RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 GFS caved starting to cave... Thanks to the blizzard this isn't the worst winter ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 GFS caved starting to cave... I was going to say it clearly has norlun in the southern Pa counties Thanks to the blizzard this isn't the worst winter ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Yes but the Poconos went from 14" 12z to 3" it is working south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Yes but the Poconos went from 14" 12z to 3" it is working south What doesn't target the southern areas anymore...amazing how quickly northern PA turned from snowstorm magnet to repellent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 What doesn't target the southern areas anymore...amazing how quickly northern PA turned from snowstorm magnet to repellent. I want to move north but...but all the damn snow is south all the time, and south of me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Not sure why the upset with this run... Philly area looks like 6-8" ish... I'll take that!! img=http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160207/00Z/f096/acckucherasnowne.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Agreed! The GFS looks good for us. Is it right? Who knows? But I'd take that outcome all winter long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Yep... 12-16" just to our west!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 16" in Harrisburg lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Not sure why the upset with this run... Philly area looks like 6-8" ish... I'll take that!! img=http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160207/00Z/f096/acckucherasnowne.png It's not right expect around 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 It's not right expect around 2-4 And you have acquired this definitive knowledge/wisdom how?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Euro remains locked for flurries In other news GEFS are good, several members with a light 3-4" event and no misses like the ECM Total model war Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 UKMET gets the southern PA east inverted trough of snow now- didn't see that one coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 UKMET gets the southern PA east inverted trough of snow now- didn't see that one coming what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 From what I've heard the Euro loses the norlon trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 From what I've heard the Euro loses the norlon trough.Euro OP has been downright atrocious this year under 4 days (irt the bigger storms). Between 5-7 days has done better.....go figure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Euro OP has been downright atrocious this year under 4 days (irt the bigger storms). Between 5-7 days has done better.....go figure? Everyone focusing on a norlun to save the day 2-3 days out.......gonna be real disappointed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Everyone focusing on a norlun to save the day 2-3 days out.......gonna be real disappointedAgreed....its akin to forecasting precisely where a summer popup tstorm will occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 12z NAM looks good for Philly N and W and central NJ/N...DC folks kinda get screwed. Doubt this will be the end result though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I noticed some squirrels this morning hard at work rebuilding their nests. I wonder if they got a peak at next weekend's temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 GFS still looking good. It really likes that east-west orientation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 GFS still looking good. It really likes that east-west orientation. Sent from my LG-H900 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Consensus forming in the middle it would seem focusing on the Mason Dixon who know where it ultimately ends up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Consensus forming in the middle it would seem focusing on the Mason Dixon who know where it ultimately ends up This was my post this early morning in the Mid Atlantic forum: This will be difficult to forecast at best I remember the boom and bust Feb 3rd to 4th 2009 we got 7.3" here Media pa Delaware County while poor souls 30mi northeast and southwest got clouds passing by the moon and pixie dust. This ivrt through was complete with lightning and thunder as the band trained over the same area for 4-6 hrs...the big winner was Glouscter County NJ 14" localized spot..Now looking at things this AM storm down south not there yet 2 co located centers arguing weaker storm probably moves out quicker and weaker. South Carolina friends and Ga friends ripped off little to no snow high reso showed 6"+ right...I think things for us especially just north and south 30 miles either side of pa / md border hon in on the invrt trough and some pick up 6-10" of snow with lolli of 12"+ in isloated areas maybe centered over on top of pa md line to southern Delaware County pa Back to top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Consensus forming in the middle it would seem focusing on the Mason Dixon who know where it ultimately ends upImo there's no consensus on an IT until T-12hoursSent from my LG-H900 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Ukmet has essentially a huge norlun in PA through Jersey with 4-6" really spreads the goods, lighter amounts on the Mason Dixon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 So NAM GGEM UKMET now good for most of us and GFS a tad too far south ECM can't wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Euro is failing again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ECM had changes with the coastal and the troughing that follows, but still keeps the doughnut hole of dry in the northeast centered over Bucks county hits DC and NW burbs of there Now it's on an island I lost all faith with this model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Today's runs indicate record cold potential Valentines weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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