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December 2015 Discussion


Hoosier

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40s and 50s as far as the eye can see in the point.

 

Since this Dec is looking to finish abysmally low in the snow department it's looking like we'll have a 3rd December out of the last 5 to finish under 1" of snow.

 

Dec 2011 0.8"

Dec 2014 Trace

Dec 2015 0.5" (looks like that should do it)

 

Sure have had our share of pure trash Decembers in the last 5 years.  Doubt we'll ever see a set like this during such a short stretch again.

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Wednesday looks to be yet another record-breaking day for highs in the eastern and southeastern parts of the subforum. Even Michigan looks to get in on the action. Records (all but the MI records were set in 1933) and points for a few locations for 12/23:

 

        REC. POINT

SDF  67    68

CMH 62    63

CLE  61    62

CVG  61    64

FWA 59    62

IND   64    64

DTW 56    56

GRR  57    58

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40s and 50s as far as the eye can see in the point.

 

Since this Dec is looking to finish abysmally low in the snow department it's looking like we'll have a 3rd December out of the last 5 to finish under 1" of snow.

 

Dec 2011 0.8"

Dec 2014 Trace

Dec 2015 0.5" (looks like that should do it)

 

Sure have had our share of pure trash Decembers in the last 5 years.  Doubt we'll ever see a set like this during such a short stretch again.

2011 was ok here, but back to back Decs with very low snow, amidst a sea of snowfall records the past decade.

 

At DTW.....

 

Dec 2014: 0.1", which is the 2nd least snowy Dec on record. YET....2014 finished with 82.3", which is the 2nd SNOWIEST calendar year on record, missing #1 by a mere 0.3".

 

Dec 2015: 0.7", which would be the 4th least snowy Dec if it holds. YET....2015 would finish with 50.3", which wpuld be the 31st SNOWIEST calendar year on record.

 

Another odd quirk....the last 2 Novembers have combined for 10.2" with the last 2 Decembers combining for 0.8".

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Wednesday looks to be yet another record-breaking day for highs in the eastern and southeastern parts of the subforum. Even Michigan looks to get in on the action. Records (all but the MI records were set in 1933) and points for a few locations for 12/23:

 

        REC. POINT

SDF  67    68

CMH 62    63

CLE  61    62

CVG  61    64

FWA 59    62

IND   64    64

DTW 56    56

GRR  57    58

Dec 22 & 23 have a record high of 56F, lowest record high of the month at DTW. Should be attainable. Oddly, Dec 25, 28, 29, & 31 have record highs in the mid-60s.

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2011 was ok here, but back to back Decs with very low snow, amidst a sea of snowfall records the past decade.

At DTW.....

Dec 2014: 0.1", which is the 2nd least snowy Dec on record. YET....2014 finished with 82.3", which is the 2nd SNOWIEST calendar year on record, missing #1 by a mere 0.3".

Dec 2015: 0.7", which would be the 4th least snowy Dec if it holds. YET....2015 would finish with 50.3", which wpuld be the 31st SNOWIEST calendar year on record.

Another odd quirk....the last 2 Novembers have combined for 10.2" with the last 2 Decembers combining for 0.8".

Northern Oakland:

Last two Novembers combined 25.9"

Last two Decembers combined 0.7"

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I think he's the thunder snow capital of our forum.

I agree, needs to change his name :)

 

Hopefully one of these years I can get in on a intense band from Superioir thru Lake Mich that can get enough instbaility to generate some T-Snow. 

 

Yeah I think we average 3-5 thunder-snow events a year. It's because lake erie gets so warm and when you get that cold air over the lake it creates extreme instability. Not many other lakes get thunder snow as they cool and warm much slower than Erie. The negative to that is Erie freezes quickly. (69% of the time Erie freezes over in winter) I can't change my name though, I've had it since the Eastern forums and love all forms of weather so I can't pick one side. ^_^

 

Here are some totals for the last LES event, picked up 3.1" at my residence. Big winner was off the tug with 3'

 

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS

SNOWFALL OF

/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...ALLEGANY COUNTY...

SCIO 4.8 530 PM 12/19 SNOW SPOTTER

ALFRED 4.8 700 AM 12/20 COOP OBSERVER

1 E WHITESVILLE 3.1 700 AM 12/20 COOP OBSERVER

...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...

PERRYSBURG 12.2 735 PM 12/19 COOP OBSERVER

1 NNE FRANKLINVILLE 11.8 715 AM 12/20 COCORAHS

LITTLE VALLEY 11.5 700 AM 12/20 COOP OBSERVER

1 SW HUMPHERY CENTER 11.2 400 PM 12/19 TRAINED SPOTTER

1 ENE RANDOLPH 11.0 730 AM 12/20 COCORAHS

SE WEST VALLEY 10.0 700 AM 12/20 COCORAHS

...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

ARKWRIGHT 9.5 700 AM 12/20 TRAINED SPOTTER

MAYVILLE 8.0 700 AM 12/20 TRAINED SPOTTER

...WYOMING COUNTY...

JAVA CENTER 5.0 700 AM 12/20 TRAINED SPOTTER

...ERIE COUNTY...

GLENWOOD 4.8 700 AM 12/20 TRAINED SPOTTER

2 NE BOSTON 3.5 700 AM 12/20 COCORAHS

SPRINGVILLE 3.0 700 AM 12/20 TRAINED SPOTTER

...LEWIS COUNTY...

LYONSDALE 36.0 830 PM 12/19 PUBLIC

1 NW CONSTABLEVILLE 34.5 600 AM 12/20 COCORAHS

HIGHMARKET 33.7 317 AM 12/20 COOP OBSERVER

GREIG 12.0 700 AM 12/20 PUBLIC

1 SSW GLENFIELD 11.5 600 AM 12/20 COCORAHS

...OSWEGO COUNTY...

8 NNW REDFIELD 19.5 530 PM 12/19 COCORAHS

PULASKI 13.0 700 AM 12/20 COOP OBSERVER

1 NE PULASKI 12.5 700 AM 12/20 COCORAHS

5 ESE OSWEGO 7.7 700 AM 12/20 COCORAHS

SE MINETTO 2.6 700 AM 12/20 COCORAHS

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From KBUF:

 

Current Stats:

AVERAGE MONTHLY: 42.6   DPTR FM NORMAL:  +10.8  

We are going to destroy the old warmest Dec record of 37.6.

 

 

.CLIMATE...
ALTHOUGH BUFFALO HAS GOTTEN ITS FIRST MEASURABLE SNOW...THIS
WINTER CONTINUES TO BE OFF TO AN EXTRAORDINARILY WARM START.

SPEAKING OF WHICH...YET ANOTHER ROUND OF UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IS
EXPECTED NEXT WEEK...AS ANOTHER VERY WARM AIRMASS WILL BRING NEAR
RECORD TO POTENTIALLY RECORD-BREAKING HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY (CHRISTMAS EVE). LISTED BELOW ARE THE CURRENT RECORDS
FOR DECEMBER 23RD AND 24TH...

WEDNESDAY...

CITY.........RECORD HIGH (F)....RECORD WARM LOW (F).....

BUFFALO......59 / 1957...........46 / 1941
ROCHESTER....60 / 1957...........43 / 2006
WATERTOWN....58 / 1990...........42 / 2006

CHRISTMAS EVE...

BUFFALO......59 / 1964...........46 / 1979
ROCHESTER....58 / 1982...........47 / 2014
WATERTOWN....59 / 2014...........49 / 2014

WHEN CONSIDERING THE FORECAST THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH...
DECEMBER 2015 STANDS A GOOD CHANCE TO BECOME THE WARMEST DECEMBER
ON RECORD IN WESTERN NEW YORK. CURRENT TRENDS SUGGEST THAT THE
MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE MAY TOP 40 DEGREES...WHICH PUTS THE
FOLLOWING RECORDS IN SERIOUS JEOPARDY.

WARMEST MEAN TEMPERATURE FOR DECEMBER...

CITY TEMP YEAR
BUFFALO.....37.6 (1923)
ROCHESTER...39.0 (2006)

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It's looking increasingly likely for record breaking temperatures once again for December 23rd, set back in 1933. Pretty crazy temp swings can happen in December, our record high is 64 set back in 1933, and record low was -18, good for an 82 degree temperature swing.

Would be nice to lay down 1-3" of snow for Christmas, but at this point, let's go for the warmest December on record.

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It's looking increasingly likely for record breaking temperatures once again for December 23rd, set back in 1933. Pretty crazy temp swings can happen in December, our record high is 64 set back in 1933, and record low was -18, good for an 82 degree temperature swing.

Would be nice to lay down 1-3" of snow for Christmas, but at this point, let's go for the warmest December on record.

 

Among my group of winter sport enthusiast friends, this winter is shaping up to be referred to as "That sh-tty winter" we always bring up when things start out bad.

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Among my group of winter sport enthusiast friends, this winter is shaping up to be referred to as "That sh-tty winter" we always bring up when things start out bad.

Yup, pretty much. The past 4 Decembers (2013 as the exception) have been clunkers, with epic February's for the come back. Except for 2011-2012, that was just a **** show.

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