JTA66 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The thing that's bothering me is the NW trend this year inside 36-48 hours. It's only Thursday and we're out of wiggle room. But otoh, it's only Thursday and nothing is set in stone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 This Presidents Day threat doesnt really have my attention unless something drastic changes. HP east of Newfoundland, no 50/50 low, ao trending pos, pos nao, pna trending neg. Seems clear to me this is a front end thump at best from the frigid antecedent air mass but relatively quickly over to rain. I could be wrong and obviously Im pulling for a SECS+, but Im not feeling this one. Otoh, we could pick up some light (c-2"?) tomorrow when the arctic front blows thru and the OTS coastal skirts us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Universal bad trending toward an inland runner post President's Day. Can't win em' all it's unfortunate for the interior crowd that has been waiting for theirs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Euro no snow East of Buffalo, NY and South of Canada essentially. Not unexpected given the teleconnection indices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Agreed, Ralph. This never had the look of 100% snow or 100% frozen. The only question I has was how much frozen vs liquid. If it's gunna be a rainer, let's get that out of the way now so we don't have to spend the weekend hanging on every model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 How bout that big head fake east move the Doc did 0z for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 To the young crowd in here these kinda storms happened more times then I want to remember in the 80's, arctic cold to driving rain in hours it use to make me so mad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Fwiw it would appear that the 18z nam 12k (I realize its the nam way out of its range) is implying a nice front-end thump for Monday extrapolated: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Extrapolating 84 HR NAM maps for 200 please Alex.... BTW, 18z GFS track is not pretty, decent front end thump though for everyone NW of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Extrapolating 84 HR NAM maps for 200 please Alex.... BTW, 18z GFS track is not pretty, decent front end thump though for everyone NW of the city Lol, yeah but someone had to do it. Next week is a trainwreck. Front end snow/mix to heavy rain it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 GFS has front end snow, then mix, heavy rain, back to snow to close it all out. Then, of course, Wednesday is an ice rink as we get another cold air injection from Canada behind the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 still have good snow cover since blizzard but that may change tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 GFS snd GGEM back east at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Where's Heis... Ggem slam job philly NW!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 GFS snd GGEM back east at 0zGfs is basically identical to 18z maybe a tad warmer.....Ggem 6" snow to ice storm n&w of PHL Sent from my LG-H900 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Gfs is basically identical to 18z maybe a tad warmer..... Ggem 6" snow to ice storm n&w of PHL Sent from my LG-H900 using Tapatalk GFS a tad east (was up I95 now over ACY) http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160212/00Z/f132/acckucherasnowne.png GGEM definitely east of prior http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/models/ggem/20160212/00Z/f114/acckucherasnowne.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 GGEM sure why not, would pay to see Dr No get it's third strike this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Thumper. Has 5" over 6 hours for PHL. That'd be cool, except it wouldn't hang around too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Euro moves 150 miles east still needs to move another 150 miles or so between now and Monday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 GGEM has been horrendous with it's thermal profiles the entire winter for whatever reason until just prior to an event. Track verbatim is better tho, I wont deny that. Still thinking front end snow/mix over to heavy rain. Things could certainly shift one way or the other but I would lean heavily towards a shift West as this approaches based on seasonal trends but more importantly the poor teleconnections (pos trending ao, neg trending epo, neg trending pna, pos nao). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 9F here at 7:30 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 6.2 currently in NW Chesco. Good radiating conditions. Still 8" of snow at stake in the yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Iceman you always do much better than I do with snowcover....just up the road from you I am down to 3" in the non-south facing hills of my property Although today was the coldest day of the year....until tomorrow and Sunday Low was the first sub 10 low of 8.3 and the high was only 22.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Nice little 5 minute snow squall blowing through my yard, making up for what didn't happen last night. Temperature slowly dropping - down to 17.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackhound Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Snow squall blowing through here. Glen Mills. 15F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 We just had a burst of snow (squall) fly through here about 10 minutes ago... heading quickly west to east. Winds light/moderate and temp 19F and has been slowly falling over the past couple hours. Maxed out about 22 earlier this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 50 car pile up out here on 78 in Bethel, Pa. 3 dead due to a bad squall that went through just before 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Another squall coming through here in NW Philly right now. Vis 1 mile. Doen't look like it is sticking although it's way cold enough to do so but it's probably because it's blowing... Edit: 12:07 OMFG SN+ squall vis < 1/4 mile with fog. White out. Looks like it is moving though. It's like a tiny streamer blob sitting across SE Montco and NW Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treckasec Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I've been enjoying all of the little snows we've been getting recently. Sun flurries right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 The couple squalls dropped about 1/4" in their wake here. Also knocked the temp down to 16F. Sun is back out and the powder is blowing around. Looks like the little streamer is south of me now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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