Euro is not showing it at all. I will also go ahead and say I no longer believe we will get Stratospheric help for Feb and March. For this reason, I think the PAC will overwhelm the CONUS before the end of January and give us a positive departure for February. Also no longer think we see a KU chance or two this Winter, since belief in that was based on the SSW occurring and subsequent blocking which would commonly set up in such circumstances. Doubt NYC sees more than 10 or so inches until Spring. and this is even being aggressive.history is on your side but I'm hoping for a turnaround come feb like we had last year. I'm done reading anything about SSW-overused and almost never happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 This is in no way a troll..but has PB GFI been posting the last few days? I quickly scrolled thru and haven't seen anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 This is in no way a troll..but has PB GFI been posting the last few days? I quickly scrolled thru and haven't seen anythinglol. He's been around. His BN call was over done but I think he knows that. I don't think he went in big on any of the bogus big snow model runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I am going to go ahead and call b.s. on the modeled SSWE and subsequent PV displacement based on the fact that the Euro is not showing it at all. I will also go ahead and say I no longer believe we will get Stratospheric help for Feb and March. For this reason, I think the PAC will overwhelm the CONUS before the end of January and give us a positive departure for February. Also no longer think we see a KU chance or two this Winter, since belief in that was based on the SSW occurring and subsequent blocking which would commonly set up in such circumstances. Doubt NYC sees more than 10 or so inches until Spring. and this is even being aggressive. I think last year got peoples' hopes up a bit; most snowless Decembers are followed by below normal snowfall and when that didn't happen, people thought we could disregard those stats. But alas, snow ain't happening much anywhere this year outside of a few places so far, so it's looking like the December rule will hold this year. I don't feel like arguing with the snowblower anyway. And if it snows in March nature takes care of it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 This is in no way a troll..but has PB GFI been posting the last few days? I quickly scrolled thru and haven't seen anything Probably busy with the stock market stuff. I'm glad I'm not in finance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I cannot remember the year but in the early 90s we had a winter with very little snow until March were we had w storms in one weekend. 1 7 incher and 1 3 incher. Perhaps March will b our month again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Many people were calling for 30-40 inches of snow for this winter with a very stj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 I think the late sunday threat will come back around tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I cannot remember the year but in the early 90s we had a winter with very little snow until March were we had w storms in one weekend. 1 7 incher and 1 3 incher. Perhaps March will b our month again. 92, and that was after 4 years of pretty lean times... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I cannot remember the year but in the early 90s we had a winter with very little snow until March were we had w storms in one weekend. 1 7 incher and 1 3 incher. Perhaps March will b our month again. 92 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Many people were calling for 30-40 inches of snow for this winter with a very stj I didn't want to venture a guess, but my instincts told me we can't have 3 ( really 4 ) active winters in a row. Hope we can look back on this in a few weeks and laugh.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 I think the late sunday threat will come back around tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 lol at people cancelling winter I admire your persistence. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I am going to go ahead and call b.s. on the modeled SSWE and subsequent PV displacement based on the fact that the Euro is not showing it at all. I will also go ahead and say I no longer believe we will get Stratospheric help for Feb and March. For this reason, I think the PAC will overwhelm the CONUS before the end of January and give us a positive departure for February. Also no longer think we see a KU chance or two this Winter, since belief in that was based on the SSW occurring and subsequent blocking which would commonly set up in such circumstances. Doubt NYC sees more than 10 or so inches until Spring. and this is even being aggressive. Talk about doing a 180 from your "historic pattern incoming, get your shovels ready" posts less than 2 weeks ago where you berated posters who weren't buying into your hype. Now you ramble on completely in the other direction to make yourself look better. What a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Talk about doing a 180 from your "historic pattern incoming, get your shovels ready" posts less than 2 weeks ago where you berated posters who weren't buying into your hype. Now you ramble on completely in the other direction to make yourself look better. What a joke. Yeah, my forecast will bust, no doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I admire your persistence. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Its Jan 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Its Jan 13 True, but we might be saying the same thing on Feb 13. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 No need to berate someone for altering their forecast, it isn't that serious, forecasts change all the time. My capacity for forecasting doesn't extend beyond educated guesswork lol, so I respect everyone's thoughts, whether I agree or disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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