forkyfork Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Yes it did on the ensembles with a really strong block.no, it didn't. i explained why 6 days ago. if you only pay attention to what you want to hear then you deserve the disappointment that follows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Sne forum is melting down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 12Z NAM - although it is still past 60 hours shows the weekend storm staying too far off the coast and takes the heavier precip with it and there is no evidence of any second storm coming up the coast - lets see if the rest of the 12Z guidance agrees with this solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Sne forum is melting downIt's pretty ironic because yesterday when it looked good for them and bad for us they were mocking us for melting down. At the end of the day we're all hopeless weenies who can pretend to take the high road when things look good, but when they fall apart we all melt down (although we all take a different approach) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 It's pretty ironic because yesterday when it looked good for them and bad for us they were mocking us for melting down. At the end of the day we're all hopeless weenies who can pretend to take the high road when things look good, but when they fall apart we all melt down (although we all take a different approach) This times 1000! Looks like heavy rain for the game Saturday...bring the poncho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Sne forum is melting down That's rich, considering they got their snowiest winter ever last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 12Z NAM - although it is still past 60 hours shows the weekend storm staying too far off the coast and takes the heavier precip with it and there is no evidence of any second storm coming up the coast - lets see if the rest of the 12Z guidance agrees with this solution It showed it last night as well, at this point it's probably too far SE but all models now have the storm being kicked east rather quickly and the big rain numbers have been steadily declining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Looks like we get a frontal passage with some rain.....amazing turn of events the wrong way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 GFS says snowstorm on Sunday with the 2nd piece of energy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 It would be pretty cool if we track a POS for 10 days and end up getting snow from something that popped up last minute. To hell with this garbage storm, I want to see it move out of here faster than Anthony when confronted with negative weather related facts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Need to show the previous hours - very close call here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 It wouldn't be all that amazing to have something sneak up 5 days out. Happens all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Both the 0z ECMWF (0.08") and 12z GFS (0.17") had a little snow for late Sunday/Sunday night into Monday for NYC and the NYC area. While this outcome is still far from assured, I would still be surprised if we don't have 1 or 2 measurable snow events by the end of the month for NYC given the predominant AO-/PNA+ forecast on the ensembles (assuming it verifies). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 It wouldn't be all that amazing to have something sneak up 5 days out. Happens all the time. agreed- lets see if the rest of the 12Z guidance agrees about the second storm coming up the coast which will become the important one here with all snow that first system is moving out of the way of the second and might act as a 50/50 and force the second one closer into the coast - one thing is certain the second storm is 100% snow here if it gets close enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The 12z GGEM is an inland paste job Friday into Saturday. Coastal hugger and strong dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 The mood has definitely changed from an hour ago on this forum lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The mood has definitely changed from an hour ago on this forum lol Live and die with each op run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 The 12z GGEM is an inland paste job Friday into Saturday. Coastal hugger and strong dynamics.that model blow everything up. Does it have anything for sun/mom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Gfs show another big coastal next weekend. Too far out but alot of ensemble support. Very active pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Gfs show another big coastal next weekend. Too far out but alot of ensemble support. Very active pattern. My how the mentality has shifted in only a few hours. Before it was screw winter and now it's "oh look we might see snowstorms". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Day 10 storm is a bone crusher for the interior lol, GFS bag of fantasy storms is overflowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 What a weenie GFS run, just as I was giving up on tracking storms for a while... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 That Sunday storm is still likely OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Just for fun.... Snow to rain to snow for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Is that Saturday isentropuc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Is that Saturday isentropuc? D 9.5 Joke range . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Is that Saturday isentropuc? No, that's the day ten storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Just to put a positive spin, Monday storm would have come to north,knock on wood, and at least it's been btrending west, with little movements. We don't want any large shifts west.lol Holy crap that was a bad post! Apologizes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Whats euro got to say about Saturday an Monday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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