weatherpruf Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I'll take that risk any day, at least the consolation prize is possibly a very wound up storm with wind and rain (if it cuts obviously) I could do without that....taking my walk in the snow is nice but walking in the rain sucks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 rain is a bigger concern than ots who is that in the picture? reminds me of Benny Hill, you're probably to young to know who that was..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I'll take that risk any day, at least the consolation prize is possibly a very wound up storm with wind and rain (if it cuts obviously) I don't think its that it would cut. The risk is if there isn't enough cold air around and we get a coastal/hugger it would be rain/mix for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 How good does Euro look. Is there rain issues for the coas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I don't think its that it would cut. The risk is if there isn't enough cold air around and we get a coastal/hugger it would be rain/mix for the coast 1 guy insists OTS another talking R/S lines 9 days out It is all snow at KNYC . 9 days out , bring the LP to the BM then figure it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 48hrs later we manage to get the "big" storm 24hrs closer. Meh but it is a promising pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 i long for the days when these boards had useful information on them. The analysis in here is God-awful. so depressing. What kind of analysis would you like for a threat 7-10 days away? All you need to know is that there's a threat. The pattern supports a storm somewhere in the Eastern US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 1 guy insists OTS another talking R/S lines 9 days out It is all snow at KNYC . 9 days out , bring the LP to the BM then figure it out I'm speaking in general terms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 1 guy insists OTS another talking R/S lines 9 days out It is all snow at KNYC . 9 days out , bring the LP to the BM then figure it out just stick a low off the coast and everything will magically work out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 How good does Euro look. Is there rain issues for the coas? https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CKn-X_gVAAIOZt8.mp4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Fantasy crushed out here. Does it matter, not really. We just need to focus on which sw's are going to get this done, if any. Then we can figure everything else out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 just stick a low off the coast and everything will magically work out! He never said that. Bigger issue here is not rain. Its suppression with the blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 He never said that. Bigger issue here is not rain. Its suppression with the blocking. i'm good with my own analysis thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CKn-X_gVAAIOZt8.mp4 I hate when you do this. Post the next image lol But in the end it doesn't matter. It's another OP run over a week out. Everyone needs to stop getting hung up on these OP model runs. Just know the pattern is conducive for a storm somewhere in the Eastern US and worry about some of the details when we're within 96 hours (day 4). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 i long for the days when these boards had useful information on them. The analysis in here is God-awful. so depressing. agreed 100 % Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Fantasy crushed out here. Does it matter, not really. We just need to focus on which sw's are going to get this done, if any. Then we can figure everything else out. Worded that poorly. Fantasy, as in fantasy range D9. Crushed, as in buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 agreed 100 % Cool. What would you do differently? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I hate when you do this. Post the next image lol But in the end it doesn't matter. It's another OP run over a week out. Everyone needs to stop getting hung up on these OP model runs. Just know the pattern is conducive for a storm somewhere in the Eastern US and worry about some of the details when we're within 96 hours (day 4). last image of the 12z run PV suppressed look if the storm is slower to arrive??? How"s that RJ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 last image of the 12z run PV suppressed look if the storm is slower to arrive??? How"s that RJ... So instead of posting 6 hours later you posted day 10. Thanks lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 i'm good with my own analysis thx And thanks for sharing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 just stick a low off the coast and everything will magically work out! Not the point. The ensembles have been working LP towards the BM over the past few days. "Hence we will work it out " Means the argument inside 10 minutes can't go from OTS to rain It makes for bad analysis. Chances are if you stick LP over the BM with a Neg NAO in the coldest part of winter where the air mass is just "cold enough " I will take my chances. Especially when we r 8 days out /I don't disco R/S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Wow PB is right, one guy here one guy there. Everyone needs to stop writing in certainties. I for one am not rushing to any sort of judgment. By Thursday we should have a good handle on what's going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 i long for the days when these boards had useful information on them. The analysis in here is God-awful. so depressing. This is the banter thread after all. Although I don't know why analysis is happening here and not in the January discussion thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Many people have opposing views and this is great for conversation. What some of the people complaining about the lack of info on here don't seem to understand is that discussing model output of a day 9 threat at length is just dumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 This is the banter thread after all. Although I don't know why analysis is happening here and not in the January discussion thread. Pattern analysis belongs in the discussion thread. Threats day 5 and beyond belong in banter. Most people would agree with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Calling Mikehobbyist.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Pattern analysis belongs in the discussion thread. Threats day 5 and beyond belong in banter. Most people would agree with that.i agree with you. If any of the mets can tell me why this storm keeps getting pushed further and further. Is that a bad sign? No doubt were going into a very favorable pattern but why is it getting pushed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 i agree with you. If any of the mets can tell me why this storm keeps getting pushed further and further. Is that a bad sign? No doubt were going into a very favorable pattern but why is it getting pushed? Its not. Its still centered around next Monday the 18th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Many people have opposing views and this is great for conversation. What some of the people complaining about the lack of info on here don't seem to understand is that discussing model output of a day 9 threat at length is just dumb. Plenty of meteorologists have been discussing and writing about the chances for winter wx over the next couple weeks, and all the model output you'll ever need is available for free from multiple sites. I have no sympathy for people who rely on internet forums for their "analysis". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 i agree with you. If any of the mets can tell me why this storm keeps getting pushed further and further. Is that a bad sign? No doubt were going into a very favorable pattern but why is it getting pushed? There's so many vorts in the flow that the models are having a tough time keying in on exactly which one we should be looking at and how the blocking sets up, western ridge and eastern trough orientation and position, etc etc. Keep expecting relatively big changes for at least the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.