MJO812 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Gfs has Christmas day in the 50s now after torching us the day before Dropping in the 40s during the day thanks to a cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Dropping in the 40s during the day thanks to a cold front. Look, Virginia, there is a Santa Claus! Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 NYC is now +12.1 on the month. The GEFS rough departure calculation for December 16-31 is 14.5. It could potentially allow NYC to finish December at near +13.3. This would represent the greatest monthly departure on record for NYC and beat 2001 for the warmest December by a sizable margin. GEFS rough forecast for December in NYC added to warmest December list 2015...50.8....based on GEFS 2 week forecast...current 52.0 ....+10 is 47.5 2001...44.1 1984...43.8 2006...43.6 2011...43.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Stop the presses! The park hit a 46 degree morning low in the middle of December! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 36 here. The heat came on this morning for the first time in days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Gfs has Christmas day in the 50s now after torching us the day before I think this comment pretty much sums up how ridiculous this month has gotten. 50s- AFTER the torch. ..In late December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 44 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 NYC is now +12.1 on the month. The GEFS rough departure calculation for December 16-31 is 14.5. It could potentially allow NYC to finish December at near +13.3. This would represent the greatest monthly departure on record for NYC and beat 2001 for the warmest December by a sizable margin. GEFS rough forecast for December in NYC added to warmest December list 2015...50.8....based on GEFS 2 week forecast...current 52.0 ....+10 is 47.5 2001...44.1 1984...43.8 2006...43.6 2011...43.3 Since we're dealing with absurd numbers (absurd warmth, not the data you've posted), the GEFS idea would be the equivalent of the 8th warmest November on record for Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Departures NYC: +12.1 EWR: +11.7 LGA: +11.2 JFK: +10.9 ISP: +10.9 TTN: +11.2 PHL: +11.5 ACY: +11.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 I think this comment pretty much sums up how ridiculous this month has gotten. 50s- AFTER the torch. ..In late December. The euro doesn't even have the cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 The GFSx can not even get into the single digits above normal for the next 8 days (including today), now a mere +10degs. So (15x12.1) +(8x10) =262deg. surplus. With a target of 211 to set a new monthly record, the last 8 days of the month will have to be -6.4degs. to prevent this. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Very cold temperatures expected. Only 50F for today and into the 40s this weekend. The nights are going to be frigid too. Please bundle up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 X-Mas period looks insane with a 5700m THK and 14C 850's. Temps. hover near 70degs. for 24 hours. Santa will need dry ice to preserve his frozen goodies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Since we're dealing with absurd numbers (absurd warmth, not the data you've posted), the GEFS idea would be the equivalent of the 8th warmest November on record for Central Park. Wow, that is totally absurd. great stat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Last 6 days high temps here...60,59,65,68,65 and 65. Record highs were set on the 11th-14th. Low temps stayed above 50 from 13th-15th. Finally got below 40 this am at 39 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Early look but the 06z GFS had temps in the 50's with a driving rainstorm on New Years Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Departures NYC: +12.1 EWR: +11.7 LGA: +11.2 JFK: +10.9 ISP: +10.9 TTN: +11.2 PHL: +11.5 ACY: +11.3 +10.6 degrees here...Warmest Dec here since 1977 was 41.8 degrees in 2006...currently sitting at 48.5 for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Early look but the 06z GFS had temps in the 50's with a driving rainstorm on New Years Eve. good to see some storms modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 good to see some storms modeled. 384hr total QPF has us in the 5-6" range. I remember times in August-September-October where it would show less than an inch for the entire period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Models pretty much in agreement with .5+ for tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Models pretty much in agreement with .5+ for tomorrow evening Looks like it will mostly done by evening. Quick hitting .75" in 4-6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Very cold temperatures expected. Only 50F for today and into the 40s this weekend. The nights are going to be frigid too. Please bundle up! Not supposed to get out of the 30s on Saturday here. Going to feel really cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Early look but the 06z GFS had temps in the 50's with a driving rainstorm on New Years Eve.now it has a nice snowstorm for New Years. Good luck with that. 50s and rain would be a disaster for the crazies that waste their time in Timrs Square. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 John (earthlight) posted an excellent disco on the state of the winter. Top notch stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Where would on fine this writeup? Nymetroweather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 Yup, found it. I wish he still posted here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 12z euro is pushing 75 for Xmass day in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 12z euro is pushing 75 for Xmass day in NYC I think that's over done to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 I think that's over done to be honest. shocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 shocker Is it? 47° and cloudy now. Sun peeks through occasionally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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