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E PA/NJ/DE/ Non Storm OBS thread


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Ot guys but does anyone have a link to a good frontal surface map for the northeast

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I've been using the NWS one here - http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc2.shtml

 

But just discovered an even more detailed one from them here - http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.php

 

You can select a region and get an image that can be magnified.  The one that includes our area is this - http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/UA/USA_East.gif

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I've been using the NWS one here - http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc2.shtml

But just discovered an even more detailed one from them here - http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.php

You can select a region and get an image that can be magnified. The one that includes our area is this - http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/UA/USA_East.gif

Thank you

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Looks like Friday morning commute will have some minor snow impacts over extreme SE PA with the 4k NAM showing a band of 6" totals across South Jersey. Probably overdone but clearly more impacts the father S and E you go. I was booed out of the Mid Atlantic forum for even mentioning this as a legit threat/concern 6 days ago.....funny how that works. Better off in the local forum anyway. :-)

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watch the NW trend today for the storm tomorrow morning as has been the case all winter, this may be a surprise 1-3/2-4" snowfall across SE PA into NJ.

Agreed with the NW trend.....pig ridge doing its dirty work....old frontal boundary essentially stationary. Wouldn't say a surprise for most of us here. A surprise for the general public? Probably.

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NAM shifted west with heavier precip .25-.5 LE across 95 corridor, .5-.75 across S jersey. Looking likely for an advisory level snowfall. Majority of the precip falling overnight, could be a messy commute tomorrow morning, I don't think anyone(general public) is expecting snow covered roads with how warm it's been the last two days. also wiggum rule in effect...

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NAM shifted west with heavier precip .25-.5 LE across 95 corridor, .5-.75 across S jersey. Looking likely for an advisory level snowfall. Majority of the precip falling overnight, could be a messy commute tomorrow morning, I don't think anyone(general public) is expecting snow covered roads with how warm it's been the last two days. also wiggum rule in effect...

Looks like roughly 0.52 to 0.61 liquid for Media Delco most is snow maybe we lose .10 rain / mix lower levels somewhat warmer at first any more shifting west well...surprise!! We are just about there as it is surprise...Kyw at 630 yesterday Friday high and dry still above normal 50 right???

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Looks like roughly 0.52 to 0.61 liquid for Media Delco most is snow maybe we lose .10 rain / mix lower levels somewhat warmer at first any more shifting west well...surprise!! We are just about there as it is surprise...Kyw at 630 yesterday Friday high and dry still above normal 50 right???

Rgem has been on board so 12z should be telling.

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Models are going to bounce back and forth on Monday-Tuesday for a while, reality is that if the first wave is weak and OTS, the storm can dig just enough to transfer south of us and closer to the coast. There's a chance, although I dont love it. First storm pulls baroclinic zone too far east

And those Eastern solutions have worked out so well for us this winter. I expect the first storm to drift farther n and w before heading OTS and the second system early next week to be closer to the coast when it develops. Just unclear which latitude the slp pops at. Might not dig far enough but we will see once the energy gets better sampled.
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