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December warm NOT White


PB GFI

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I've lived here now nearly 6 years (and in Philly for 2 years before that), but is it normal to have like 60-70% of the trees still full of leaves on Dec 5?

No leaves out here in suffolk but my annuals are still blooming despite several nights in the 20s

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No leaves left in Dobbs Ferry. Must be an urban heat island thing.

I agree. With the exception of just a few trees that have some leaves left, most trees here in southern Westchester have already lost their leaves. I do recall seeing Central Park about 2 weeks ago and there were still many leaves left even as most were already gone up here in Westchester.

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with three weeks left till Christmas are we getting a white one this year?...2009 was the last year with snow on the ground Christmas morning...Snows that fell after Sunrise Christmas day are not listed...2002 had a trace Christmas morning before it changed to rain for some hours till the afternoon when it changed back to snow...Other years had a trace on the ground Christmas morning and are not listed either...with the ao/nao showing signs of going negative in the long run it could be wintry around Christmas...Last year was in the 60's Christmas day...

year...depth Christmas morning...

2009.....2".....10.9" fell on the 19-20th...it rained Christmas night...

1998.....1".....2.0" fell 12/23-24...

1995.....4".....7.7" fell 12/19-20...0.5" 12/16...1.7" 12/14...1.5" 12/9...flurries Christmas day evening...

1983.....1".....1.0" fell 12/23-24...Coldest Christmas max. temp...

1966.....7".....7.1" fell 12/24-25 ending early Christmas morn....1.2" 12/21...

1963.....6".....6.6" fell 12/23-24 ended early Christmas eve morn....Snow shower in the evening...1.4" 12/19...2.3" 12/11...

1961.....6".....6.2" fell 12/23-24 ended early in the evening Christmas eve...

1960.....1".....15.3" fell 12/11-12...1.3" 12/19...trace Christmas eve...

1959.....4".....13.7" fell 12/21-22...foggy Christmas day...

1948.....5".....16.0" fell 12/19-20...

1947.....1".....2" fell 12/23...26" fell 12/26-27 post Christmas...

1945.....7".....8.3" fell 12/19-20...rain and milder Christmas night...

1930.....2".....3.9" fell 12/23-24...

1929.....1".....1.4" 12/23...

1919.....3".....2.8" 12/24-25

1917.....4".....9.6" 12/13-14...

1912...11".....11.4" 12/24...

1904.....4".....3.6" 12/24-26...

1896.....3".....6" 12/22-23...

1884.....3".....3"12/24...

1883...15".....7.5" 12/23-24...5" 12/25...

1880.....1".....1.4" 12/24...

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with three weeks left till Christmas are we getting a white one this year?...2009 was the last year with snow on the ground Christmas morning...Snows that fell after Sunrise Christmas day are not listed...2002 had a trace Christmas morning before it changed to rain for some hours till the afternoon when it changed back to snow...Other years had a trace on the ground Christmas morning and are not listed either...with the ao/nao showing signs of going negative in the long run it could be wintry around Christmas...Last year was in the 60's Christmas day...

year...depth Christmas morning...

2009.....2".....10.9" fell on the 19-20th...it rained Christmas night...

1998.....1".....2.0" fell 12/23-24...

1995.....4".....7.7" fell 12/19-20...0.5" 12/16...1.7" 12/14...1.5" 12/9...flurries Christmas day evening...

1983.....1".....1.0" fell 12/23-24...Coldest Christmas max. temp...

1966.....7".....7.1" fell 12/24-25 ending early Christmas morn....1.2" 12/21...

1963.....6".....6.6" fell 12/23-24 ended early Christmas eve morn....Snow shower in the evening...1.4" 12/19...2.3" 12/11...

1961.....6".....6.2" fell 12/23-24 ended early in the evening Christmas eve...

1960.....1".....15.3" fell 12/11-12...1.3" 12/19...trace Christmas eve...

1959.....4".....13.7" fell 12/21-22...foggy Christmas day...

1948.....5".....16.0" fell 12/19-20...

1947.....1".....2" fell 12/23...26" fell 12/26-27 post Christmas...

1945.....7".....8.3" fell 12/19-20...rain and milder Christmas night...

1930.....2".....3.9" fell 12/23-24...

1929.....1".....1.4" 12/23...

1919.....3".....2.8" 12/24-25

1917.....4".....9.6" 12/13-14...

1912...11".....11.4" 12/24...

1904.....4".....3.6" 12/24-26...

1896.....3".....6" 12/22-23...

1884.....3".....3"12/24...

1883...15".....7.5" 12/23-24...5" 12/25...

1880.....1".....1.4" 12/24...

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No leaves left in Dobbs Ferry. Must be an urban heat island thing.

 its true. I drive everyday BX to white plains and surrounding areas and its bare until around cross county pkwy and south, once you get into the BX its more bare than not but still noticeable leaves around. I see a few streets lined with green trees still, they have a canopy of tenament bldgs keeping it extra warm I suppose. 

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Heh, just saw this.

 

 

 

 

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
324 PM EST SAT DEC 5 2015

NYZ079-081-061300-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
324 PM EST SAT DEC 5 2015

...HEAVY FROST...FOG AND ICY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO
FALL WELL BELOW FREEZING WITH SOME AREAS DROPPING INTO THE MID
20S. A HEAVY FROST IS LIKELY.

IN ADDITION...PATCHY DENSE GROUND FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THIS COMBINATION OF BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES,
FOG AND A HEAVY FROST CAN LEAD TO SLIPPERY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP
ON PAVED SURFACES.

THESE CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED FOR THE AREAS IN AND AROUND
THE PINE BARRENS FROM CALVERTON TO WESTHAMPTON BEACH AFTER
MIDNIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
 
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Tomorrow we go full 10 inches of precipitation below average for the year so far.

In a different perspective that's nearly 3 months' worth of rain that we didn't get. It's the cold season so it's nothing to worry about (unless you're a certain CT poster in the NE subforum). Knowing that nature likes to balance out we'll likely have a washout sometime in the medium term.
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In a different perspective that's nearly 3 months' worth of rain that we didn't get. It's the cold season so it's nothing to worry about (unless you're a certain CT poster in the NE subforum). Knowing that nature likes to balance out we'll likely have a washout sometime in the medium term.

Eventually that sub trop jet is going to fire a monster noreaster

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I've lived here now nearly 6 years (and in Philly for 2 years before that), but is it normal to have like 60-70% of the trees still full of leaves on Dec 5?

I remember late December 2011 (between Christmas and New Years) I went to the tree in the city and the trees that surround the skating rink had legit green leaves on them.

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The grass all through Battery Park City looks exactly the same, as well. Just crazy. I think we've gotten down to 35 here, that's it.

I've had a few frosts since October in my part of Queens. This morning in fact was a nice, heavy frost. Obviously Manhattan won't experience that under these conditions.

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Using Accuweather 30 day outlook and other tools, December will be warmest ever.   Jan. does not look good either.   Feb. will have to be the 'safety valve'  that prevents the warmest winter on record from happening.

Accuweather takes their 30 day forecast from the OP GFS and the CFS2..your aware of that right?

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Accuweather takes their 30 day forecast from the OP GFS and the CFS2..your aware of that right?

Those tools have gotten the motif right, if not the specific temps.   I would bet money that December finishes about +6 above normal----but would not bet on the record.  

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with three weeks left till Christmas are we getting a white one this year?...2009 was the last year with snow on the ground Christmas morning...Snows that fell after Sunrise Christmas day are not listed...2002 had a trace Christmas morning before it changed to rain for some hours till the afternoon when it changed back to snow...Other years had a trace on the ground Christmas morning and are not listed either...with the ao/nao showing signs of going negative in the long run it could be wintry around Christmas...Last year was in the 60's Christmas day...

year...depth Christmas morning...

2009.....2".....10.9" fell on the 19-20th...it rained Christmas night...

1998.....1".....2.0" fell 12/23-24...

1995.....4".....7.7" fell 12/19-20...0.5" 12/16...1.7" 12/14...1.5" 12/9...flurries Christmas day evening...

1983.....1".....1.0" fell 12/23-24...Coldest Christmas max. temp...

1966.....7".....7.1" fell 12/24-25 ending early Christmas morn....1.2" 12/21...

1963.....6".....6.6" fell 12/23-24 ended early Christmas eve morn....Snow shower in the evening...1.4" 12/19...2.3" 12/11...

1961.....6".....6.2" fell 12/23-24 ended early in the evening Christmas eve...

1960.....1".....15.3" fell 12/11-12...1.3" 12/19...trace Christmas eve...

1959.....4".....13.7" fell 12/21-22...foggy Christmas day...

1948.....5".....16.0" fell 12/19-20...

1947.....1".....2" fell 12/23...26" fell 12/26-27 post Christmas...

1945.....7".....8.3" fell 12/19-20...rain and milder Christmas night...

1930.....2".....3.9" fell 12/23-24...

1929.....1".....1.4" 12/23...

1919.....3".....2.8" 12/24-25

1917.....4".....9.6" 12/13-14...

1912...11".....11.4" 12/24...

1904.....4".....3.6" 12/24-26...

1896.....3".....6" 12/22-23...

1884.....3".....3"12/24...

1883...15".....7.5" 12/23-24...5" 12/25...

1880.....1".....1.4" 12/24...

I include Christmas day and night.and any snow, or flurries even Christmas eve.hey if it snows on Christmas, it's white lol..so I include 1962,1969,1975,1976,,1993,2002,and 2013(dusting on Christmas eve)

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I would be thinking about finding a bottle of SPF 50+degs. (lol, ) neatly covered in X-Mas wrapping paper this year.   Think ---- Holiday Week 1982 but pray for a sudden stratospheric warming event in the wake of Santa's sled!

6 above normal at your location probably means no snow.

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Best stretch of winter weather I can remember! Like we moved to SF. Cant remember such a persistent stretch of bone dry, warm, rained-out Pacific air masses.

Incredibly boring but sure it's been nice and this is clearly fall, not winter, weather.

I think we'll see mid to upper 60s next weekend. Classic setup for overperforming warmth, even a 70F reading wouldn't surprise me.

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