PB GFI Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 The Euro does not sheer this out , because it does not flatten the flow it maintains the height falls on the EC , however just a tad east . N to S in the means vs being pushed out mean 2 different things . You are phasing on the euro and the trough axis looks a bit east . The shunt off OBX or the S/E coast results from it`s belief of just fast PAC flat flow which the GFS likes to do . All you have to do is the pull the ridge axis back from Denver to Grand Junction ( so to speak ) and that trough axis comes west . The euro will be the 1st too it . But the entire genesis on the EC on the Euro has a slower/deeper look . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 first image is the 0z OP EURO jan 15-16 second image is the 0z PARALLEL EURO RUN very close but there is a timing issue thirds image in 0z euro para run EPS big hit for everyone DC to BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 See now this is my point you say nothing after today's 6z gfs run nothing about last nights oz euro run, nothing about the para euro runs yesterday but as soon as a model shows a bad solution snow wise you can't wait to post. Snowman19 too. I don't get it Doorman not hug models.....Doorman post comp GFS showing chaos Money Guidance HERE http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/ensmean_ussm_animation.html https://youtu.be/dLg9k3yFC40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 first image is the 0z OP EURO jan 15-16 0ZEURO156.jpg second image is the 0z PARALLEL EURO RUN very close but there is a timing issue 0zeuroPARA19h5.jpg thirds image in 0z euro para run EPS big hit for everyone DC to BOS 0zeuroPARAeps186.jpg Which is the most accurate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Which is the most accurate? The one that gives the most snow and then verifies as garbage??? that one??? WOOF https://youtu.be/rKwwcCpa2Ag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 The one that gives the most snow and then verifies as garbage??? that one??? WOOF https://youtu.be/rKwwcCpa2Ag Yes, euro owes me about 40 inches from a recent "storm of the century" cough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 See now this is my point you say nothing after today's 6z gfs run nothing about last nights oz euro run, nothing about the para euro runs yesterday but as soon as a model shows a bad solution snow wise you can't wait to post. Snowman19 too. I don't get it It's called trolling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 It's called trolling! model comps in banter is trolling ??? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=us&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2016010912&fh=120&xpos=0&ypos=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 It's called trolling! Check the GFS 12z ensembles . They are fine . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 cry babies http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=us&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2016010912&fh=120&xpos=0&ypos=0 It's nice to be in your own world! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 It's called trolling! Doorman is not a troll. Been around a long time and usually bullish on storms but not when things aren't going well, as they have not been so far. People are saying it's not like 98, but in that case we had a number of storms, all rain and wind. Kinda like tomorrow. I am hoping the pattern sets up the way some here think it will, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Euro takes the first sw out to sea on the 12z run...the second Vort is coming out into the Midwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Check the GFS 12z ensembles . They are fine . for OTS progs???? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I can't wait for this storm, it's going to be a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 He may not be trolling per se but after a couple missed calls last winter he vanished until reappearing a few weeks ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 He may not be trolling per se but after a couple missed calls last winter he vanished until reappearing a few weeks ago Bring some weather info....mods will ban you for bashing a poster !!!!! GOT IT!!! sour grapes with this cat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Check the GFS 12z ensembles . They are fine . for OTS progs???? LOL It may end up being . but that is not what the ensemble say. The OP takes the center east of the S/C coast . There are members that are far slower flow wise , you have to be able to see that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Bring some weather info....mods will ban you for bashing a poster !!!!! GOT IT!!! sour grapes with this cat Banter thread you didn't disappear? I'm not bashing anyone. You have forgotten more weather knowledge than I'll ever have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 You know a ton just saying after I think it was the March 5 the storm you were heavily anti snow that storm for days on end. I got 8.5" and you disappeared. I won't say anything more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I can't wait for this storm, it's going to be a good one. You know it is a bad year when we are posting and talking about east coast storm 8+ days out. We may get some mood flakes middle of the week. I am going to enjoy the rain tonight and tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 He may not be trolling per se but after a couple missed calls last winter he vanished until reappearing a few weeks ago Some of us only come around in winter. I for one am not much interested in rainy springs or thunderstorms, and I don't go out in the heat....so unless a Sandy-like event is happening in my back yard, I don't hang around...I can get the info I need on the radio. It's a device us older folks still listen to....but to track winter storms this is the best place I've found for local events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 it has been just awful for weather in the nyc since last winter.. so sometimes i go back and read up on past big storms my oh my how exciting it was when we had a big storm happening i enjoy reading those posts and comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevbo81 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 i long for the days when these boards had useful information on them. The analysis in here is God-awful. so depressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 it has been just awful for weather in the nyc since last winter.. so sometimes i go back and read up on past big storms my oh my how exciting it was when we had a big storm happening i enjoy reading those posts and comments Even the storms last year were boring, after the big one missed it was nice to have the smaller ones but we never really recovered psychologically....so we haven't had much excitement really since 2011 in terms of blockbuster storms, but then, they are rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Euro takes the second sw and gives us a snowstorm on Monday similar to 12z Gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 rain is a bigger concern than ots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Euro takes the second sw and gives us a snowstorm on Monday similar to 12z Gefs It's a beautiful set up just goes to show you how hard it is for the models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 EURO cough cough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 i long for the days when these boards had useful information on them. The analysis in here is God-awful. so depressing. Thanks for your analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 rain is a bigger concern than otsI'll take that risk any day, at least the consolation prize is possibly a very wound up storm with wind and rain (if it cuts obviously) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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