Gilbertfly Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 RGEM with a nice plume and spray in terms of LE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Area of 50° water have been shrinking over the last day. Still mild though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 12z NAM... Showing me some love, on that run. I'd take 2-3" of wind whipped snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 12z RGEM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 RGEM looks like the NAM with less lake issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 About a 200mb DGZ at 6z, not bad. No not at all... especially for the first snowstorm of the season.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 For people who think the ground is too warm... Here's your sign. It was in the 70's here two days ago. North central Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 12z RGEM... So bizarre to see that with the 20NOV date stamp on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 What direction is the wind coming from (for Chicago Posters). Does the lake even affect anything above 850? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 12Z GFS is nice for South MI then the 0Z, looks like more NAM like with no lake issues sans the immediate lake shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Early look at the HRRR.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 12Z actually has me in the bullseye, ho boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Gfs looks good. QPF and especially ptype maps aside...the most important aspects of the 12z runs so far for us riding-the-edge east sider michiganders is a slightly further s/e L track than previous model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 12z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Thread better get plenty of pictures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btcs31 Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 How far inland do people expect Lake Michigan to have an influence on the western shore? I'm about 5-6mi away. Seems far enough away but does the higher lake temp extend it's reach a little further than usual? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 How far inland do people expect Lake Michigan to have an influence on the western shore? I'm about 5-6mi away. Seems far enough away but does the higher lake temp extend it's reach a little further than usual? 5-6 miles is really close and it will have a major effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Giving the snow cam a test drive: http://www.ustream.tv/channel/libertyville-snow.Will try to set up some lights for late tonight. Hopefully it'll be ripping in the AM.FYI cam is located in southeast Libertyville, above 5.5 miles from lake as the crow flies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 If the GGEM/ECMWF would agree with the GFS, the Michigan crew might cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Giving the snow cam a test drive: http://www.ustream.tv/channel/libertyville-snow. Will try to set up some lights for late tonight. Hopefully it'll be ripping in the AM. FYI cam is located in southeast Libertyville, above 5.5 miles from lake as the crow flies. sweet...thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 5-6 miles is really close and it will have a major effect I'm about 15 miles inland, right on the Dupage border. Do you think it'd have a big effect? Central Cook.Not 20, 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 I'm abot 20 miles inland, right on the Dupage border. Do you think it'd have a big effect? Central Cook. no ORD is ~12 miles inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 If the GGEM/ECMWF would agree with the GFS, the Michigan crew might cry.Yes. Cry for joy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 GGEM ticked south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 RGEM brings Cyclone down around -6 Sunday morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 3-6 on the P&C, one mile from the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 3-6 on the P&C, one mile from the lake. same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 some 1/4 mile obs in nw iowa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 GGEM looking GFS like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 not that it wasn't expected but hi-res guidance jumped south shows a relatively nice lake enhanced defo for NE IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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