WxMatt21 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 At an absolute loss as to why the snow hasn't even started in Fort Wayne yet. P&C forecast up to 2 to 4 inches, included in the advisory, water vapor looks good, radar looks good...what are we missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc400 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 I was up to 15" at 10:05 and continuing to pile on fast under the Lake County plume. Looks like another inch since I measured last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Low level moisture. Easterly flow bringing in a lot of dry air at the surface. The slug of high returns headed your way will cause the snow to start soon. 2-4 still looking like a good bet. On the conservative side. At an absolute loss as to why the snow hasn't even started in Fort Wayne yet. P&C forecast up to 2 to 4 inches, included in the advisory, water vapor looks good, radar looks good...what are we missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 21, 2015 Author Share Posted November 21, 2015 Marginal temps really hampering accumulation here. Have a little bit of white on sections of the pavement, with more on grassy surfaces obviously. Snow falling at a decent clip with decent sized flakes right now. The models that had the "ring" of much less snow around Lake Michigan definitely appear to be doing better than the models that didn't show that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Trees/branches really sagging under the weight of the snow now here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 We have flakes in Springfield. Nothing sticking but it sure is pretty to watch. I'll take it for the first snow of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 At an absolute loss as to why the snow hasn't even started in Fort Wayne yet. P&C forecast up to 2 to 4 inches, included in the advisory, water vapor looks good, radar looks good...what are we missing? It took forever for it to start here too. Dewpoint was in the teens and the easterly flow was causing some downsloping/drying of air. It has been snowing moderately since it started though. Evaporational Cooling that comes along with the drying of air will help to cool your temp down quickly as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 3 inches in Howell. 3" here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Trees/branches really sagging under the weight of the snow now here as well. Yeah, sadly think we're gonna lose this one: Live stream: http://www.ustream.tv/channel/libertyville-snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 At an absolute loss as to why the snow hasn't even started in Fort Wayne yet. P&C forecast up to 2 to 4 inches, included in the advisory, water vapor looks good, radar looks good...what are we missing? Low level moisture. Easterly flow bringing in a lot of dry air at the surface. The slug of high returns headed your way will cause the snow to start soon. 2-4 still looking like a good bet. On the conservative side. Agree. Had the same conditions here all morning. Snow just started down here in Huntington about 20 minutes ago and just increased in intensity. SN+ began as I am typing this. HUGE flakes. Should hit FWA very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Woulda been interesting if UofM/MSU had a home game this weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Snowing pretty good here might be able to get a inch or two out of this Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Had some sleet bouncing off my car as I drove from Greenfield back to Fortville down here just east of Indpls. Changing to rain and then some very light snow later this afternoon. Big congrats to all of you in the Chicago/Northern IL area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 21, 2015 Author Share Posted November 21, 2015 Technically 1.6 This storm/the gradient is fascinating, even more than 11/24/04, given the monster totals not far northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Woulda been interesting if UofM/MSU had a home game this weekend... I know it would have been amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Forecast was for 6-8" here. Maybe 3" of slop in CH. I think the moisture totals were spot on, but the accumulations were off at least in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Yeah, sadly think we're gonna lose this one: Live stream: http://www.ustream.tv/channel/libertyville-snow bummer... cam looking great! thanks for sharing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 21, 2015 Author Share Posted November 21, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Just woke up to about 3-4 inches on the ground, not even the heaviest snow is here yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMatt21 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Low level moisture. Easterly flow bringing in a lot of dry air at the surface. The slug of high returns headed your way will cause the snow to start soon. 2-4 still looking like a good bet. On the conservative side. Awesome, that makes sense. Thanks for the reply! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Video of the snow that is coming down here. https://www.facebook.com/jhfriend/videos/10208391975823902/?l=5132328912195623523 Probably should start shoveling pretty soon. Several neighbors waiting it out I think. --- Snowing just to your west in Warsaw, WxMatt! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 If you have tree branches sagging, I highly recommend getting out there with a broom and knocking some of snow off those trees to save them. The heavy, wet snow doesn't look to be letting up, and without appreciable wind to knock some snow off the branches, trees are starting to give in. I just walked around my yard and saved a number of our favorite planted trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 From what I can tell, IWX added another row of counties to the SE in the Winter Storm Warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 21, 2015 Author Share Posted November 21, 2015 LAF has been reporting heavy snow for almost 2 hours METAR KLAF 211654Z 06007KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV005 M01/M01 A2985 RMK AO2 PRESFR SLP112 P0014 T10061006 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 2 inches of very wet snow here along Lake Michigan, with the heaviest snow of the day falling right now. I am hoping to get to at least 4 inches of snow today. Maybe some more tonight if we can get the lake effect to kick in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 LAF has been reporting heavy snow for almost 2 hours METAR KLAF 211654Z 06007KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV005 M01/M01 A2985 RMK AO2 PRESFR SLP112 P0014 T10061006 Speaking of LAF... MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1992 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1026 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INDIANA CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 211626Z - 211830Z SUMMARY...OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS SUGGEST THAT THE SRN EXTENT OF A HEAVY SNOW BAND BECOMING ESTABLISHED FROM NRN IL TO SRN LOWER MI...IS ALSO EXTENDING INTO PARTS OF CNTRL INDIANA. SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. DISCUSSION...THE RISK FOR HEAVY SNOW ADDRESSED IN RECENTLY ISSUED MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1991 IS EXTENDING SWD INTO PARTS OF CNTRL INDIANA. WET-BULB COOLING WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS ENCOURAGING THE RECENT PHASE-CHANGE TO...AND MAINTENANCE OF...SNOW. THIS IS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION ADVANCING ENEWD ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AT THE LAFAYETTE/PURDUE UNIVERSITY ASOS INDICATE HEAVY SNOW...WITH A RECENT AMDAR SOUNDING NEAR INDIANAPOLIS SUGGESTING DEEP NEAR-/SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES FAVORING EFFICIENT SNOW AGGREGATION. THESE FACTORS SUGGEST THAT THE HEAVY SNOW RISK...WITH RATES OF 1 INCH PER HOUR...IS EXTENDING SWD INTO CNTRL INDIANA. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT HEAVY SNOW WILL LAST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS....ENHANCED BY AMPLE 700-MB FRONTOGENESIS...AND EVENTUALLY MAINTAINED BY DEFORMATION-ZONE RELATED ASCENT. ..COHEN.. 11/21/2015 ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT... LAT...LON 40738724 41038614 41168508 41028478 40698507 40258604 39728670 39638729 39928749 40338749 40738724 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 It also looks like West Michigan may be getting some convergence snows starting to set up? From how things appear to be forming on radar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Heading out to knock down some more snow now. My White Pines have been shedding the snow fairly well. Snow is about to become drier with the 30° line moving eastwards across the county. Just saw a picture of the Chicago lakefront with no snow. That should change though pretty soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 From what I can tell, IWX added another row of counties to the SE in the Winter Storm Warning. Yes they did. Also expanded the Advisory for a couple of southern counties. Warning within 8 miles of me now. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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