dmillz25 Posted December 7, 2015 Author Share Posted December 7, 2015 Pretty much everyone. I'm still going with a big second half Not me I acknowledged that December will suck. I'm with you with a big second half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 You can't jump ship until around mid Jan. If the pattern is still the same by then and is expected to be the same then you could put an X on the winter. However the biggest thing to look at will be how fast the Nino collapses. Some models really tank this Nino soon, which would make a huge difference for the second half of winter. Several mets are in that group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 Idk about that. We've had people that jumped ship in the late summer/early fall. Who? That's really stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West of Town Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 I'm guessing we have a relatively wide swath of ages in this group - college through retirement - but man, we just had a nice stretch of snow the past few winters, as well as a nice stretch of snow and active systems in the past 15 years! Everyone should take a deep breath and enjoy the nice weekends we're having; the kids and I were able to play outside without jackets on this past weekend and I cut the grass.It killed me in the 1990s when we only had TWO good winters around here (1994 and 1996) while I was a teenager, bookended by warm, boring ones in the beginning and the end of the decade. Enjoy it while you can - whether it's a terrific storm, or a mild, sunny day. I'd take that over rain, mud, and raw weather any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 I'm guessing we have a relatively wide swath of ages in this group - college through retirement - but man, we just had a nice stretch of snow the past few winters, as well as a nice stretch of snow and active systems in the past 15 years! Everyone should take a deep breath and enjoy the nice weekends we're having; the kids and I were able to play outside without jackets on this past weekend and I cut the grass. It killed me in the 1990s when we only had TWO good winters around here (1994 and 1996) while I was a teenager, bookended by warm, boring ones in the beginning and the end of the decade. Enjoy it while you can - whether it's a terrific storm, or a mild, sunny day. I'd take that over rain, mud, and raw weather any day. Spot on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 No this is just global warming and soon or later we'll choke from the smog. Take a look what's coming. Remember global warming chaos began September 25th! There's no turning back now http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-35026363 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 I lived thru some great winters growing up in the 50's and 60's...My son was born in 1990 and he's seen more snow storms his first 25 years than I did... I was six when I experienced my first major storm... 1955-56...six 1957-58...eight... 1959-60...ten... 1960-61...eleven... 1963-64...fourteen... 1966-67..seventeen... 1968-69...nineteen... 1977-78...twenty-eight... 1978-79...twenty-nine... 1982-83...thirty-three... 1992-93...fourty-three... 1993-94...fourty-four... 1995-96...fourty-six... 2000-01...fifty-one... 2002-03...fifty-three... 2003-04...fifty-four... 2003-05...fifty-five 2005-06...fifty-six... 2009-10...sixty... 2010-11...sixty-one... 2012-13...sixty-three... 2013-14...sixty-four... 2014-15...sixty-five... ......................................... 0-10 yrs old.....2 10-20 yrs old...5 20-30 yrs old...2 30-40 yrs old...1 40-50 yrs old...3 50-60 yrs old...5 60-66 yrs old...5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 7, 2015 Author Share Posted December 7, 2015 No this is just global warming and soon or later we'll choke from the smog. Take a look what's coming. Remember global warming chaos began September 25th! There's no turning back now http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-35026363 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 Pretty much everyone. I'm still going with a big second half I'll never mail it in, a s***ty December isn't going to push me over the ledge. Not when 1 storm is all it takes to salvage a winter. I do like your idea of some sort of big storm system later in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 @antmasiello: Don't worry New England, ECMWF weeklies take you from super torch to just much above normal by week 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 Throw all the tomatoes and eggs you want but if it stayed like this (almost) all winter I would be ok with it. After the last fifteen years my back (and wallet) need a break. Granted 11/12 was pretty easy but I think I'd like another one. I love riding my mt bike when it's in the 40's, it's so much nicer than teens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 good ISS pass tonight http://iss.astroviewer.net/observation.php Clouds ruined my planned shots so I had to swing the other direction and settle on a mediocre composition for the last 1/3 of the pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 Throw all the tomatoes and eggs you want but if it stayed like this (almost) all winter I would be ok with it. After the last fifteen years my back (and wallet) need a break. Granted 11/12 was pretty easy but I think I'd like another one. I love riding my mt bike when it's in the 40's, it's so much nicer than teens You have to try a fatbike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 @antmasiello: Don't worry New England, ECMWF weeklies take you from super torch to just much above normal by week 4. So, some improvement then....nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 So, some improvement then....nice Christmas is a absolute torch...shorts and tank tops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 Christmas is a absolute torch...shorts and tank tops Santa barreling down the chimney in a candy cane speedo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 Santa barreling down the chimney in a candy cane speedo Lol. You will need to go in and mow the grass Christmas morning around the university. Can't be to long for the college hipsters once breaks ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 Throw all the tomatoes and eggs you want but if it stayed like this (almost) all winter I would be ok with it. After the last fifteen years my back (and wallet) need a break. Granted 11/12 was pretty easy but I think I'd like another one. I love riding my mt bike when it's in the 40's, it's so much nicer than teens im with you, i hope it stays this way, each day with out ICE and snow is just one more day closer to spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 im with you, i hope it stays this way, each day with out ICE and snow is just one more day closer to spring.did you see what the GFS 6z just showed for Dec. 20th time frame. Well it's on it literally showed 2 Miller A's both as cold snowstorms! Let's goooooooooooooooo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 did you see what the GFS 6z just showed for Dec. 20th time frame. Well it's on it literally showed 2 Miller A's both as cold snowstorms! Let's goooooooooooooooo! it looked like Miller B to this untrained eye...but pretty regardless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 You have to try a fatbike. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d4N04MPbynY That's what I ride year round, has been for several years. Fat Bikes are so much fun!! On the trails around here they are nearly as popular as "regular" mt bikes now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 did you see what the GFS 6z just showed for Dec. 20th time frame. Well it's on it literally showed 2 Miller A's both as cold snowstorms! Let's goooooooooooooooo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 did you see what the GFS 6z just showed for Dec. 20th time frame. Well it's on it literally showed 2 Miller A's both as cold snowstorms! Let's goooooooooooooooo! Just 12 short days away on an off hour model run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 A CFS summary: Winter DJF final prediction made on Dec. 01 >>> +4degs and precip. could go either way. As of today Sping MAM +2/3 and Dry. Summer JJA is +1 and Dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 CFS shows a possible white christmas along with the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 If it happens, I am going to name the storm Tony. I said watch out for the 2nd half of December . :weenie: Hopefully we can get something timed right with the temporary -NAO that the models have been showing inthat timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 CFS shows a possible white christmas along with the GFS Yeah, but do you really expect the 2mT 32deg. line to stay directly over us for the entire event? http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2015&model_mm=12&model_dd=08&model_init_hh=06&fhour=360¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 That's what I ride year round, has been for several years. Fat Bikes are so much fun!! On the trails around here they are nearly as popular as "regular" mt bikes now. Those are like the SUV of bikes. Years ago I would ride my old mountain bike on the flat sand at low tide down by the water in Long Beach. But I would really like to give the fatbike a try at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 it looked like Miller B to this untrained eye...but pretty regardless It's a miller B in almost the purest sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 Those are like the SUV of bikes. Years ago I would ride my old mountain bike on the flat sand at low tide down by the water in Long Beach. But I would really like to give the fatbike a try at some point. I've ridden from Lido to Atlantic Beach and the west end of Jones Beach. Basically we are allowed to be most places on the south shore as long as we walk across the dry sand and ride within (I think) 30 feet of the mean high tide line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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