RedSky Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Hate to see this melt away fast in January that is something typical big Feb snowstorms would do. Was just musing that I have achieved 20" packs 5 times in the last 7 winters after only achieving that 3 times in the previous 29 winters. This is either a new normal due to climate change or something that wouldn't happen for another 300 years I think the former. I got the return of the BIG snowstorm after a several year hiatus right in my winter forecast and while I didn't hear what Hurricane said about a 12"+ in February I like the reasoning the pattern supports the opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Interesting chart from Matt Lanza. Number of 12+ snowfalls at PHL by decade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 This storm has now gotten me two days off school and a delay tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Ahh the good old being in school. While you were relaxing I was up and out to work on Monday and tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stemwinder Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Interesting chart from Matt Lanza. Number of 12+ snowfalls at PHL by decade Thanks Anthony - Interesting to me because New York had 25+ inches in a December 1947 storm. Must have been quite a gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 This storm has now gotten me two days off school and a delay tomorrow Think if the snow had been Monday could have been almost an entire week, stupid weekend rule eh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Think if the snow had been Monday could have been almost an entire week, stupid weekend rule eh Oh believe me my friends were complaining. Had it come Sunday into Monday I would have had Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, delay Friday. Not to mention it's midterms week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Think if the snow had been Monday could have been almost an entire week, stupid weekend rule eh Better yet I run a twitter account to keep my classmates informed about threats, and when I tweeted out my 15-20 forecast Thursday, I got 5 retweets and 7 likes. When I tweeted Sunday that I thought we'd be off monday, 25 Retweets and 70 likes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Ahh the good old being in school. While you were relaxing I was up and out to work on Monday and tuesday. And I was clearing snow from my school district on Sunday and Monday to make sure the students could take their midterms this week. Ha suckers. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Better yet I run a twitter account to keep my classmates informed about threats, and when I tweeted out my 15-20 forecast Thursday, I got 5 retweets and 7 likes. When I tweeted Sunday that I thought we'd be off monday, 25 Retweets and 70 likes. Ha when I was your age I was only able to keep my classmates informed through AIM away messages and Myspace comments. My top 8 were always well informed of the weather... :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Ha when I was your age I was only able to keep my classmates informed through AIM away messages and Myspace comments. My top 8 were always well informed of the weather... :lol: You should see when I'm wrong... Hyped up Juno last year, ended up the most hated kid in school that week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Stupid Penn State Berks thought it was a good idea to open on Monday despite getting more snow than PSU Schuylkill and Lehigh Valley (which both closed). Chancellor is on an apology tour now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 This storm has now gotten me two days off school and a delay tomorrow Think if the snow had been Monday could have been almost an entire week, stupid weekend rule eh A la '96 (Sunday into Monday really) Pretty sure most high schools in the PHL area were off that whole week, I know mine was. That storm was perfect in so many ways including the timing for days off school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 My friend who lives 20 mins west of DC Off Monday and Tuesday for MLK weekend last week School Wednesday Off Thursday (1" storm Wednesday night) Off Friday (Storm started midday for them) Off this entire week for cleanup. Downright ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Im trying to replace shear bolt/pins in my snowblower for the first time. Can someone in-the-know help me out? Obviously with a busted shear pin, the auger is free to spin on the auger drive shaft when rotated manually. All well and good, but the old bolt is in the drive shaft still and the way the holes are lined up, I cant get a push in there to knock the bolt out. I need to rotate the driveshaft itself like 1/4 rotation to allow for a better angle to push out the bolt....right now I cant get to it. I was going to use one of the augers that still has the shear pin in tact to rotate the drive shaft but I noticed it feels locked. Can I manually apply more force to manually rotate the drive shaft or do I risk damage to the gear worm, etc? Is there a safety mechanism or something I need to turn off to allow the drive shaft to rotate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Just start it up and engage the auger for a quarter turn or so.. That should give you access. Line up the holes and use a punch to knock the old one out. Sent from my SM-G925P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FUCK JOE BIDEN Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Im trying to replace shear bolt/pins in my snowblower for the first time. Can someone in-the-know help me out? Obviously with a busted shear pin, the auger is free to spin on the auger drive shaft when rotated manually. All well and good, but the old bolt is in the drive shaft still and the way the holes are lined up, I cant get a push in there to knock the bolt out. I need to rotate the driveshaft itself like 1/4 rotation to allow for a better angle to push out the bolt....right now I cant get to it. I was going to use one of the augers that still has the shear pin in tact to rotate the drive shaft but I noticed it feels locked. Can I manually apply more force to manually rotate the drive shaft or do I risk damage to the gear worm, etc? Is there a safety mechanism or something I need to turn off to allow the drive shaft to rotate? By spinning the auger manually you are working against the gear reduction. I would engage the auger, remove the spark plug boot so it doesn't start, and then slowly pull the starter cord until the auger shaft turns enough so you can service the shear pin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 My biggest thing is don't repair the shear pin until we are within 72 hours of our next storm event (maybe even 48 hours). Otherwise you might be dooming us to 45 degrees and rain for February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 A la '96 (Sunday into Monday really) Pretty sure most high schools in the PHL area were off that whole week, I know mine was. That storm was perfect in so many ways including the timing for days off school. Yeah my school closed the whole week. How glorious that was as a nine year old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Im trying to replace shear bolt/pins in my snowblower for the first time. Can someone in-the-know help me out? Obviously with a busted shear pin, the auger is free to spin on the auger drive shaft when rotated manually. All well and good, but the old bolt is in the drive shaft still and the way the holes are lined up, I cant get a push in there to knock the bolt out. I need to rotate the driveshaft itself like 1/4 rotation to allow for a better angle to push out the bolt....right now I cant get to it. I was going to use one of the augers that still has the shear pin in tact to rotate the drive shaft but I noticed it feels locked. Can I manually apply more force to manually rotate the drive shaft or do I risk damage to the gear worm, etc? Is there a safety mechanism or something I need to turn off to allow the drive shaft to rotate? Strange that they are that tight you should be able to align a new pin and lightly tap the old one from the hole. Mine slide in and out with little resistance but guess different tolerance in the design. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 12z GEFS have a nice ridge out West (-epo/+pna) thru most of the run. However, the Atlantic looks meh with a +nao majority of the run. It does go neutral for a day or so but essentially no N Atl blocking in sight on this particular model ens mean. A well-respected poster once said a +pna is more important than Atlantic blocking in terms of getting a storm, so I'll take my chances with a crappy looking Atlantic. This is also just one model so we will have to see if the EPS and CMC ens agree at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 12z GEFS have a nice ridge out West (-epo/+pna) thru most of the run. However, the Atlantic looks meh with a +nao majority of the run. It does go neutral for a day or so but essentially no N Atl blocking in sight on this particular model ens mean. A well-respected poster once said a +pna is more important than Atlantic blocking in terms of getting a storm, so I'll take my chances with a crappy looking Atlantic. This is also just one model so we will have to see if the EPS and CMC ens agree at all. I'd agree with him. We're downstream from the Pacific, PNA, EPO, more important than NAO for snow, but for a big big storm you really need all 3. Just look at last 2 years, mostly +NAO, still snowy, but no big storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 EPS and CMC ens agree....overall +nao through at least Feb 12. It does try and go neutral around Feb 3-4 but then a strong +nao builds in thereafter. Alot of forecasters were banking on significant N Atl blocking in Feb to help us out with this Nino winter (progressive stj). Unless something changes for the second half of the month, the N Atl Feb blocking forecasts are not looking promising for the foreseeable future. I'll take my chances tho with the -epo/+pna and more minor/moderate snow chances. We've already had our HECS....I'm quite satisfied so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Glenn going with upper 50s to 60-ish Mon through Wed next week. Say goodbye to snow cover for the most part... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Flurries at the office here in Horsham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Light snow falling here in Pennington, Hopewell Township, NJ Mercer County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Flurries in Collegeville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Wifey says it's snowing pretty good at home in Marlboro, NJ Monmouth County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Absolutely huge flakes here, coming down light of course but still very cool to look at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Although I know it's not going to amount to anything, it's still cool to see a little snow squall moving through...low clouds, gusty winds with snow already on the ground. 36.9F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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