AnthonyDabbundo Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Majority of the Euro ensembles inside the BM.. consider me interested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Are you looking for some snow? If there's a bona-fide threat, yes. Otherwise I'm in spring mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Well that was a surprise. Severe thunderstorm blew up overhead. Got dime-sized hail with decent lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Majority of the Euro ensembles inside the BM.. consider me interested "BM?" I'm stumped by this term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 "BM?" I'm stumped by this term.Lol... Bench Mark as in for best snowstorm track However it may be what you were thinking if we don't get "DUMPED" on!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Got to see better from the 0z GFS we are only 84 hours away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Extrapolated fantasy injected NAM was headed to feet of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS better not let me down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Extrapolated fantasy injected NAM was headed to feet of snowNot sure I agree. The primary is dying a slowwwwww death in the Ohio Valley while temps going into the daytime hours on the NAM while the precip begins are already quite marginal. NAM would probably be a sloppy wet snow over to daytime rain/mix imo unless the 2ndary can bomb out post 84 hrs. Bad timing on the NAM....need this to slow down for an overnight event to help us here...,its already a thread the needle situation. Daytime precip in mid/late March is "usually" the kiss of death except under almost perfect conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 AD Hang in there it'll be back and then look at the Euro when you wake up before heading to school!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 AD Hang in there it'll be back and then look at the Euro when you wake up before heading to school!!! I'm making a new forecast video Friday for school TV so let's just get some model clarity to make my life easier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I'm making a new forecast video Friday for school TV so let's just get some model clarity to make my life easierUse your best synopstician skills...That way you can truly impress!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS a couple ticks NW, not euro good but some improvement. Ready to put the football back down tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 It feels like the groundhog day movie over and over again for years now seeing runs get some precipitation into SEPA and the drastic cutoff in the interior it's plain crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 and the drastic cutoff in the interior it's plain crazy Same old same old...wash, rinse, repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 It feels like the groundhog day movie over and over again for years now seeing runs get some precipitation into SEPA and the drastic cutoff in the interior it's plain crazy You sound like my Math/Aerodynamics Professor: "LIVE AND DIE BY THE GRADIENT! THE DEL OPERATOR NABLA REIGNS SUPREMMMMEEEE!!!" (he is excitable and gets a little carried away sometimes) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 You sound like my Math/Aerodynamics Professor: "LIVE AND DIE BY THE GRADIENT! THE DEL OPERATOR NABLA REIGNS SUPREMMMMEEEE!!!" (he is excitable and gets a little carried away sometimes) Sometimes I like to live and die by the model that shows what I want to see Ukie is consistent again showing a benchmark track that will rake us good. UKMET imo was the best model all winter I am throwing caution to the wind here and saying snowstorm Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 The UK track is amazing though probably be rain and mix issues in eastern areas due to coastal hugging. Ghost of March 93? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 The extended NAM (dgex) does exactly what I said we would need for the NAM at 84 hrs to hold on as snow verbatim in extreme SE PA...bombs the hell out of the 2ndary. Looks like the UKIE.....1-2'+ verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Look out Euro is a snow nuke ECM + UKMET = Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Look out Euro is a snow nuke ECM + UKMET = Holy Enola Gay this might be the Ghost of '93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Holy Enola Gay this might be the Ghost of '93 I been waiting a long time for something like that again in March yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Since our Central PA thread is pretty dead, what does the Euro show for the interior? Or is this another I-95 south and east event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Since our Central PA thread is pretty dead, what does the Euro show for the interior? Or is this another I-95 south and east event? You look to be in he 5 to 8" range at 0z - on the NW edge of the heavier snow. Would be less since ratios likely would be less than 10:1. But you're actually in a good spot, especially if it trends west a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 At the moment it's the euro and eukie vs the gfs and gem. Will be interesting to see which side caves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 You look to be in he 5 to 8" range at 0z - on the NW edge of the heavier snow. Would be less since ratios likely would be less than 10:1. But you're actually in a good spot, especially if it trends west a bit. Thanks. As for being in a good spot, perhaps, if trends continue. I did see a FB post from Mount Holly with this quote in it...There is a greater than 50% chance of more than 2 inches of snow along and northwest of Interstate 95 corridor Sunday into Monday. Also, the WPC has a map out verifying the quote from PHL indicating the same thing. Still a few days out, so time will tell. Either way, I have to get some buckets to cover our tulips and hyacinths from snow and/or frost for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 way to early to throw out " the more night time snow the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Do we get rain and thunderstorms this afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS is perplexing, better for SEPA with QPF yet the low is still far east outside the benchmark and the storm is 18hrs earlier than the ECM/ UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Much better than 00Z with the qpf. and 6Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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