Brian5671 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 And the models scaled back totals for today The nam pushed the bigger rains well NW of the city-only another .10-.25 for the whole event. GFS however is still wet. RGEM and CMC in between the 2. - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 .50 yesterday at Rutgers garden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 .22 at BDR for the event so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Looks like this will wrap up around 5-6PM tonight with a few showers possible tonight. Short term models are really clearing out after 00z except well NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Looks like this will wrap up around 5-6PM tonight with a few showers possible tonight. Short term models are really clearing out after 00z except well NW. Unless that batch in Virginia makes it here parts of LI and central jersey could be done by noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Unless that batch in Virginia makes it here parts of LI and central jersey could be done by noon That batch is forecasted to cross our area this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Unless that batch in Virginia makes it here parts of LI and central jersey could be done by noon Radar is showing the rain quickly lifting north with most of NJ already done. That second batch might clip western and northern sections, but the City S and E looks to be mostly done- Looks like the NAM was onto something. If that's the case, then what a big bag of fail-models had 1-2 inches Sunday-Mon and the end result will be .25 to .50 for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Radar is showing the rain quickly lifting north with most of NJ already done. That second batch might clip western and northern sections, but the City S and E looks to be mostly done- Looks like the NAM was onto something. If that's the case, then what a big bag of fail-models had 1-2 inches Sunday-Mon and the end result will be .25 to .50 for most. Southern areas did a lot better yesterday. But LI/NYC and parts of NJ would be in the screw zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Southern areas did a lot better yesterday. But LI/NYC and parts of NJ would be in the screw zone there was a couple of model runs that showed that scenario. Looks like they may have nailed it based on current trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 .58" yesterday and .32" so far today. I'm sure I'll be over an inch shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 That batch is forecasted to cross our area this afternoon. Barely. The 12z Rgem cut back big time for anyone in NJ and east to NYC/LI: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Looks like about .63 total here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 .84" here so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Barely. The 12z Rgem cut back big time for anyone in NJ and east to NYC/LI: I was basing off the HRRR. Glad to see the drying trends. I need it out of here by 5:00. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 The SOI is free falling Yesterday : -22.80 Today : - 33.68 https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seasonalclimateoutlook/southernoscillationindex/ Dropping -SOI can indicate storminess or some active weather and the December 8-10 period looks interesting. Gfs has been consistent in showing some sort of coastal interacting with a strong high in NE Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Dropping -SOI can indicate storminess or some active weather and the December 8-10 period looks interesting. Gfs has been consistent in showing some sort of coastal interacting with a strong high in NE Canada. I hope we get to track something. I dont care at this point if its a rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 I hope we get to track something. I dont care at this point if its a rainstorm. Agreed. I still have a feeling we see a once in 10 year type nor'easter this winter. 60mph winds major coastal flooding type event. Not December 92 intensity more like October 97 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Agreed. I still have a feeling we see a once in 10 year type nor'easter this winter. 60mph winds major coastal flooding type event. Not December 92 intensity more like October 97 Was Oct '97 worse than Mar '10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 I hope we get to track something. I dont care at this point if its a rainstorm.well ..rain storm with wet snow at the end of storm I would accept that. .. (past 2 hrs heavy rain here in Yonkers) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Seriously just give us a nice nor'easter or something to track I could careless at this point if it was all rain!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Was Oct '97 worse than Mar '10? No not even close wind wise. Gusts in the 60s with moderate tree damage. March 2010 was 70s with major tree damage. Coastal flooding wise it was similar with low end major coastal flooding. Mid range would be Irene, December 92, perfect storm, Gloria and the March 93 super storm. Extreme speaks for itself with only sandy in modern times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 Both the euro And gfs have a costal storm next week. Euro for now keeps it just south of our area and the gfs brings it up the cost. It's 100% rain, no cold to be found in all of North America Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Fun night at JFK Airport. Mildly surprised there isn't a Dense Fog Advisory, although nearby portions of NYC metro, SNE and NJ are under one: KJFK 022351Z 12003KT 0SM R04R/1600V3500FT FG KJFK 022251Z 14007KT 0SM R04R/4500VP6000FT FG KJFK 022151Z 12007KT 0SM R04R/2200V3500FT -RA FG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Fun night at JFK Airport. Mildly surprised there isn't a Dense Fog Advisory, although nearby portions of NYC metro, SNE and NJ are under one: KJFK 022351Z 12003KT 0SM R04R/1600V3500FT FG KJFK 022251Z 14007KT 0SM R04R/4500VP6000FT FG KJFK 022151Z 12007KT 0SM R04R/2200V3500FT -RA FG Visibility was under 1/8 mile when I was driving home from work around 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Park up to 57. We're going to have a nice midnight high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 This El Nino has been very consistent since May with the western trough and eastern ridge pattern. It has lead to the record warmth in May, September, and November. The ensembles continue the same general pattern for December with the trough pumping the ridge over the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 The Euro at day 9-10 would have temps 70 or higher in the northeast with +12 850's. Hopefully that's wrong, but that's what it's showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 +10 departure at the park yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 The Euro at day 9-10 would have temps 70 or higher in the northeast with +12 850's. Hopefully that's wrong, but that's what it's showing Yeah as mild as things are now, next week looks even warmer with falling climo temps resulting in some potentially absurd departures. I wouldn't go 70F+ because that's insane to forecast unless it's a certainty but 60-65F looks very likely for at least a couple days. There may be a few coastal tricks though which would hamper the absurdly mild temps but there's no question it's still going to be very mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 The Euro at day 9-10 would have temps 70 or higher in the northeast with +12 850's. Hopefully that's wrong, but that's what it's showing Get out and enjoy it...green grass from Tolland to Orh with tennis courts open for business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.