PaEasternWX Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 GFS out to 213 hours oh boy its almost in range.... Here we go.... End result of GFS 00z run TBD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Little bit of a different evolution on the 00z GFS but the storm is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Looking at stuff,it would appear,the 13 Storm has to do with a low by the great lakes region, seems Some transfer to secondary low south of long island. Others simply eject it off of Maine. If I'm reading correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Warmer than the 18z for the 17th storm but still a storm signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Warmer because compare 18z to this run, the storms quicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Looks like the high exits quicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 You an Eindhoven fan? Indeed. What you know about that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 As of now the only thing that scares me in this event is the vort love over central Canada, we don't want that to get too far south where the southern stream piece can phase with it and pull this into the Ohio valley. As of now I think it's highly unlikely that could occur but it's one way that we can see cutters in a strong -NAO pattern when the SE Canada vort splits in two and the western piece phases in with the vort in the US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 0z GGEM with the clipper for wednesday. Much further south with secondary east of SNJ. Some accumulation on the GGEM. Snow map shows about 2-4 inches for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 One thing concerning, this run is the farthest west or of any runs up to today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 As of now the only thing that scares me in this event is the vort love over central Canada, we don't want that to get too far south where the southern stream piece can phase with it and pull this into the Ohio valley. As of now I think it's highly unlikely that could occur but it's one way that we can see cutters in a strong -NAO pattern when the SE Canada vort splits in two and the western piece phases in with the vort in the US I don't think that's likely either and that's a massive blocking setup. Op runs will continue to adjust to the pattern. The 17th storm is a legit threat and the pattern definitely supports it. There's a lot of textbook pieces that are lining up for a significant storm with a huge west based block and subsequent 50/50 low. I think as we get closer the op runs will clean things up to show a classic potential snowstorm . I wouldn't sleep on the 13th either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 phrases like 01-02, 11-12, Juno, March 2001, 97-98 should only be uttered here at one's own risk BRO.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 0z Ggem is a major rainstorm for the 17th, storm really winds up and gets pulled inland. Looks like a bizarre solution if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 BRO....Forecast Actual Totals Goodnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 0z Ggem is a major rainstorm for the 17th, storm really winds up and gets pulled inland. Looks like a bizarre solution if you ask me. Ensembles are off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 juno was worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 juno was worse I say 2001 was slightly worse lol In 2001, expected 2-3 feet, got 5 inches In Juno, expected 2-3 feet, got 10 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Forecast hqdefault.jpg Actual Totals NJSnow-05Mar01.png Goodnight Dude... nightmares... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 juno was worse Even greater expectations than 2001 only to miss out by some 50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I say 2001 was slightly worse lol In 2001, expected 2-3 feet, got 5 inches In Juno, expected 2-3 feet, got 10 inches plenty of time for Jan 17 potential. .you never want to be in Bulls eye this far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 plenty of time for Jan 17 potential. .you never want to be in Bulls eye this far outTell me about it. I'd rather see a cutter than a jackpot 10 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Juno was the apocalyptic snow storm projected to dump 3-4 feet on north jersey only to leave 2-3 inches right? If so, that one was brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 6z GFS is a major snowstorm for us on the 17th. Low tracks offshore and hammers the I-95. The clipper on the 13th continues to show snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Indeed. What you know about that? Ernie Stewart played for them he was one of my favorite players for the US National team in the 2000's, had a lot of heart and gave it his all; he was always proud to wear the US jersey though he spent a lot of his boyhood in Europe. Few Americans were ever good enough to play in the Dutch league, Stewart was one and John O Brien, who played for Ajax, was another. Both played great in the 2002 WC which was the best run for the US since 1930, and still is.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 06z gfs is chaotic to say the least but not surprised this far out. One of the negatives is the lack of deeper negative anomalies despite a favorable setup. Again this its similar to 09/10 where temps were borderline for nearly every snowstorm. And someone already addressed this problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 06z gfs is chaotic to say the least but not surprised this far out. One of the negatives is the lack of deeper negative anomalies despite a favorable setup. Again this its similar to 09/10 where temps were borderline for nearly every snowstorm. And someone already addressed this problem. Yeh it actually has two lows that give us snow. Very chaotic but it's good to post what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Yeh it actually has two lows that give us snow. Very chaotic but it's good to post what it shows. Just shows the potential this far out...nice to see a storm cutoff and stall south of us for once...even if it's fantasy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Just shows the potential this far out...nice to see a storm cutoff and stall south of us for once...even if it's fantasy lol Exactly. Let's keep the storm signal going. Last night the GFS and GGEM were showing a second low offshore for the 13th. Not so much this run but I would take snow showers and wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Time for someone to post the epic weeniebell snow accumulation map of snow from the LA coast up up up, on social media. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Why are people here generally thinking they always want 12 inch plus snowstorms and if not they are disappointed. .what is wrong with 3-6 inchers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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