Plokoon111 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 ^ I;m sure most of New york sub forum was at the point, now look at them. Possibly getting more then Philly haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I am snow exhausted after 10 days of tracking, lack of sleep and now blowing and shoveling. Need a trip to Key West Keep traveling south to Cancun...that's the place to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I am snow exhausted after 10 days of tracking, lack of sleep and now blowing and shoveling. Need a trip to Key West So I guess you shouldn't look at this 12z ggem run for the 29th then huh? (don't worry there is zero other model agreement on it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 So I guess you shouldn't look at this 12z ggem run for the 29th then huh? (don't worry there is zero other model agreement on it). ECM ensembles are on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 You poor baby. Was afraid you were heading for this --> Those of us north of 80 might be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Those of us north of 80 might be I was surprised that it went as far north as it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I was surprised that it went as far north as it did. Yeah but we still missed out. You guys today got like 3-4x my total for the entire season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Yeah but we still missed out. You guys today got like 3-4x my total for the entire season. You guys got caught shafted by the dry air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Are you guys going to break any records? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Are you guys going to break any records? Already did. Mt. Holly posted a bunch of RERs for daily snow records broken in the CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Already did. Mt. Holly posted a bunch of RERs for daily snow records broken in the CWA. Awesome! Congrats! DCA screwed up for DC folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Snowflakes in October leads to a disgusting ratter winter myth busted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 A man has to get his shoveling priorities right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Don't look now but it looks like the big Dog is sniffing something in 120 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I just can't believe were not satisfied, and are tracking the next storm, it never ends haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Models have hinted at a storm for late this week, but really sporadic in regards to this threat. A few days ago the GFS had a coastal then lost it, next the GGEM showed it then lost it, now the Euro has it. Not sure how to feel about this given how poorly in general the Euro did with the Blizzard yesterday. I would have more confidence if more than one model had it in any given model suite rather than such a sporadic signal. Anyway, here is today's 12z Euro OP: And the EPS which are in support, just differences in speed: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Models have hinted at a storm for late this week, but really sporadic in regards to this threat. A few days ago the GFS had a coastal then lost it, next the GGEM showed it then lost it, now the Euro has it. Not sure how to feel about this given how poorly in general the Euro did with the Blizzard yesterday. I would have more confidence if more than one model had it in any given model suite rather than such a sporadic signal. And the EPS which are in support, just differences in speed: Ralph, will this work with minimal or no high pressure to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Ralph, will this work with minimal or no high pressure to the north.I don't like the threat personally. Very much a thread-the-needle scenario. Nothing at all like yesterday's storm. It could work but alot of things would need to go just right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 I don't like the threat personally. Very much a thread-the-needle scenario. Nothing at all like yesterday's storm. It could work but alot of things would need to go just right. This might our rainstorm then...El Nino always follows up with a good soaker for our area after a large storm. This happened in '96 and '03, we'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 I know it doesn't really matter this far out but what does the precip shield look like on that storm. Looks pretty far out in the Atlantic. Coastal scrapper? Sent from my HTC6535LVW using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Heading back to the shore to dig out the house. Basically I was told there is 3=5ft deep snow between the road and door access. Should have bought that bobcat. Looks interesting for the end of the week. Phase job. Bring it on. Cold start st the cabin....single digits to start but climbing now through the teens. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Did anyone notice fox 29 news update during the Carolina / Arizona game yesterday? Kathy Orr had a graphic comparing the top 5 snow falls in Philadelphia and I believe that had the 12/19/09 storm totals switched with 02/5/10 storm. Didn't the 12/19/09 storm measure 28.5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Temps are in the low 20s across SEPA with a small batch of precip moving in. Mixed precipitation looks likely for a period this AM and could make travel slick, if the precip hold together. Temps rise above freezing later before the next batch moves in this afternoon/evening as plain rain for 'most'. Lots of low level cold hanging tough due to the significant snowpack tho. Safe travels! Remember, it doesnt take much, just a glaze, to make things slick: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 ^ Looks like it's falling apart w/every frame from 7:30 - 8:30....not that there was much precip to begin with from the start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 ^ Looks like it's falling apart w/every frame from 7:30 - 8:30....not that there was much precip to begin with from the start.Hopefully it does fall apart, don't need any icing even if very minor. Precip was very light to begin with but it doesn't take much. Just thought it was at least worth the mention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 ^ Looks like it's falling apart w/every frame from 7:30 - 8:30....not that there was much precip to begin with from the start.Falling apart as you noted: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Very brief and very light sleet/fzra mix here in past 10 mins. Not a big deal and didn't seem like it was enough to even give a glaze on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Temps cranking a little more than I thought for this hour (in the 43-45F range) along w/sun...snow pack taking a bit of a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 47.9 TTN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 GFS has rain ending as a period of wet snow overnight. No accumulation expected. Enjoying this rebound in temps! Enjoy the winter break. Weeklies and other data hint that Feb could become quite cold and stormy. Would be funny/strange if we end this winter somehow with only 2 big storms (another 12"+ per hurricane Schwartz) with no other trivial snow events. Wonder if that has ever happened before, ie, significantly above normal snowfall but only measured in 2 events? Not my call, just saying it would be interesting if that's how things played out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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