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E PA/NJ/DE/ Non Storm OBS thread


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Models starting to converge on a Miller B scenario day 7-8. Doesn't look like the kind we do great on at least for the central and southern regions maybe more advisory level to possibly 4-6" SECS type storm.

 

Need 5.5" snow for my seasonal norm let's get it done

I'm all for it... as long as it doesn't end up like 1/26-1/27 2015. Ill take a solid storm and call it a winter

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Today's 12 Z Euro looks very strange.

Most guidance looks a little strange. The CMC ens means is the only model that I saw that has one storm hitting DC-BOS. Everything else has like one low that heads ENE then gets captured then boots out then another low develops off Hatteras and heads NE etc. Some weird solutions. We are likely going to get something but so many pieces of energy, the models are struggling severely. I'm on the CMC ens train for right now for it's realistic solution and big storm signal.
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NAM has a tropical-like system tracking Westward into the Caribbean over the next 84 hours. Has rotation aloft and at the surface as well. I know its the NAM and I haven't looked closely at this feature on other guidance but still.....what an odd winter season we are having. First Alex and now this. Crazy stuff.

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