wkd Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 12z GFS = we're going to need a bigger boat. 36 hours of moderate-heavy rain. Ditto ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 17, 2016 Author Share Posted February 17, 2016 ggem ens are much further east. euro running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 12Z Euro's a nice hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Not saying they are wrong but Better off ditching the op runs at this range and use the ens mean as guidance. Just my $.02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Not saying they are wrong but Better off ditching the op runs at this range and use the ens mean as guidance. Just my $.02 Nah the OP ECM can't be wrong with 20" imby giddyyup 3 straight 50" winters giddyyup again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Besides the king is back just in time look at how yesterday turned out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Besides the king is back just in time look at how yesterday turned out... Didn't the euro show a cutter like a week out or were you being sarcastic? edit: Reading your post again I think you were saying the euro was the best for the Tuesday storm. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Ugh I'm supposed to fly Tuesday afternoon/evening so I'm all for a non-event please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Had a few flakes of snow in the air here around 8-8:15 pm. 33F and clear currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 The GFS couldn't look any worse... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 The GFS couldn't look any worse...And the GEFS (which we should be ideally using at this range) couldn't look much better. Ops runs 5+ days (even 3+ days) out will usually be a roller coaster ride with wild swings and solutions from run to run. EPS look solid as well. GEPS is a bit off the coast but not a bad spot at this range. I dont think any ens means solution support rain right now though I am certain there are some members that do. Things look ok still imo....steady as she goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 So it's time to start that thread now right wiggum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 So it's time to start that thread now right wiggum?On the road attm after euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 i will be asking for no storm next week since i need to travel, thanks and sorry Next storms train wreck is all you.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 18, 2016 Author Share Posted February 18, 2016 Next storms train wreck is all you.... sorry for now but 1st week March is where it's at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 sorry for now but 1st week March is where it's at I tend to agree with this, maybe around leap day. I'm really not impressed with next week's setup.....at all right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 This is looking more and more like an I95 N and W + elevation event for now with those marginal temps but we shall see. Those are my current thoughts anyway. Q-town and Red Sky might do well?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Looks like the inverse of last storm with the cold leaving the playing field as the storm arrives, next week's storm arrives then the cold presses, so maybe we have a rain to snow situation followed by an extended cold spell running well into March to preserve what falls, at least in the shade and north facing slopes. Even though my yard is still well snow covered, the snowpack in general took a beating, so I'd prefer the snow to rain scenario, not that I have a choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 This is looking more and more like an I95 N and W + elevation event for now with those marginal temps but we shall see. Those are my current thoughts anyway. Q-town and Red Sky might do well?? I think it'll be further out than them. Maybe a little fun but nothing worth mentioning. We're screwed completely at this time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Looks like the inverse of last storm with the cold leaving the playing field as the storm arrives, next week's storm arrives then the cold presses, so maybe we have a rain to snow situation followed by an extended cold spell running well into March to preserve what falls, at least in the shade and north facing slopes. Even though my yard is still well snow covered, the snowpack in general took a beating, so I'd prefer the snow to rain scenario, not that I have a choice. I always like this scenario better. Get the bad news (rain) first followed by the good news (snow)...then colder. The snow-rain thing is depressing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 I'm really over winter after the first week of March. March snow events disappoint 90% of the time as well. For every good storm, there's 10 that flop because of the high sun angle or temp issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Not to sound greedy, but I'd like one more warning criteria event before winter is over. The blizzard was great, but I'd hate for this year to be remembered as a one-hit wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 NAM 12k at 66hrs (Sunday night event) is much colder and has a period of accumulating snow N and W of I95, BL will be an issue going from rain over to snow, but it's a night-time event so we have that in our favor. I'm not starting the thread for this one...I look to have lost my mojo attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Any reports from Chesco or otherwise that are under the waa band of precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Yuck, after next week's rain storm it's just cutter after cutter on the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 One hit winter hello 1983 Funny 1983's second biggest event was the storm before the blizzard of 5" and last weeks event same size for our #2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 March, book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 At this point I'm ready to say, "Bring on spring!" But aren't Nino springs usually cold and wet? My fear is this is our pattern until Memorial Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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