IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The GFS should be closer to the coast this run. Transfer is occurring further North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 12z gfs.....only loaded to hour 78 inland low south east slightly, waiting for rest too load Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 981mb about 75 miles East of Cape May. Colder air is trying to work down and this might be very close for the far interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 12z gfs.....only loaded to hour 78 inland low south east slightly, waiting for rest too load I'll take it from here bud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 979mb South of the benchmark. Heavy rain overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Hour 84 the inland low further south, coastal low further north lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I'll take it from here bud. Thanks lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Elevation based snow for sure. The Poconos and higher elevations in NY do decently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 omg just look at it yourselves http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/AVN_12z/avnloopnew.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Good to see the inland low being absorbed completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I would consider this another trend. The storm is clearly better organized and colder. Let's see what the euro, ukmet and CMC got to tell us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Comparing previous run, colder at hour 96 in areas... Now if the storm can be further south,with only a coastal main low, I would think it could draw down colder air? As long as it rapidly intensified soon enough? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 1.50-1.75" of rain this run for NYC and NE NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Comparing previous run, colder at hour 96 in areas... Now if the storm can be further south,with only a coastal main low, I would think it could draw down colder air? As long as it rapidly intensified soon enough? NoIt would need to change dramatically from its current depiction for you to even see a flake, but for snowman19 it's getting very close (it would be pretty cool if it only snowed over his house) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 omg just look at it yourselves http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/AVN_12z/avnloopnew.html If you don't like it there are other places you can go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 2 m temperatures are only better by 1 degree if you wanted to be technical.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 yeah, focus on the 3 members that show a storm and not the 9 that don't ForkyFork 9 - Snow88 3 - end of 1st Quarter And now a commercial message from Tex Antoine - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 This is not far off from being a good interior storm and I love how strong it's becoming. It would end up being a pretty significant coastal storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Cmc out to HR 42, temperatures are colder if it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The Southern jet would need to slow down for the second system to work out. Right now it bombs hundreds of miles offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Elevation based snow for sure. The Poconos and higher elevations in NY do decently. I am not writing my location off just yet for a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The Southern jet would need to slow down for the second system to work out. Right now it bombs hundreds of miles offshore. 18th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Too bad the amount of blocking weakened because we could've had a 2 for 1 special with the storm on the 16th and one a day and half later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 You'd need to be above 850mb to maintain a subfreezing column. I think you want to bank on horizontal gradient rather than elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Hoping for a slopfest at Foxboro as it may aid Brady and the Patriots. Kansas City will still be tough team to beat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The GGEM is basically the same result as 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I am not writing my location off just yet for a few inches. Right now I like areas on the Shawangunk Ridge and places west near MSV to do well from this event. We need that primary to die off sooner. Its killing the midlevels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 18th? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Yes Thought so, haven't loaded to that frame yet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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