wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Oh man that storm on 18th flying! Further east as well looks like lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Does look to get pretty cold by end though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 ForkyFork 9 - Snow88 3 - end of 1st QuarterAnd now a commercial message from Tex Antoine -https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=STRKeRkULaM Thank you. It brought back great memories of Tex. We sat, as kids, hoping Tex would put the snow hat on Uncle Wethbee. Now with a forum that offers so much information, there is no mystery. Well, I still look forward to seeing what picture Forky will use next. r Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 In summary: a rain storm for the 16th A miss on the 18th. Cold & dry after. Just fantastic. This ''winter'' clearly intends to test patience. What can go wrong will go wrong it would appear. Deep breath. and oh yeah today's snow? its 41 at JFK as I type! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Gem, temperatures,gfs, cmc are all colder I will point out leading up the the 16th,and after but, not enough to make much difference for 16.. at moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 If the euro doesn't show some type of snow for NYC for this weekend I'm throwing in the towel. I honestly think we're still in the game but you never know with these transfers. Plus that high to our north isn't particularly strong at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 If you don't like it there are other places you can go.who needs to read your posts when there's a refresh button? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 16th Nor'Easter has its own thread.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 who needs to read your posts when there's a refresh button?no offense but I like yanks analysis. All snow and Anthony are all great pbp and it helps me especially when I have slow updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Does look to get pretty cold by end though Of course it does because the boundary is so far East. That's why the second storm around the 18th is so far OTS. It's very hard to get two wound up systems back to back like that to track over the same area. Possible, but rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 In summary: a rain storm for the 16th A miss on the 18th. Cold & dry after. Just fantastic. This ''winter'' clearly intends to test patience. What can go wrong will go wrong it would appear. Deep breath. and oh yeah today's snow? its 41 at JFK as I type! Now you know why the forecast for the city is for no more than flurries. It's 34 where I am currently. Big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 who needs to read your posts when there's a refresh button? Because my paid access updates much quicker than your source does and some people here appreciate it. If you don't like it, don't let the door hit you in the *** on the way out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Now you know why the forecast for the city is for no more than flurries. It's 34 where I am currently. Big difference.JFK will warm up super quickly on a South wind, the city is probably going to rain initially but some short range models have pretty decent squalls for our area later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 That storm on the 17/18th really tries to go negative in time. It's certainly more negative than 06z and 00z. 06z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Because my paid access updates much quicker than your source does and some people here appreciate it. If you don't like it, don't let the door hit you in the *** on the way out.it updates maybe 5 minutes faster. you're a sucker who wants to feel important Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 JFK will warm up super quickly on a South wind, the city is probably going to rain initially but some short range models have pretty decent squalls for our area later. The HRRR has some snow for everyone after 02z. Before that it shows rain in the city and coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 it updates maybe 5 minutes faster. you're a sucker who wants to feel important And you're a knowledgeable poster with a met degree who would be a very valuable asset. However, you just can't help yourself with your outrageously arrogant attitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 And you're a knowledgeable poster with a met degree who would be a very valuable asset. However, you just can't help yourself with your outrageously arrogant attitude.not only do you pay to get the gfs a whole 5 minutes faster, your analysis is regularly corrected by people who don't. you are wasting your money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 not only do you pay to get the gfs a whole 5 minutes faster, your analysis is regularly corrected by people who don't. you are wasting your money I mostly pay for the Euro. If the Euro was free, then I wouldn't for any modeling. Secondly. I do it for myself, not anyone on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 How about you guys use the private message feature and resolve your misunderstandings there? Back to weather please. Is that an inch on the HRRR? I ask because I'm colorblind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 In summary: a rain storm for the 16th A miss on the 18th. Cold & dry after. Just fantastic. This ''winter'' clearly intends to test patience. What can go wrong will go wrong it would appear. Deep breath. and oh yeah today's snow? its 41 at JFK as I type! And this GFS run has another cutter in the long range, around the 23rd. The flip to a cold pattern won't mean a thing if it's cutters and cold/dry. Hopefully we'll have some luck at some point, but perhaps Forky has been right all along about the pattern not being that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 How about you guys use the private message feature and resolve your misunderstandings there? Back to weather please. Is that an inch on the HRRR? I ask because I'm colorblind. It's somewhere between 0.1 and 1.0 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I mostly pay for the Euro. If the Euro was free, then I wouldn't for any modeling.wunderground offers euro precip and snowfall graphics for free Secondly. I do it for myself, not anyone on here.just like i said, you do it to make yourself feel important Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The pattern being conducive for snow was never the argument, as I followed it. Rather the entire look of the NH pattern changed from December. We are no longer stuck in a monster of a south east ridge, with high dews and mid 50-60's for weeks on end. We have a long way to go; patience is advised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The pattern being conducive for snow was never the argument, as I followed it. Rather the entire look of the NH pattern changed from December. We are no longer stuck in a monster of a south east ridge, with high dews and mid 50-60's for weeks on end. We have a long way to go; patience is advised. To quote Joe Cioffi: Just because the pattern changes doesn't mean it will change to something we like. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The way I figure it, to continue our Baseball themed discussion lately, NY, snow wise, is a 276 hitter who has to hit in the clutch to score its usual 30 inches. What many of us are forgetting is this: a .276 hitter is failing 72.4% of the time AND hitters go through dry spells. In fact, a .345 hitter, IE NNE and snow belts and the Rockies etc.. go through dry spells too but its very different dynamic when climo is on your side.Climo is not our friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Thanks for the good post Don. I might move it to the discussion thread after work if I remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The way I figure it, to continue our Baseball themed discussion lately, NY, snow wise, is a 276 hitter who has to hit in the clutch to score its usual 30 inches. What many of us are forgetting is this: a .276 hitter is failing 72.4% of the time AND hitters go through dry spells. In fact, a .345 hitter, IE NNE and snow belts and the Rockies etc.. go through dry spells too but its very different dynamic when climo is on your side.Climo is not our friend But climo is our friend in that we've never gone a whole winter without measurable snowfall so the chances of Feb going snowless if January does and December did would be miniscule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Was it 2012 that we had 1 snow storm? There was a winter where I was plowing at work only like one storm.but I just can't remember the year.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Was it 2012 that we had 1 snow storm? There was a winter where I was plowing at work only like one storm.but I just can't remember the year.. In the immediate NYC area, we got snow in late October 2011 (Halloween storm) and then it snowed around MLK Day in Jan '12, that was it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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